Tyler Phillips

P Miami Marlins

Age 29 RHP 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB

Overview

MLBSP40-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX2 levels	28	27	155	5.50	4.46	19.2%	8.4%	0.8	K 17.1% · BB 7.7% · FIP 4.60
2025	27	MLBMIA	54	1	78	2.78	4.03	16.6%	7.7%	0.5
2026	28	MLBMIA	37	20	127	3.34	4.58	18.8%	10.4%	0.5
2027PROJ	29	MLBMIA	17	17	101	4.55	4.80	19.4%	9.4%	0.1
2028PROJ95% MLB	30	MLBMIA	15	15	90	4.82	5.01	18.7%	9.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ95% MLB	31	MLBMIA	14	14	84	5.07	5.24	18.0%	10.1%	-0.3

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.8 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo71

Whiff%57

xwOBA vs33

K%27

CompsOdrisamer Despaigne (age 29) · Luke Hudson (age 29) · Philip Humber (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.55

FIP4.80

K%19.4%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%10.0%

Proj IP101

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p5726.4%

p2718.8%

xwOBA vs

p330.332

SL+1.4 (25%)

CH+1.0 (23%)

FB+0.9 (34%)

SI (26%)

CU (17%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	13	0	15	60	10	1	2	0%	1.2	11.3%	2.1%	9.3%	4.7%	3.60	4.97	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	13	0	15	60	10	1	2	0%	1.2	16.7%	1.7%	15.0%	3.3%	3.60	3.70	—
2017	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	7	4	25	117	15	9	2	57%	3.6	9.5%	9.1%	0.4%	2.2%	6.39	4.65	—
2017	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	7	4	25	117	15	9	2	57%	3.6	12.8%	7.7%	5.1%	1.7%	6.39	4.01	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	23	133	531	127	16	4	100%	5.8	17.9%	3.2%	14.7%	0.8%	2.64	2.46	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	23	133	531	127	16	4	100%	5.8	23.9%	3.0%	20.9%	0.8%	2.64	1.94	—
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	22	131	527	102	25	16	92%	5.5	15.5%	5.3%	10.2%	3.0%	3.71	4.13	—
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	22	131	527	102	25	16	92%	5.5	19.4%	4.7%	14.6%	3.0%	3.71	3.70	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	15	14	40	181	41	23	8	93%	2.6	19.5%	13.9%	5.6%	4.5%	6.13	5.68	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	15	14	40	181	41	23	8	93%	2.6	22.7%	12.7%	9.9%	4.4%	6.13	5.39	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	25	123	541	110	52	13	96%	4.7	16.7%	9.8%	7.0%	2.7%	4.92	4.42	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	25	123	541	110	52	13	96%	4.7	20.3%	9.6%	10.7%	2.4%	4.92	3.96	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	17.1%	7.7%	9.4%	3.6%	5.50	4.60	+0.5
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	17.1%	7.7%	9.4%	3.6%	5.50	4.60	+0.5
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	155	667	128	56	23	96%	5.5	19.2%	8.4%	10.8%	3.4%	5.50	4.46	+0.8
2025	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.7%	2.78	4.15	+0.4
2025	27	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.7%	2.78	4.15	+0.4
2025	27	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	54	1	78	313	52	24	8	2%	1.4	16.6%	7.7%	8.9%	2.6%	2.78	4.03	+0.5
2026	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	37	20	127	538	101	56	17	54%	3.4	18.8%	10.4%	8.4%	3.3%	3.34	4.66	+0.4
2026	28	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	37	20	127	538	101	56	17	54%	3.4	18.8%	10.4%	8.4%	3.3%	3.34	4.66	+0.4
