Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 23 | 124 | 577 | 116 | 37 | 30 | 85% | 4.6 | 14.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.09 | 5.84 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 27 | 23 | 124 | 577 | 116 | 37 | 30 | 85% | 4.6 | 20.1% | 6.4% | 13.7% | 5.2% | 7.09 | 5.26 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.2% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 3.37 | 3.15 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 59 | 250 | 60 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.0% | 6.0% | 18.0% | 1.6% | 3.37 | 2.71 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 39 | 0 | 44 | 208 | 58 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 6.55 | 5.51 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 39 | 0 | 44 | 208 | 58 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 4.3% | 6.55 | 4.55 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 247 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.3% | 12.8% | -0.4% | 3.2% | 7.28 | 5.43 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 51 | 247 | 39 | 27 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.8% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 7.28 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 43 | 208 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.4% | 16.6% | -3.2% | 1.1% | 4.98 | 4.68 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 43 | 208 | 36 | 31 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 17.3% | 14.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 4.98 | 4.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | COL | 20 | 0 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.29 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 190 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.29 | +2.6 | ||
| Career | — | 202 | 23 | 321 | 1490 | 237 | 150 | 56 | 11% | 1.6 | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.08 | 5.11 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 126 | 14 | 200 | 928 | 147 | 94 | 35 | 11% | 1.6 | 15.9% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 6.08 | 5.11 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Nick Kennedy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.67 | 21.9% | 11.5% | 20 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Phil Coke L 2029 · 4.00 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.00 | 18.8% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .373 | 3.04 | 18.0% | 11.3% | 70 | -0.96 | 3.04 | 101 | 80 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.73 | 20.7% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .271 | 2.91 | 21.8% | 17.1% | 88 | -0.82 | 2.35 | 306 | 80 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2025 · 4.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.83 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.48 | 23.7% | 11.1% | 3.6% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 172 | 76 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.29 | 24.9% | 9.8% | 3.7% | .268 | 8.16 | 15.0% | -1.4% | 20 | +3.87 | 3.04 | 145 | 76 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.73 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | .342 | 2.95 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.78 | 2.95 | 101 | 76 |
| Mike Dunn L 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 75 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2025 · 3.45 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.45 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.17 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.28 | 3.17 | 163 | 74 |
| Colt Hynes L 2026 · 3.44 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.44 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.2% | .290 | 3.67 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.23 | 3.44 | 152 | 74 |
| Dan Jennings L 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.37 | 19.1% | 9.0% | 3.2% | .245 | 3.99 | 16.6% | 8.5% | 64 | -0.38 | 3.09 | 244 | 74 |
| Jose Meraz L 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.51 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.71 | 3.59 | 110 | 73 |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.29 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .269 | 3.00 | 25.5% | 18.5% | 99 | -0.29 | 1.67 | 421 | 73 |
| Tommy Layne L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 73 |
| Zack Britton L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.88 | 20.1% | 12.4% | 1.7% | .234 | 3.56 | 21.1% | 8.3% | 99 | -0.32 | 1.59 | 309 | 73 |
| Dan Runzler L 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.77 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.24 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.47 | 3.77 | 127 | 72 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.02 | 16.3% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .303 | 3.36 | 29.2% | 20.0% | 43 | -0.66 | 3.36 | 113 | 72 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.16 | 26.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 190 | 72 |
| Keith Hessler L 2025 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.73 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.0% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33 | 228 | 72 |
| Luis Avilán L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .304 | 5.19 | 22.2% | 12.2% | 26 | +0.67 | 2.68 | 256 | 72 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.13 | 22.1% | 14.3% | 2.0% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 145 | 72 |