Luke Willis
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | ROKBurlington Ro… | 193 | .274/.335/.320 | 0 | 11 | 37 | — | .211/.257/.239 |
| 2016 | 23 | ROKIdaho Falls C… | 245 | .341/.419/.447 | 3 | 14 | 72 | — | .260/.314/.333 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 193 | 175 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 274 | 335 | 320 | 655 | 46 | 320 | 13 | 7 | 299 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 245 | 208 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 46 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 341 | 419 | 447 | 867 | 106 | 420 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 193 | 180 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 257 | 239 | 495 | 28 | 261 | 19 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 245 | 219 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 260 | 314 | 333 | 647 | 73 | 331 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 193 | 180 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 257 | 239 | 495 | 28 | 264 | 19 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK RAW | Burlington Royals | — | 193 | 175 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 274 | 335 | 320 | 655 | 46 | 320 | 13 | 7 | 299 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 245 | 219 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 260 | 314 | 333 | 647 | 73 | 357 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK RAW | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 245 | 208 | 71 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 46 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 341 | 419 | 447 | 867 | 106 | 420 | 19 | 11 | 376 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 193 | 180 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 37 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 211 | 257 | 239 | 495 | 28 | 261 | 19 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | ROK MLE | Idaho Falls Chukars | — | 245 | 226 | 57 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 66 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 252 | 314 | 323 | 637 | 71 | 331 | 27 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 438 | 399 | 95 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 103 | 5 | 25 | 8 | 238 | 288 | 291 | 579 | 53 | 312 | 24 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -23 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +9 | -1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 141 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 153 | 7 | 37 | 12 | 238 | 287 | 291 | 578 | 52 | 312 | 24 | 5 | 252 | 57 | -33 | +3 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 ROKIdaho Falls Chukars · 245 PAwOBA .371 → .275 (−96)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.955 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.955 | 29.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.030 | ×0.955 | 2.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.030 | ×0.955 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.955 | 1.33% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .371 → .275; ISO .106 → .075; BABIP .420 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKBurlington Royals · 193 PAwOBA .293 → .223 (−69)K% 13.5% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.47% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.965 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.965 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.022 | ×0.965 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.022 | ×0.965 | 1.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.022 | ×0.965 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .293 → .223; ISO .046 → .033; BABIP .320 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).