Marty Costes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 26 | AAA/A+HOU | 266 | .262/.362/.406 | 6 | 10 | 87 | — | .240/.317/.357 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAAHOU | 197 | .251/.365/.389 | 2 | 7 | 89 | — | .240/.325/.371 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAAMIA | 271 | .234/.315/.305 | 4 | 3 | 52 | — | .211/.273/.264 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 214 | 181 | 44 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 243 | 360 | 387 | 747 | 144 | 275 | 14 | 8 | 342 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 116 | 97 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 247 | 365 | 371 | 736 | 124 | 263 | 13 | 12 | 337 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 119 | 103 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 291 | 381 | 456 | 838 | 165 | 326 | 13 | 11 | 370 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 153 | 122 | 32 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 262 | 400 | 459 | 859 | 197 | 298 | 18 | 16 | 378 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 250 | 208 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 332 | 440 | 409 | 848 | 77 | 406 | 17 | 12 | 387 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 80 | 64 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 281 | 410 | 453 | 863 | 172 | 293 | 9 | 9 | 382 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 248 | 213 | 55 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 258 | 360 | 390 | 750 | 131 | 307 | 19 | 10 | 341 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 625 | 1.014 | 312 | 308 | 11 | 11 | 436 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 197 | 167 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 251 | 365 | 389 | 755 | 138 | 310 | 18 | 12 | 344 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 239 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 315 | 305 | 620 | 71 | 267 | 16 | 8 | 284 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 214 | 186 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 215 | 318 | 328 | 646 | 113 | 259 | 19 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | — | 116 | 102 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 287 | 304 | 591 | 108 | 220 | 19 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 119 | 107 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 234 | 305 | 364 | 670 | 131 | 271 | 18 | 8 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 153 | 129 | 31 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 240 | 347 | 403 | 750 | 163 | 284 | 21 | 12 | 333 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 250 | 218 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 55 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 298 | 383 | 353 | 736 | 55 | 381 | 22 | 8 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 248 | 221 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 240 | 320 | 348 | 668 | 109 | 297 | 23 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 471 | 748 | 235 | 224 | 17 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 197 | 175 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 240 | 325 | 371 | 696 | 131 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 246 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 264 | 538 | 53 | 248 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 214 | 186 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 215 | 318 | 328 | 646 | 113 | 264 | 19 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 214 | 181 | 44 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 243 | 360 | 387 | 747 | 144 | 275 | 14 | 8 | 342 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 210 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 214 | 292 | 319 | 611 | 105 | 248 | 18 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 235 | 200 | 54 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 270 | 373 | 415 | 788 | 145 | 295 | 13 | 11 | 354 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 410 | 115 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 104 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 280 | 380 | 383 | 763 | 102 | 355 | 22 | 10 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 483 | 394 | 119 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 63 | 77 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 302 | 422 | 431 | 854 | 129 | 353 | 16 | 13 | 383 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 238 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 235 | 313 | 353 | 666 | 118 | 291 | 22 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 266 | 229 | 60 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 48 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 262 | 362 | 406 | 768 | 144 | 307 | 18 | 10 | 348 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 197 | 175 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 240 | 325 | 371 | 696 | 131 | 308 | 22 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 197 | 167 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 251 | 365 | 389 | 755 | 138 | 310 | 18 | 12 | 344 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 246 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 211 | 273 | 264 | 538 | 53 | 253 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA RAW | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 239 | 56 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 315 | 305 | 620 | 71 | 267 | 16 | 8 | 284 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 214 | 184 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 217 | 318 | 332 | 649 | 114 | 259 | 19 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 235 | 210 | 45 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 214 | 292 | 319 | 611 | 105 | 246 | 18 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 414 | 115 | 20 | 2 | 6 | 47 | 104 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 278 | 380 | 379 | 759 | 101 | 344 | 22 | 10 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 237 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 59 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 236 | 313 | 354 | 668 | 118 | 292 | 22 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 197 | 173 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 243 | 325 | 376 | 701 | 133 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 248 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 273 | 262 | 536 | 52 | 248 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 271 | 248 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 210 | 273 | 262 | 536 | 52 | 248 | 20 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1666 | 1465 | 350 | 59 | 12 | 22 | 124 | 342 | 63 | 52 | 18 | 239 | 325 | 341 | 666 | 102 | 294 | 21 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -29 | +3 | +0 | -10 | +36 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 137 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 48 | 133 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 240 | 326 | 344 | 670 | 105 | 294 | 20 | 7 | 294 | 85 | -11 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | 0.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 271 PAwOBA .281 → .245 (−36)K% 16.2% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.24% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.10% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 22.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.925 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .281 → .245; ISO .071 → .056; BABIP .267 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 197 PAwOBA .336 → .300 (−36)K% 18.3% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.18% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 8.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.05% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷0.882 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.05% | ÷1.056 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.18% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .336 → .300; ISO .138 → .128; BABIP .310 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 248 PAwOBA .331 → .296 (−35)K% 18.5% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.55% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.87% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 3.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.16% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 22.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷0.917 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .331 → .296; ISO .131 → .110; BABIP .307 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Asheville Tourists · 18 PAwOBA .424 → .313 (−111)K% 11.1% → 15.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.927 | ×1.310 | — | — | 15.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.933 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.958 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.031 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.958 | 11.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.131 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 9.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.972 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.958 | 6.20% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 85, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .424 → .313; ISO .312 → .244; BABIP .308 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 250 PAwOBA .381 → .332 (−49)K% 17.2% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.20% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.40% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 8.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 3.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.55% | ÷1.002 | ×0.940 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 32.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.987 | ×0.870 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 5.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.024 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.074 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.
Result: wOBA .381 → .332; ISO .077 → .064; BABIP .406 → .381. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 153 PAwOBA .376 → .333 (−43)K% 17.6% → 21.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.34% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 11.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.95% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 18.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.21% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.21% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .376 → .333; ISO .197 → .174; BABIP .298 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 119 PAwOBA .364 → .286 (−78)K% 13.4% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.45% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.92% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 2.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | 3.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷0.964 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 1.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .286; ISO .165 → .125; BABIP .326 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Fayetteville Woodpeckers · 116 PAwOBA .332 → .264 (−68)K% 12.9% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.93% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.029 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 18.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.66% | ÷1.068 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 2.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.66% | ÷0.969 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .264; ISO .124 → .108; BABIP .263 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .