Patrick Mazeika
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 27 | AAANYM | 180 | .280/.362/.471 | 7 | 0 | 82 | — | .235/.299/.377 | |
| 2021 | 27 | MLBNYM | 87 | .190/.256/.266 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 0.2 | ||
| 2022 | 28 | AAASF | 188 | .253/.356/.352 | 4 | 0 | 69 | — | .220/.303/.292 | |
| 2022 | 28 | MLBNYM | 72 | .191/.214/.294 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 0.4 | ||
| 2023 | 29 | AAAOklahoma City… | 201 | .214/.285/.275 | 1 | 0 | 25 | — | .176/.230/.225 | |
| 2024 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 31 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Kingsport Mets | — | 268 | 226 | 80 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 354 | 453 | 540 | 993 | 186 | 383 | 10 | 9 | 439 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Columbia Fireflies | — | 293 | 239 | 73 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 305 | 422 | 402 | 823 | 96 | 347 | 13 | 13 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 23 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 391 | 571 | 963 | 238 | 467 | 26 | 9 | 419 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | St. Lucie Mets | — | 414 | 352 | 101 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 48 | 53 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 287 | 391 | 406 | 797 | 119 | 320 | 13 | 12 | 362 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 341 | 295 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 330 | 363 | 693 | 132 | 233 | 10 | 11 | 315 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 462 | 413 | 101 | 25 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 89 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 316 | 426 | 742 | 182 | 271 | 19 | 8 | 326 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 48 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 208 | 239 | 447 | 65 | 235 | 25 | 4 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 87 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 256 | 266 | 522 | 76 | 230 | 21 | 5 | 240 | 47 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 180 | 157 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 362 | 471 | 833 | 191 | 276 | 11 | 9 | 364 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 72 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 214 | 294 | 508 | 103 | 207 | 12 | 3 | 220 | 40 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 188 | 162 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 253 | 356 | 352 | 708 | 99 | 274 | 12 | 10 | 329 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 201 | 182 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 285 | 275 | 560 | 60 | 247 | 14 | 8 | 259 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 159 | 147 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 237 | 279 | 516 | 88 | 218 | 17 | 4 | 231 | 43 | -11 | +0 | +3 | +9 | +3 | 0.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 268 | 236 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 348 | 394 | 742 | 131 | 291 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 293 | 253 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 355 | 340 | 695 | 71 | 312 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 23 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 304 | 455 | 759 | 182 | 409 | 30 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | St. Lucie Mets | — | 414 | 363 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 79 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 237 | 328 | 333 | 661 | 96 | 286 | 19 | 9 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 341 | 308 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 277 | 308 | 586 | 104 | 214 | 13 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 462 | 423 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 100 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 265 | 350 | 615 | 142 | 235 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 87 | 80 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 244 | 263 | 507 | 75 | 230 | 21 | 3 | 238 | 47 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 180 | 162 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 299 | 377 | 676 | 142 | 232 | 13 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 72 | 68 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 214 | 294 | 508 | 103 | 207 | 12 | 3 | 227 | 40 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 188 | 168 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 303 | 292 | 595 | 71 | 248 | 15 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 201 | 187 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 230 | 225 | 455 | 48 | 208 | 17 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 268 | 236 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 263 | 348 | 394 | 742 | 131 | 296 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK RAW | Kingsport Mets | — | 268 | 226 | 80 | 27 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 26 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 354 | 453 | 540 | 993 | 186 | 383 | 10 | 9 | 439 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 293 | 253 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 269 | 355 | 340 | 695 | 71 | 325 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | Columbia Fireflies | — | 293 | 239 | 73 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 305 | 422 | 402 | 823 | 96 | 347 | 13 | 13 | 371 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 384 | 92 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 240 | 329 | 341 | 670 | 102 | 293 | 20 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 373 | 108 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 50 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 290 | 391 | 416 | 806 | 126 | 327 | 14 | 11 | 365 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 341 | 308 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 277 | 308 | 586 | 104 | 215 | 13 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 341 | 295 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 330 | 363 | 693 | 132 | 233 | 10 | 11 | 315 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 468 | 98 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 111 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 266 | 355 | 621 | 145 | 241 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 510 | 459 | 109 | 26 | 2 | 16 | 39 | 101 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 306 | 407 | 713 | 170 | 267 | 20 | 8 | 314 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 242 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 281 | 339 | 620 | 120 | 237 | 16 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 267 | 236 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 327 | 403 | 730 | 153 | 262 | 14 | 8 | 324 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 236 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 283 | 301 | 584 | 85 | 241 | 14 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 260 | 230 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 318 | 335 | 653 | 100 | 254 | 12 | 8 | 299 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 201 | 187 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 230 | 225 | 455 | 48 | 209 | 17 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 201 | 182 | 39 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 285 | 275 | 560 | 60 | 247 | 14 | 8 | 259 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Kingsport Mets | — | 268 | 235 | 62 | 19 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 264 | 