Ryan Meisinger prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Ryan Meisinger P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 32 RHP 6'4" / 235 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%22.6%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%10.3%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.0

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p6024.1%

xwOBA vs

p100.413

FB-1.4

SL-1.9

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	21	ROK MLE	GCL Orioles	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0%	1.0	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.00	-5.34	—
2015	21	ROK RAW	GCL Orioles	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0%	1.0	100.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%	0.00	-2.90	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	75	302	94	21	3	0%	2.1	23.5%	8.1%	15.4%	1.0%	1.57	2.70	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	75	302	94	21	3	0%	2.1	31.1%	7.0%	24.2%	1.0%	1.57	1.95	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	41	0	63	265	67	20	2	0%	1.5	20.5%	8.3%	12.2%	0.9%	3.00	2.92	—
2017	23	AA RAW	Bowie Baysox	41	0	63	265	67	20	2	0%	1.5	25.3%	7.5%	17.7%	0.8%	3.00	2.34	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	50	1	67	279	76	25	11	2%	1.3	24.4%	9.3%	15.1%	4.0%	4.16	4.40	+0.1
2018	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	50	1	67	279	76	25	11	2%	1.3	27.2%	9.0%	18.3%	3.9%	4.16	4.09	+0.4
2019	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	21	3	35	154	42	10	5	14%	1.7	24.0%	6.8%	17.2%	3.6%	3.09	3.93	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	21	3	35	154	42	10	5	14%	1.7	27.3%	6.5%	20.8%	3.2%	3.09	3.41	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	2	0	3	13	3	4	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	30.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	5.05	-0.0
2020	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	2	0	3	13	3	4	0	0%	1.3	23.1%	30.8%	-7.7%	0.0%	0.00	5.35	-0.0
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	0	48	217	68	24	10	0%	1.2	30.5%	11.1%	19.3%	4.8%	4.72	4.59	-0.0
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	0	48	217	68	24	10	0%	1.2	31.3%	11.1%	20.3%	4.6%	4.72	4.48	+0.0
2022	28	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	13	0	15	69	16	7	5	0%	1.1	20.4%	10.7%	9.8%	8.3%	6.14	7.26	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	13	0	15	69	16	7	5	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.1%	13.0%	7.2%	6.14	6.78	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	40	185	50	31	6	0%	1.2	22.2%	17.0%	5.2%	3.5%	6.30	5.32	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	40	185	50	31	6	0%	1.2	22.2%	17.0%	5.2%	3.5%	6.30	5.32	—
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	40	185	50	31	6	0%	1.2	27.0%	16.8%	10.3%	3.2%	6.30	4.88	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			27	1	31	138	30	19	8	4%	1.1	21.7%	13.8%	8.0%	5.8%	7.26	6.36	-0.6
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	CIN	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	12.3%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	18	10	3	0%	1.1	21.8%	12.4%	9.4%	3.3%	4.92	5.03	-0.1
2027	33	MLB CTX	CIN	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.4%	9.4%	3.3%	4.92	5.03	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		33	1	37	164	36	22	9	3%	1.1	21.8%	13.6%	8.2%	5.4%	6.87	5.94	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		177	5	200	883	193	118	48	3%	1.1	21.8%	13.6%	8.2%	5.4%	6.87	5.94	-3.2
Career	—	MLE		237	4	346	1487	358	150	45	2%	1.5	24.0%	10.1%	14.0%	3.0%	3.65	4.01	-0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		137	2	200	860	207	87	26	2%	1.5	24.0%	10.1%	14.0%	3.0%	3.65	4.01	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Meisinger (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	22.6%	12.3%	3.0%	—	5.03	21.8%	9.4%	20	+0.23	—	—	—
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	81
Rafael Martín R 2016 · 4.74 FIP	32	SU	4.74	20.5%	10.7%	3.7%	.265	3.96	21.3%	15.8%	110	-0.78	2.94	227	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	78
Neil Wagner R 2016 · 4.05 FIP	32	SU	4.05	19.8%	12.3%	1.9%	.360	3.11	20.7%	12.1%	54	-0.94	3.11	135	78
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2017 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	20.4%	10.0%	1.8%	.331	6.14	17.9%	3.7%	41	+2.53	3.50	170	77
Arcenio Leon R 2019 · 3.61 FIP	32	SU	3.61	21.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	115	76
Mike Broadway R 2018 · 4.65 FIP	31	SU	4.65	23.0%	10.6%	3.9%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	1.74	195	74
Dan Winkler R 2022 · 3.87 FIP	32	SU	3.87	24.4%	14.0%	1.9%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	231	74
Jeff Fulchino R 2011 · 4.44 FIP	31	SU	4.44	20.4%	11.1%	3.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	178	74
Sergio Santos R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	32	SU	4.17	24.7%	8.2%	3.9%	.283	—	—	—	—	—	1.36	178	73
A.J. Schugel R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	32	SU	4.82	16.6%	12.3%	2.9%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	299	73
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	72
Jon Edwards R 2019 · 4.43 FIP	31	SU	4.43	25.1%	11.6%	3.6%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.40	132	72
Leonel Campos R 2017 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	25.7%	11.8%	2.3%	.241	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	168	72
Brian Sanches R 2011 · 4.35 FIP	32	SU	4.35	19.6%	11.1%	2.7%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	229	72
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	71
Jason Bulger R 2010 · 4.36 FIP	31	SU	4.36	22.5%	13.5%	2.6%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	106	71
Jim Henderson R 2015 · 5.27 FIP	32	SU	5.27	16.7%	11.9%	3.8%	.307	4.55	25.8%	16.8%	35	-0.72	1.86	167	71
Dale Thayer R 2013 · 3.62 FIP	32	SU	3.62	23.7%	7.4%	2.9%	.287	3.85	20.6%	15.0%	103	+0.23	2.75	239	70
Dalier Hinojosa R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	30	SU	4.30	18.7%	12.6%	2.2%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	104	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	24	22.0%	13.0%	1.67	5.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dave Stevens ('00)	1.3	50	14.6%	11.3%	1.76	6.02
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78