Nick Kennedy — OGILVIE

Nick Kennedy P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 30 LHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110118vR 126

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%18.8%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%7.6%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	A MLE	Asheville Tourists	27	23	124	577	116	37	30	85%	4.6	14.9%	7.6%	7.3%	6.1%	7.09	6.14	—
2018	22	A RAW	Asheville Tourists	27	23	124	577	116	37	30	85%	4.6	20.1%	6.4%	13.7%	5.2%	7.09	5.26	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	49	0	59	250	60	15	4	0%	1.2	18.2%	6.9%	11.3%	1.6%	3.37	3.30	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	49	0	59	250	60	15	4	0%	1.2	24.0%	6.0%	18.0%	1.6%	3.37	2.71	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	39	0	44	208	58	21	9	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.1%	11.5%	5.2%	6.55	5.48	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	39	0	44	208	58	21	9	0%	1.1	27.9%	10.1%	17.8%	4.3%	6.55	4.55	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	51	247	39	27	8	0%	1.0	12.3%	12.8%	-0.4%	3.4%	7.28	5.54	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	51	247	39	27	8	0%	1.0	15.8%	10.9%	4.9%	3.2%	7.28	5.21	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	43	208	36	31	2	0%	1.2	13.1%	14.2%	-1.1%	1.2%	4.98	4.44	—
2023	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	43	208	36	31	2	0%	1.2	13.1%	14.2%	-1.1%	1.2%	4.98	4.44	—
2023	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	43	208	36	31	2	0%	1.2	17.3%	14.9%	2.4%	1.0%	4.98	4.18	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.8%	11.1%	7.6%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	COL	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.1%	4.96	5.04	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	COL	7	0	7	30	6	3	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.1%	4.96	5.04	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.1	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.1%	4.96	4.66	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		202	23	321	1490	236	145	61	11%	1.6	15.8%	9.7%	6.1%	4.1%	6.08	5.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		126	14	200	928	147	90	38	11%	1.6	15.8%	9.7%	6.1%	4.1%	6.08	5.23	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nick Kennedy (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	18.8%	11.1%	2.9%	—	5.04	18.8%	7.5%	20	+0.14	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	83
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	79
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	78
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	78
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	78
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	75
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	75
Kelly Wunsch L 2002 · 4.60 FIP	30	SU	4.60	15.9%	13.0%	2.2%	.242	3.54	20.8%	8.3%	60	-1.06	3.36	175	74
Tom Martin L 2000 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	14.7%	9.1%	2.1%	.274	4.29	21.8%	12.3%	68	+0.12	3.40	303	73
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	73
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	72
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	72
Buddy Baumann L 2018 · 4.87 FIP	30	SU	4.87	20.5%	11.9%	3.6%	.258	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	155	71
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	71
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	70
Bobby Jones L 2002 · 5.24 FIP	30	SU	5.24	14.3%	12.7%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	321	70
Josh Edgin L 2017 · 4.02 FIP	30	SU	4.02	16.3%	10.2%	1.8%	.303	3.63	29.2%	20.0%	43	-0.39	2.62	195	70
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	70
Armando Almanza L 2003 · 4.95 FIP	30	SU	4.95	21.3%	10.0%	4.3%	.331	5.29	24.1%	14.8%	12	+0.34	2.90	211	70
Valerio De Los Santos L 2003 · 4.97 FIP	30	SU	4.97	17.1%	11.0%	3.5%	.237	4.47	16.3%	5.7%	34	-0.50	3.40	239	69