348 | 396 | 744 | 132 | 291 | 14 | 5 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Columbia Fireflies | — | 293 | 257 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 265 | 355 | 335 | 690 | 70 | 312 | 18 | 8 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 383 | 92 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 39 | 86 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 240 | 329 | 342 | 671 | 102 | 292 | 20 | 9 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 341 | 307 | 63 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 26 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 277 | 309 | 587 | 104 | 214 | 13 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 510 | 469 | 98 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 111 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 266 | 354 | 620 | 145 | 235 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 267 | 244 | 53 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 281 | 336 | 617 | 119 | 231 | 16 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 260 | 236 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 283 | 301 | 584 | 85 | 237 | 14 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 29 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 201 | 186 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 230 | 226 | 456 | 48 | 208 | 17 | 5 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 159 | 147 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 237 | 279 | 516 | 88 | 218 | 17 | 4 | 231 | 74 | -11 | +0 | +3 | +9 | +3 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 601 | 115 | 29 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 110 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 238 | 280 | 518 | 88 | 220 | 17 | 4 | 231 | 74 | -44 | +0 | +14 | +38 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2577 | 2314 | 520 | 112 | 1 | 44 | 173 | 443 | 66 | 6 | 2 | 225 | 297 | 331 | 628 | 106 | 258 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -11 | +0 | +3 | +9 | +3 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 131 | 28 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 112 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 224 | 298 | 329 | 627 | 104 | 258 | 17 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -44 | +0 | +14 | +38 | +14 | 2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 201 PAwOBA .254 → .205 (−49)K% 13.9% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.93% | ÷1.003 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.96% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷1.021 | ×0.930 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 16.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.006 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.44% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 101, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .254 → .205; ISO .060 → .046; BABIP .247 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 188 PAwOBA .320 → .270 (−50)K% 12.2% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.23% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.57% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 6.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 3.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.74% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 21.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .320 → .270; ISO .099 → .073; BABIP .274 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASyracuse Mets · 180 PAwOBA .360 → .290 (−71)K% 10.6% → 13.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.56% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.44% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 6.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.29% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | ×0.951 | ×0.992 | 17.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.897 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.992 | 5.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.07% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 3.39% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 106, 2B 79, 3B 97, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .360 → .290; ISO .191 → .143; BABIP .276 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 462 PAwOBA .321 → .269 (−52)K% 19.3% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.26% | ÷1.083 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.01% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.21% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷0.945 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 6.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.94% | ÷1.012 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 3.76% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 117, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .321 → .269; ISO .182 → .147; BABIP .271 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 341 PAwOBA .308 → .262 (−46)K% 10.3% → 12.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.26% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.14% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.08% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 16.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 4.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.46% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .308 → .262; ISO .132 → .111; BABIP .233 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+St. Lucie Mets · 414 PAwOBA .355 → .301 (−54)K% 12.8% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷0.957 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 2.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.41% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 22.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.056 | ×0.960 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 6.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.966 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷0.911 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .355 → .301; ISO .119 → .104; BABIP .320 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 23 PAwOBA .407 → .335 (−72)K% 26.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷0.971 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 13.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.056 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 27.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.365 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 94, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .407 → .335; ISO .238 → .190; BABIP .467 → .409. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AColumbia Fireflies · 293 PAwOBA .369 → .309 (−60)K% 13.3% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.31% | ÷0.987 | ×1.340 | — | — | 18.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.97% | ÷1.039 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 8.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.41% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 2.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.00% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 25.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷0.986 | ×0.820 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.940 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.50% | ÷1.093 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 93, 2B 97, 3B 102, K 97, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .369 → .309; ISO .096 → .079; BABIP .347 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .