Reiss Knehr

P Nashville Sounds

Age 30 RHP 6'2" / 205 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	22	2	42	5.53	4.56	24.7%	8.8%	-0.0	K 23.5% · BB 6.6% · FIP 3.86
2025	28	AAASD	18	0	17	2.70	2.86	36.9%	9.2%	—	K 31.8% · BB 8.3% · FIP 3.36
2026	29	AAAMIL	32	0	38	3.08	3.28	25.3%	10.1%	—	K 21.8% · BB 9.1% · FIP 3.56
2027PROJ	30	MLBMIL	55	0	58	4.76	4.82	20.9%	11.7%	-0.2
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBMIL	19	0	20	4.89	5.00	20.4%	11.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBMIL	26	0	27	5.06	5.21	19.8%	12.0%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022

xwOBA vs34

FB Velo30

K%14

Whiff%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsDustin Molleken (age 30) · Jim Miller (age 30) · Yoanner Negrin (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 108

ERA4.76

FIP4.82

K%20.9%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%9.2%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL3030

CMD3030

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p1014.0%

p1416.9%

xwOBA vs

p340.331

FB-6.2

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	1	35	149	45	15	3	5%	1.7	21.3%	12.3%	9.1%	2.6%	3.38	4.29	—
2018	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	1	35	149	45	15	3	5%	1.7	30.2%	10.1%	20.1%	2.0%	3.38	2.93	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	17	12	66	298	83	28	11	71%	3.9	21.4%	10.8%	10.6%	5.1%	5.43	5.47	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	17	12	66	298	83	28	11	71%	3.9	27.9%	9.4%	18.5%	3.7%	5.43	4.02	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	21	105	436	86	50	9	68%	3.4	17.2%	12.1%	5.1%	2.4%	3.96	4.48	+0.5
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	21	105	436	86	50	9	68%	3.4	19.7%	11.5%	8.3%	2.1%	3.96	4.01	+1.1
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	16	101	462	102	58	19	43%	2.7	19.7%	13.1%	6.5%	4.0%	6.48	5.29	-0.9
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	16	101	462	102	58	19	43%	2.7	22.1%	12.6%	9.5%	4.1%	6.48	5.24	-0.8
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	2	42	182	45	16	8	9%	1.9	23.5%	6.6%	16.9%	3.5%	5.53	3.86	+0.3
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	2	42	182	45	16	8	9%	1.9	24.7%	8.8%	15.9%	4.4%	5.53	4.56	-0.0
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	0	17	65	24	6	2	0%	0.9	31.8%	8.3%	23.4%	3.4%	2.70	3.36	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	0	17	65	24	6	2	0%	0.9	31.8%	8.3%	23.4%	3.4%	2.70	3.36	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	18	0	17	65	24	6	2	0%	0.9	36.9%	9.2%	27.7%	3.1%	2.70	2.86	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	32	0	38	158	40	16	3	0%	1.2	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.1%	3.08	3.56	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	32	0	38	158	40	16	3	0%	1.2	21.8%	9.1%	12.7%	2.1%	3.08	3.56	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	32	0	38	158	40	16	3	0%	1.2	25.3%	10.1%	15.2%	1.9%	3.08	3.28	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			21	7	48	220	34	28	6	33%	2.3	15.5%	12.7%	2.7%	2.7%	5.96	5.04	-0.3
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	MIL	55	0	58	245	51	29	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	11.7%	9.2%	3.0%	4.76	4.82	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	MIL	51	0	54	227	46	27	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	3.2%	4.89	5.00	-0.3
2029	32	MLB MLE	MIL	47	0	50	210	42	25	7	0%	1.1	19.8%	12.0%	7.8%	3.4%	5.06	5.21	-0.4
2028	31	MLB CTX	MIL	19	0	20	84	17	10	3	0%	1.1	20.4%	11.8%	8.6%	3.2%	4.89	5.00	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	MIL	26	0	27	114	23	14	4	0%	1.0	19.8%	12.0%	7.8%	3.4%	5.06	5.21	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	7	96	419	74	52	13	11%	1.4	17.6%	12.3%	5.3%	3.0%	5.48	4.83	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		138	15	200	878	155	109	27	11%	1.4	17.6%	12.3%	5.3%	3.0%	5.48	4.83	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		177	52	404	1750	359	196	60	29%	2.3	20.5%	11.2%	9.4%	3.4%	4.81	4.66	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		88	26	200	866	178	97	30	29%	2.3	20.5%	11.2%	9.4%	3.4%	4.81	4.66	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reiss Knehr (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.9%	11.7%	3.0%	—	5.10	20.1%	8.2%	104	+0.28	—	—	—
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	76
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	75
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	74
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	72
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	72
Felipe Arredondo R 2017 · 4.76 FIP	30	SW	4.76	14.8%	7.3%	3.6%	.311	4.65	16.2%	9.1%	64	-0.11	3.92	337	72
Bryan Mitchell R 2021 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	20.6%	12.0%	2.5%	.305	5.07	14.4%	3.9%	39	+0.78	2.72	481	71
Hector Velázquez R 2019 · 4.82 FIP	30	SW	4.82	19.6%	12.3%	3.3%	.292	3.81	19.2%	10.9%	25	-1.01	2.75	536	71
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	70
Grant Black R 2023 · 5.49 FIP	29	SU	5.49	15.9%	11.3%	4.2%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	215	70
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	70
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	70
Willie Eyre R 2007 · 4.53 FIP	29	SU	4.53	13.7%	9.1%	2.6%	.306	2.87	11.1%	5.5%	18	-1.66	2.87	164	69
Fredy Quintero R 2017 · 4.45 FIP	29	SW	4.45	14.0%	8.7%	2.6%	.335	4.62	17.2%	3.5%	43	+0.17	4.29	241	69
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	68
Murphy Smith R 2018 · 4.57 FIP	30	SW	4.57	13.6%	9.3%	2.6%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	300	68
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	68
Javy Guerra R 2016 · 4.29 FIP	30	SU	4.29	21.3%	13.9%	2.3%	.303	3.95	19.5%	13.0%	193	-0.34	2.94	409	67
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	67
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	67

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	52	19.2%	12.1%	1.19	5.14
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19