Tim Arakawa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | ABurlington Be… | 285 | .279/.387/.400 | 4 | 2 | 72 | — | .219/.305/.303 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 538 | .228/.322/.297 | 2 | 17 | 45 | — | .201/.271/.257 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAMobile BayBea… | 282 | .245/.349/.321 | 4 | 8 | 59 | — | .215/.284/.283 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 285 | 240 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 279 | 387 | 400 | 787 | 121 | 337 | 18 | 14 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 57 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 176 | 236 | 235 | 472 | 59 | 231 | 23 | 7 | 211 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 116 | 98 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 173 | 277 | 214 | 491 | 41 | 212 | 16 | 11 | 230 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 365 | 315 | 80 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 46 | 64 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 254 | 349 | 333 | 682 | 79 | 311 | 18 | 13 | 312 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 282 | 237 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 73 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 245 | 349 | 321 | 670 | 76 | 331 | 26 | 13 | 305 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 285 | 251 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 305 | 303 | 608 | 84 | 283 | 24 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 57 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 173 | 218 | 231 | 449 | 58 | 215 | 30 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 116 | 101 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 168 | 250 | 208 | 458 | 40 | 205 | 19 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 365 | 329 | 71 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 85 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 216 | 285 | 277 | 562 | 61 | 277 | 23 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 282 | 251 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 89 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 215 | 284 | 283 | 567 | 68 | 300 | 32 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 285 | 251 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 219 | 305 | 303 | 608 | 84 | 290 | 24 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 285 | 240 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 40 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 279 | 387 | 400 | 787 | 121 | 337 | 18 | 14 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 482 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 124 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 199 | 269 | 255 | 524 | 56 | 262 | 23 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 538 | 464 | 106 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 63 | 95 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 228 | 322 | 297 | 619 | 69 | 281 | 18 | 12 | 284 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 282 | 251 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 89 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 215 | 284 | 283 | 567 | 68 | 311 | 32 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Mobile BayBears | — | 282 | 237 | 58 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 73 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 245 | 349 | 321 | 670 | 76 | 331 | 26 | 13 | 305 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 285 | 252 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 218 | 305 | 302 | 607 | 83 | 283 | 24 | 10 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 538 | 487 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 124 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 197 | 269 | 253 | 522 | 55 | 255 | 23 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 282 | 256 | 54 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 89 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 211 | 284 | 277 | 561 | 66 | 300 | 32 | 8 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1105 | 984 | 205 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 97 | 282 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 208 | 282 | 274 | 556 | 66 | 280 | 26 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -58 | -1 | +0 | +4 | +24 | -3.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 121 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 57 | 166 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 209 | 282 | 276 | 558 | 67 | 281 | 26 | 9 | 250 | 56 | -34 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAMobile BayBears · 282 PAwOBA .295 → .255 (−40)K% 25.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.89% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷0.986 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.88% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 27.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.204 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 1.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | ×1.004 | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.896 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.20% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 104, 2B 141, 3B 86, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .295 → .255; ISO .076 → .069; BABIP .331 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 365 PAwOBA .306 → .253 (−53)K% 17.5% → 23.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.53% | ÷1.009 | ×1.340 | — | — | 23.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.60% | ÷0.998 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.70% | ÷0.968 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 22.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.18% | ÷1.034 | ×0.820 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷0.873 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 94, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .306 → .253; ISO .079 → .064; BABIP .311 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAArkansas Travelers · 116 PAwOBA .225 → .205 (−21)K% 15.5% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.52% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.21% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.25% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 15.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.840 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 4.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.031 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .225 → .205; ISO .041 → .039; BABIP .212 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASalt Lake Bees · 57 PAwOBA .210 → .178 (−31)K% 22.8% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.81% | ÷0.969 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.42% | ÷1.033 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 17.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.137 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 104, 3B 127, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .210 → .178; ISO .059 → .046; BABIP .231 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ABurlington Bees · 285 PAwOBA .350 → .275 (−75)K% 18.2% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.25% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.04% | ÷0.936 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.107 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | — | 21.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | — | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | — | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 121, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 106, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .350 → .275; ISO .121 → .087; BABIP .337 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).