Lean Marrero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 18 | ROKGCL Twins | 115 | .290/.321/.421 | 2 | 5 | 52 | — | .229/.250/.339 |
| 2017 | 19 | AMIN | 43 | .200/.256/.275 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — | .171/.209/.244 |
| 2018 | 20 | ROKElizabethton … | 206 | .283/.350/.364 | 2 | 8 | 47 | — | .221/.271/.289 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 71 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 243 | 238 | 481 | 79 | 196 | 23 | 10 | 223 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | GCL Twins | — | 115 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 290 | 321 | 421 | 742 | 131 | 322 | 14 | 4 | 321 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 43 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 256 | 275 | 531 | 75 | 242 | 16 | 7 | 242 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 206 | 184 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 283 | 350 | 364 | 714 | 82 | 342 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 71 | 66 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 121 | 171 | 197 | 368 | 76 | 167 | 32 | 6 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 115 | 109 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 229 | 250 | 339 | 589 | 110 | 264 | 20 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 244 | 453 | 73 | 222 | 23 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 206 | 190 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 221 | 271 | 289 | 560 | 68 | 281 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 71 | 66 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 121 | 171 | 197 | 368 | 76 | 167 | 32 | 6 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 71 | 63 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 159 | 243 | 238 | 481 | 79 | 196 | 23 | 10 | 223 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 115 | 109 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 229 | 250 | 339 | 589 | 110 | 271 | 20 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Twins | — | 115 | 107 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 290 | 321 | 421 | 742 | 131 | 322 | 14 | 4 | 321 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 244 | 453 | 73 | 226 | 23 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 43 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 256 | 275 | 531 | 75 | 242 | 16 | 7 | 242 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 206 | 190 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 221 | 271 | 289 | 560 | 68 | 292 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 206 | 184 | 52 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 283 | 350 | 364 | 714 | 82 | 342 | 17 | 7 | 321 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 71 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 119 | 171 | 194 | 365 | 75 | 167 | 32 | 6 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Twins | — | 115 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 225 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 108 | 264 | 20 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 244 | 453 | 73 | 222 | 23 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 206 | 191 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 220 | 271 | 288 | 559 | 68 | 281 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 435 | 406 | 82 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 107 | 4 | 19 | 11 | 202 | 243 | 283 | 526 | 81 | 261 | 25 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -33 | -1 | +0 | -5 | +9 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 122 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 160 | 6 | 28 | 16 | 201 | 242 | 280 | 522 | 79 | 261 | 25 | 4 | 222 | 37 | -49 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 ROKElizabethton Twins · 206 PAwOBA .313 → .237 (−76)K% 17.5% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 4.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.015 | ×0.985 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.015 | ×0.985 | 3.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.015 | ×0.985 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 1.06% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .313 → .237; ISO .082 → .060; BABIP .342 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 43 PAwOBA .236 → .197 (−39)K% 16.3% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.28% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.925 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.086 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 2.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 2.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .236 → .197; ISO .075 → .062; BABIP .242 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Twins · 115 PAwOBA .315 → .245 (−70)K% 13.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.91% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 2.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 20.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.029 | ×1.008 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.73% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .315 → .245; ISO .131 → .097; BABIP .322 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGCL Twins · 71 PAwOBA .218 → .159 (−58)K% 22.5% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.037 | ×1.022 | 14.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.037 | ×1.022 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.70% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .218 → .159; ISO .079 → .058; BABIP .196 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).