Bryan Hudson — OGILVIE

Bryan Hudson P Chicago White Sox

Age 29 LHP 6'8" / 248 lbs MLB peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION63 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 7584vR 92

ERA3.24

FIP3.66

K%22.1%

BB%8.0%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1491.9

Whiff%

p3723.5%

p5222.5%

xwOBA vs

p900.261

FB+0.7 (71%)

CT (1%)

SI (4%)

SL-1.9 (28%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs	5	0	7	31	5	2	0	0%	1.3	16.1%	6.5%	9.7%	0.0%	2.70	2.56	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs	5	0	7	31	5	2	0	0%	1.3	16.1%	6.5%	9.7%	0.0%	2.70	2.50	—
2017	20	A MLE	South Bend Cubs	24	24	124	539	81	52	10	100%	5.2	11.1%	11.4%	-0.3%	2.8%	3.91	5.13	—
2017	20	A RAW	South Bend Cubs	24	24	124	539	81	52	10	100%	5.2	15.0%	9.6%	5.4%	1.9%	3.91	4.10	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	23	113	499	78	58	4	100%	4.9	12.0%	13.4%	-1.3%	1.1%	4.70	4.37	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	23	23	113	499	78	58	4	100%	4.9	15.6%	11.6%	4.0%	0.8%	4.70	3.72	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	37	157	32	8	5	82%	3.3	14.6%	7.2%	7.3%	5.2%	4.66	5.62	—
2019	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	37	157	32	8	5	82%	3.3	20.4%	5.1%	15.3%	3.2%	4.66	3.78	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	59	249	55	30	5	0%	1.7	18.9%	11.1%	7.8%	1.0%	4.76	3.48	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	59	249	55	30	5	0%	1.7	22.1%	12.0%	10.0%	2.0%	4.76	3.87	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	59	256	76	27	5	0%	1.5	25.6%	11.2%	14.5%	2.2%	3.66	3.55	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	59	256	76	27	5	0%	1.5	29.7%	10.5%	19.1%	2.0%	3.66	3.00	—
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	8	64	285	93	29	4	15%	1.2	29.6%	9.3%	20.3%	1.4%	3.08	2.53	+1.6
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	52	8	64	285	93	29	4	15%	1.2	29.6%	9.3%	20.3%	1.4%	3.08	2.53	+1.6
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	52	8	64	285	93	29	4	15%	1.2	32.6%	10.2%	22.5%	1.4%	3.08	2.37	+1.7
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	71	268	75	19	7	0%	1.4	26.8%	7.4%	19.5%	2.9%	1.77	3.35	+1.0
2024	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	51	0	71	268	75	19	7	0%	1.4	26.8%	7.4%	19.5%	2.9%	1.77	3.35	+1.0
2024	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	51	0	71	268	75	19	7	0%	1.4	28.0%	7.1%	20.9%	2.6%	1.77	3.07	+1.3
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	47	213	50	25	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.1%	9.9%	2.1%	5.59	3.88	+0.4
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	47	213	50	25	5	0%	1.0	21.0%	11.1%	9.9%	2.1%	5.59	3.88	+0.4
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	47	213	50	25	5	0%	1.0	23.5%	11.7%	11.7%	2.3%	5.59	3.96	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			129	8	149	608	146	47	14	6%	1.2	24.0%	7.7%	16.3%	2.3%	2.85	3.31	+2.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	64	8	63	258	58	15	4	12%	1.0	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	1.5%	2.87	2.77	+1.3
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Chicago White Sox	64	8	63	258	58	15	4	12%	1.0	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	1.5%	2.87	2.77	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	MLB RAW	CWS	64	8	63	258	58	15	4	12%	1.0	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	1.6%	2.87	2.79	+1.3
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	CWS	64	8	63	258	58	15	4	12%	1.0	22.5%	5.8%	16.7%	1.6%	2.87	2.79	+1.3
ROS	29	MLB MLE	CWS	5	0	5	22	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.0%	14.1%	2.6%	3.24	3.66	+0.1
ROS	29	MLB CTX	CWS	5	0	5	21	5	2	1	0%	1.0	22.1%	8.0%	14.1%	2.6%	3.24	3.66	+0.1
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	68	280	63	17	5	—	—	22.5%	6.0%	16.5%	1.6%	2.90	2.84	+1.5
FULL	29	MLB A+C	CWS	—	—	68	286	63	17	5	—	—	21.9%	5.8%	16.1%	1.6%	2.90	2.86	+1.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CWS	51	0	54	227	48	19	6	0%	1.1	21.3%	8.3%	13.0%	2.5%	3.87	4.12	+0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	CWS	48	0	50	212	44	18	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.16	4.35	+0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	CWS	49	0	51	215	46	18	5	0%	1.0	21.3%	8.3%	13.0%	2.5%	3.87	4.12	+0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	CWS	46	0	48	203	42	18	6	0%	1.0	20.6%	8.7%	11.9%	2.8%	4.16	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		228	8	252	1046	238	84	26	4%	1.1	22.8%	8.0%	14.7%	2.4%	3.31	3.54	+3.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		181	6	200	829	189	67	21	4%	1.1	22.8%	8.0%	14.7%	2.4%	3.31	3.54	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		350	72	643	2755	520	282	57	21%	1.8	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.1%	3.84	3.93	+2.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	22	200	857	162	88	18	21%	1.8	18.9%	10.3%	8.6%	2.1%	3.84	3.93	+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Bryan Hudson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.37	21.6%	9.6%	2.7%	—	4.23	21.0%	12.5%	104	-0.14	—	—	—
Buddy Boshers L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	29	SU	4.56	18.9%	8.0%	3.7%	.300	3.47	24.1%	15.6%	112	-1.09	2.80	223	74
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	73
Scott Alexander L 2018 · 3.30 FIP	29	SU	3.30	20.9%	9.3%	1.4%	.290	4.64	13.3%	5.0%	45	+1.34	2.90	426	73
Jeff Ibarra L 2017 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	18.1%	7.0%	2.1%	.342	2.85	20.6%	17.2%	29	-0.79	2.85	101	73
Arturo Barradas L 2017 · 3.42 FIP	29	SU	3.42	18.1%	7.0%	1.8%	.288	3.24	16.1%	9.5%	34	-0.18	3.24	163	73
Felix Doubront L 2017 · 4.12 FIP	29	SU	4.12	23.7%	9.0%	3.4%	.304	3.44	17.6%	12.6%	126	-0.68	3.44	291	72
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	72
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	72
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	72
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	71
Chasen Shreve L 2019 · 3.95 FIP	29	SU	3.95	24.4%	11.1%	2.7%	.269	4.59	23.9%	13.0%	108	+0.64	3.89	470	70
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	70
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	70
Tyler Olson L 2019 · 3.86 FIP	29	SU	3.86	20.0%	10.0%	2.1%	.326	3.96	21.6%	12.9%	31	+0.10	3.15	263	69
Colt Hynes L 2015 · 3.42 FIP	30	SU	3.42	16.2%	8.4%	1.1%	.290	3.66	17.9%	13.2%	105	+0.24	3.42	152	69
Jeff Beliveau L 2016 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.2%	13.5%	1.1%	.220	4.25	24.7%	12.5%	92	+1.06	3.19	137	69
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	69
Franklin Morales L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	29	SU	3.37	15.9%	5.4%	1.7%	.271	4.02	15.0%	7.0%	39	+0.65	3.37	101	69
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	68

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	21.2%	8.9%	1.03	3.99
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Derek Law ('24)	1.5	60	21.5%	8.9%	0.88	3.47
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19