Dakota Chalmers

P Reno Aces

Age 30 RHP 6'3" / 175 lbs AAA

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2021	24	MIX2 levels	21	17	71	6.06	5.61	24.0%	15.7%	—	K 19.5% · BB 17.4% · FIP 6.44
2022	25	AAAOklahoma City…	13	0	13	8.31	6.18	20.3%	25.7%	—	K 17.8% · BB 27.0% · FIP 5.83
2024	27	AAAARI	25	0	26	9.57	4.62	31.9%	24.6%	—	K 27.4% · BB 22.2% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	30	MLBARI	14	0	15	4.68	4.68	25.0%	13.4%	-0.0
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBARI	7	0	7	4.77	4.85	24.4%	13.4%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsDustin Molleken (age 30) · Edgar Alberto Garcia (age 29) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%25.0%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%11.5%

Proj IP15

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	11	11	20	92	18	17	0	100%	1.8	13.3%	23.1%	-9.8%	0.0%	2.66	4.90	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	11	11	20	92	18	17	0	100%	1.8	19.6%	18.5%	1.1%	0.0%	2.66	3.84	—
2017	20	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	10	5	29	131	47	29	1	50%	2.9	26.5%	26.1%	0.4%	0.9%	4.34	4.68	—
2017	20	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	10	5	29	131	47	29	1	50%	2.9	35.9%	22.1%	13.7%	0.8%	4.34	3.31	—
2018	21	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	2	1	5	28	10	8	0	50%	2.5	35.7%	28.6%	7.1%	0.0%	0.00	3.70	—
2018	21	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	2	1	5	28	10	8	0	50%	2.5	35.7%	28.6%	7.1%	0.0%	0.00	3.90	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	9	35	142	48	23	0	100%	3.9	24.8%	19.2%	5.6%	0.0%	3.63	3.43	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	9	35	142	48	23	0	100%	3.9	33.8%	16.2%	17.6%	0.0%	3.63	2.32	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	17	71	325	78	51	14	81%	3.4	19.5%	17.4%	2.1%	5.1%	6.06	6.44	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	17	71	325	78	51	14	81%	3.4	24.0%	15.7%	8.3%	4.3%	6.06	5.61	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	13	0	13	74	15	19	1	0%	1.0	17.8%	27.0%	-9.1%	1.5%	8.31	5.83	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	13	0	13	74	15	19	1	0%	1.0	20.3%	25.7%	-5.4%	1.4%	8.31	6.18	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	27.4%	22.2%	5.2%	1.4%	9.57	4.37	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	27.4%	22.2%	5.2%	1.4%	9.57	4.37	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Reno Aces	25	0	26	138	44	34	2	0%	1.1	31.9%	24.6%	7.2%	1.4%	9.57	4.62	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	ARI	14	0	15	63	16	9	2	0%	1.1	25.0%	13.4%	11.5%	2.9%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	ARI	19	0	20	84	21	11	3	0%	1.1	24.4%	13.4%	11.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.85	-0.1
2028	31	MLB CTX	ARI	7	0	7	30	7	4	1	0%	1.0	24.4%	13.4%	11.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.85	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	8	4	1	0%	1.1	24.4%	13.4%	11.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.47	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	218	109	27	0%	1.1	24.4%	13.4%	11.1%	3.2%	4.77	4.47	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		91	43	200	930	207	198	21	47%	2.2	22.2%	21.3%	0.9%	2.2%	5.50	5.14	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	43	200	932	207	198	21	47%	2.2	22.2%	21.3%	0.9%	2.2%	5.50	5.14	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dakota Chalmers (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	25.0%	13.4%	2.9%	—	4.85	24.4%	11.1%	20	+0.17	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	62
Edgar Alberto Garcia R 2017 · 4.01 FIP	29	SP-	4.01	17.3%	10.9%	1.8%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	272	61
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	59
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	59
Aldo Montes R 2019 · 4.69 FIP	29	SW	4.69	18.2%	10.6%	3.3%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	4.69	210	59
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	58
Guillermo Moscoso R 2013 · 5.15 FIP	29	SU	5.15	24.2%	14.1%	4.2%	.203	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	486	58
Chris Mazza R 2020 · 3.94 FIP	30	SP-	3.94	21.3%	11.0%	2.3%	.348	3.95	21.4%	13.5%	111	+0.01	3.29	563	58
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	58
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	57
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	57
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	57
Cody Hall R 2018 · 3.92 FIP	30	SU	3.92	25.9%	17.5%	1.5%	.244	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	134	57
Derek Eitel R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	29	SP-	4.72	17.2%	16.0%	1.9%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	138	56
Britt Reames R 2002 · 3.76 FIP	28	SU	3.76	24.7%	10.4%	2.6%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	204	56
Deck McGuire R 2018 · 5.28 FIP	29	SW	5.28	18.4%	13.2%	3.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.41	622	56
José De León R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	30	SW	3.62	21.0%	8.4%	2.2%	.301	5.66	21.1%	8.2%	75	+2.04	3.24	445	55
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	55
Bryan Mitchell R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	20.6%	12.0%	2.5%	.305	5.07	14.4%	3.9%	39	+0.78	2.72	481	55
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	55