2026	28	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	37	20	127	538	101	56	17	54%	3.4	18.8%	10.4%	8.4%	3.2%	3.34	4.58	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			99	28	241	1011	181	87	34	28%	2.4	17.9%	8.6%	9.3%	3.4%	3.70	4.51	+0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	MIA	17	17	101	426	83	40	14	100%	5.9	19.4%	9.4%	10.0%	3.2%	4.55	4.80	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	MIA	16	16	95	400	75	39	14	100%	5.9	18.7%	9.8%	9.0%	3.4%	4.82	5.01	-0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	MIA	14	14	88	373	67	38	14	100%	6.3	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	3.6%	5.07	5.24	-0.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	MIA	15	15	90	380	71	37	13	100%	6.0	18.7%	9.8%	9.0%	3.4%	4.82	5.01	-0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	MIA	14	14	84	355	64	36	13	100%	6.0	18.0%	10.1%	7.9%	3.6%	5.07	5.24	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		128	57	415	1746	316	160	60	45%	3.2	18.1%	9.2%	8.9%	3.4%	4.22	4.61	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		61	27	200	841	152	77	29	44%	3.3	18.1%	9.2%	8.9%	3.4%	4.22	4.61	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		227	136	826	3475	587	266	99	60%	3.6	16.9%	7.6%	9.3%	2.8%	4.11	4.21	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	33	200	841	142	64	24	60%	3.6	16.9%	7.6%	9.3%	2.8%	4.11	4.21	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Phillips (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	19.4%	9.4%	3.2%	—	5.12	18.4%	8.5%	183	+0.32	—	—	—
Odrisamer Despaigne R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	29	SW	3.97	15.3%	8.5%	2.0%	.316	3.74	17.1%	8.5%	348	-0.23	3.13	689	76
Luke Hudson R 2006 · 3.81 FIP	29	SP-	3.81	14.5%	8.4%	1.6%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	235	71
Philip Humber R 2012 · 5.41 FIP	29	SP-	5.41	18.4%	9.3%	4.9%	.289	4.82	13.9%	6.6%	55	-0.59	2.97	362	67
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	67
Jason Simontacchi R 2003 · 4.96 FIP	29	SW	4.96	13.1%	7.3%	3.7%	.309	8.14	4.5%	-5.9%	15	+3.18	4.79	356	67
Alexi Ogando R 2013 · 4.22 FIP	29	SP-	4.22	16.8%	9.3%	2.5%	.249	4.43	19.0%	8.4%	122	+0.21	2.83	538	66
Fabio Castillo R 2017 · 3.98 FIP	28	SP-	3.98	20.9%	8.8%	2.8%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	195	66
Mike Wright Jr. R 2019 · 3.76 FIP	29	SW	3.76	19.9%	7.2%	2.6%	.347	4.19	17.6%	7.3%	169	+0.43	3.76	725	66
Taylor Jungmann R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	27	SP-	3.88	18.8%	11.1%	1.8%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.59	435	64
Gary Knotts R 2004 · 4.95 FIP	27	SP-	4.95	13.5%	9.2%	3.3%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	4.95	261	64
Ross Ohlendorf R 2012 · 4.60 FIP	29	SP-	4.60	16.7%	10.3%	2.9%	.337	3.67	20.8%	14.6%	116	-0.93	3.30	617	64
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	64
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	64
Shawn Haviland R 2015 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP-	3.95	14.6%	6.0%	2.4%	.303	4.67	16.1%	8.8%	169	+0.72	3.69	283	63
Seth Simmons R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	28	SW	4.27	18.1%	8.1%	3.0%	.262	6.20	13.3%	2.4%	54	+1.93	3.07	251	63
Mike Bolsinger R 2017 · 4.26 FIP	29	SW	4.26	20.2%	9.4%	3.0%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.42	379	62
Aaron Brooks R 2019 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.0%	7.1%	3.9%	.281	4.38	15.8%	8.8%	70	-0.34	3.71	879	62
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	62
José A. Váldez R 2019 · 4.21 FIP	29	SP-	4.21	16.8%	10.6%	2.2%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	328	62
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.6	88	18.4%	9.2%	1.31	4.29
Bill Fleming ('40-'46, 1 WAR*)	2.2	74	19.1%*	9.6%*	1.22*	4.54*
Bob Stoddard ('81-'87, 3 WAR*)	2.2	72	17.9%*	8.7%*	1.46*	4.11*
Guillermo Moscoso ('13)	1.1	74	17.4%	9.0%	1.13	4.28
Art Herring ('29-'47, 2 WAR*)	3.5	78	18.3%*	9.0%*	1.16*	4.44*
Chris Narveson ('16)	2.2	109	19.4%	8.6%	1.20	4.71
Luis Ortiz ('25)	1.6	109	19.8%	10.1%	1.16	4.05