Bryan Hudson P Chicago White Sox
Age 29 LHP 6'8" / 248 lbs MLB peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8089vR 98
ERA3.21
FIP3.65
K%22.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.5%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
K: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.3 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: +8.5 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+9CONTACTSTAM: +2.3 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +1.09 (57 IP)+1.1WAR
0.20.20.1-0.1262829
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL4545
CMD5555
K†5050
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p4023.8%
K%
p5122.4%
xwOBA vs
p720.291
FB+0.7 (73%)
CT (2%)
SI (6%)
SL-1.9 (25%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201518ROKAZL Cubs507315200%1.316.1%6.5%9.7%0.0%2.702.56
201518ROKAZL Cubs507315200%1.316.1%6.5%9.7%0.0%2.702.50
201720ASouth Bend Cubs2424124539815210100%5.211.1%11.4%-0.3%3.3%3.915.40
201720ASouth Bend Cubs2424124539815210100%5.215.0%9.6%5.4%1.9%3.914.10
201821A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans232311349978584100%4.912.0%13.4%-1.3%1.2%4.704.41
201821A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans232311349978584100%4.915.6%11.6%4.0%0.8%4.703.72
201922MIX2 levels11937157328582%3.314.6%7.2%7.3%5.4%4.665.75
201922MIX2 levels11937157328582%3.320.4%5.1%15.3%3.2%4.663.78
202124MIX2 levels35059249553050%1.718.9%11.1%7.8%1.0%4.763.45
202124MIX2 levels35059249553050%1.722.1%12.0%10.0%2.0%4.763.87
202225MIX2 levels39059256762750%1.525.6%11.2%14.5%2.2%3.663.55
202225MIX2 levels39059256762750%1.529.7%10.5%19.1%2.0%3.663.00
202326MIX2 levels528642859329415%1.231.4%10.9%20.5%1.4%3.082.57+1.6
202326MIX2 levels528642859329415%1.232.6%10.2%22.5%1.4%3.082.37+1.7
202427MIX2 levels51071268751970%1.426.8%7.4%19.5%3.2%1.773.50+1.1
202427MIX2 levels51071268751970%1.428.0%7.1%20.9%2.6%1.773.07+1.4
202528MIX2 levels46047213502550%1.021.7%12.1%9.7%1.9%5.593.81+0.4
202528MIX2 levels46047213502550%1.023.5%11.7%11.7%2.3%5.593.96+0.3
▸ 2026 Season
202629MLBChicago White Sox426411743915114%1.022.4%8.6%13.8%0.6%2.202.61+0.9
ROS29MLBCWS150166815710%1.122.1%9.7%12.5%2.2%3.213.65+0.2
ROS29MLBCWS150166815710%1.122.1%9.7%12.5%2.2%3.213.65+0.2
2026 TOT29MLBCWS572425422222.3%8.9%13.4%1.0%2.482.91+1.1
2026 FULL29MLBCWS572415422222.4%8.9%13.5%1.0%2.482.90+1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730MLBCWS51054227482350%1.121.4%10.0%11.4%2.4%3.984.24+0.2
202831MLBCWS48050212442250%1.020.6%10.3%10.3%2.6%4.274.47+0.0
202932MLBCWS44046195392160%1.119.8%10.7%9.1%2.8%4.544.72-0.1
202730MLBCWS49051215462150%1.021.4%10.0%11.4%2.4%3.984.24+0.2
202831MLBCWS46048203422150%1.020.6%10.3%10.3%2.6%4.274.47+0.0
202932MLBCWS42044186372050%1.019.8%10.7%9.1%2.8%4.544.72-0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career25862861194266116282%1.122.3%9.7%12.6%2.4%3.473.73+5.6
/ 200 IP181420083618681202%1.122.3%9.7%12.6%2.4%3.473.73+3.9
Career3287062126715072895721%1.919.0%10.8%8.2%2.1%3.824.04+9.9
/ 200 IP10623200860163931821%1.919.0%10.8%8.2%2.1%3.824.04+3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Bryan Hudson (OGILVIE) 4.42 21.9%10.2%2.7% 4.46 20.7%10.3%150 +0.04
Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 74
Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP 29 SU 3.58 22.1%13.2%1.2%.359 3.67 23.2%13.6%80 +0.09 3.36 113 74
Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP 30 SU 3.58 21.7%12.1%1.4%.284 3.34 20.2%11.0%97 -0.24 1.32 182 74
Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 72
Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.38 FIP 29 SU 3.38 20.9%9.3%1.6%.290 4.81 13.3%5.0%45 +1.43 2.90 414 71
Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.83 FIP 29 SU 4.83 20.2%9.6%4.0%.301 2.68 175 71
Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP 29 SU 3.49 24.1%13.0%1.4%.225 3.53 23.7%14.0%86 +0.04 2.29 130 71
Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.56 FIP 29 SU 4.56 18.9%8.0%3.7%.300 3.44 24.1%15.6%112 -1.12 2.81 223 71
Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.45 FIP 29 SU 3.45 18.1%7.0%1.8%.288 3.17 16.1%9.5%34 -0.28 3.17 163 71
Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.73 FIP 29 SU 3.73 18.1%7.0%2.3%.342 2.95 20.6%17.2%29 -0.78 2.95 101 71
Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP 30 SU 3.76 27.7%11.9%2.7%.294 4.09 22.5%10.9%110 +0.33 3.72 181 70
Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.98 FIP 29 SU 3.98 24.4%11.1%2.8%.269 4.53 23.9%13.0%108 +0.55 3.94 470 70
Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP 29 SU 3.84 22.1%8.4%2.8%.318 6.37 14.2%3.4%14 +2.53 2.66 230 70
Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.52 FIP 29 SU 3.52 20.7%12.4%1.1%.250 3.41 160 70
Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.44 FIP 30 SU 3.44 16.2%8.4%1.2%.290 3.67 17.9%13.2%105 +0.23 3.44 152 69
Tyler Olson L 2026 · 3.86 FIP 29 SU 3.86 20.0%10.0%2.1%.326 4.16 21.6%12.9%31 +0.30 2.92 263 69
Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.51 FIP 29 SU 4.51 16.4%10.3%2.7%.282 3.80 10.5%-2.0%30 -0.71 3.59 110 69
Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP 29 SU 4.39 24.9%9.6%4.0%.330 4.16 26.2%17.3%23 -0.23 2.51 190 69
Keith Hessler L 2026 · 4.73 FIP 29 SU 4.73 19.8%13.3%3.0%.348 3.33 228 69
Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP 29 SU 4.82 22.4%11.4%4.0%.253 4.48 23.7%12.6%46 -0.34 3.80 172 68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45221.0%10.3%1.024.18
Scott Oberg ('19)55121.5%9.3%0.913.85
Randall Delgado ('17)37022.2%9.2%0.903.78
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77
Santiago Casilla ('18)45223.5%9.6%0.963.49
Cory Gearrin ('19)45721.5%9.8%0.793.42
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84