Christian Kelley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | AAPIT | 347 | .235/.310/.367 | 8 | 0 | 61 | — | .208/.272/.325 |
| 2019 | 25 | AAAPIT | 281 | .179/.253/.282 | 5 | 0 | 20 | — | .151/.209/.236 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAAMIL | 149 | .268/.372/.346 | 1 | 0 | 79 | — | .246/.318/.313 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 35 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 355 | 394 | 419 | 813 | 65 | 458 | 26 | 6 | 346 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 294 | 259 | 61 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 55 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 236 | 312 | 305 | 618 | 69 | 289 | 19 | 9 | 281 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 382 | 325 | 79 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 80 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 243 | 340 | 295 | 636 | 52 | 316 | 21 | 10 | 293 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 347 | 311 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 310 | 367 | 677 | 132 | 270 | 18 | 7 | 305 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 281 | 252 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 253 | 282 | 534 | 103 | 235 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 127 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 372 | 346 | 718 | 79 | 367 | 25 | 13 | 331 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 35 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 333 | 375 | 708 | 62 | 418 | 37 | 3 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 294 | 269 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 190 | 243 | 242 | 485 | 52 | 241 | 25 | 5 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 382 | 337 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 208 | 284 | 252 | 536 | 45 | 289 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 347 | 317 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 272 | 325 | 597 | 117 | 246 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 281 | 258 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 209 | 236 | 446 | 85 | 206 | 33 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 134 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 318 | 313 | 631 | 67 | 349 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 301 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 203 | 252 | 256 | 508 | 53 | 272 | 26 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 329 | 290 | 72 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 248 | 321 | 317 | 638 | 69 | 307 | 19 | 8 | 288 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 382 | 337 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 208 | 284 | 252 | 536 | 45 | 305 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 382 | 325 | 79 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 80 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 243 | 340 | 295 | 636 | 52 | 316 | 21 | 10 | 293 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 347 | 317 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 272 | 325 | 597 | 117 | 253 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 347 | 311 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 310 | 367 | 677 | 132 | 270 | 18 | 7 | 305 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 281 | 258 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 209 | 236 | 446 | 85 | 216 | 33 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA RAW | Indianapolis Indians | — | 281 | 252 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 253 | 282 | 534 | 103 | 235 | 28 | 7 | 243 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 134 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 318 | 313 | 631 | 67 | 352 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 127 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 268 | 372 | 346 | 718 | 79 | 367 | 25 | 13 | 331 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 329 | 306 | 61 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 86 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 199 | 252 | 252 | 504 | 52 | 260 | 26 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 382 | 343 | 70 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 113 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 204 | 284 | 248 | 532 | 44 | 289 | 30 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 347 | 316 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 272 | 326 | 598 | 117 | 246 | 23 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 281 | 260 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 94 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 209 | 235 | 444 | 85 | 206 | 33 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 149 | 134 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 246 | 318 | 313 | 631 | 67 | 349 | 29 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1488 | 1347 | 269 | 45 | 3 | 16 | 90 | 415 | 27 | 1 | 12 | 200 | 264 | 273 | 537 | 73 | 273 | 28 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -95 | -5 | +0 | +27 | +32 | -4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 118 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 39 | 181 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 201 | 264 | 274 | 538 | 73 | 275 | 28 | 6 | 237 | 46 | -42 | -2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAANashville Sounds · 149 PAwOBA .320 → .285 (−36)K% 24.8% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.83% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.08% | ÷0.946 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.89% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 28.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 6.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .320 → .285; ISO .079 → .065; BABIP .367 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 281 PAwOBA .239 → .198 (−41)K% 28.1% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.11% | ÷1.013 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.47% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.34% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 15.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.20% | ÷0.901 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.89% | ÷0.953 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 2.59% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 80, 3B 130, K 103, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .239 → .198; ISO .103 → .090; BABIP .235 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAltoona Curve · 347 PAwOBA .299 → .259 (−40)K% 18.4% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.44% | ÷0.993 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.20% | ÷0.929 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.59% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.24% | ÷1.035 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 4.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.24% | ÷0.857 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.94% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 107, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .299 → .259; ISO .132 → .116; BABIP .270 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Bradenton Marauders · 382 PAwOBA .283 → .239 (−44)K% 20.9% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.94% | ÷1.003 | ×1.420 | — | — | 29.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.36% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.94% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 25.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.154 | ×0.960 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.976 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.73% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 100, 2B 131, 3B 85, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .283 → .239; ISO .052 → .043; BABIP .316 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AWest Virginia Power · 294 PAwOBA .274 → .212 (−62)K% 18.7% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.71% | ÷1.012 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.037 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 20.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.190 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.940 | ×0.988 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.069 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.74% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 106, 2B 138, 3B 111, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .274 → .212; ISO .069 → .049; BABIP .289 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Bradenton Marauders · 35 PAwOBA .357 → .303 (−55)K% 25.7% → 36.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.71% | ÷0.996 | ×1.420 | — | — | 36.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.009 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 4.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.91% | ÷0.999 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 37.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.059 | ×0.960 | — | ×0.998 | 8.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.098 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 100, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .357 → .303; ISO .065 → .055; BABIP .458 → .418. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).