Bryan Hudson
P
Chicago White Sox
+0.2
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'8" / 248 lbs
MLB
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA3.48
FIP4.15
xFIP3.80
SIERA3.69
K%24.3%
BB%10.1%
K-BB%14.3%
IP44
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4545
CTRL4545
CMD5555
K†5050
FB+0.7 (71%)
CT (4%)
SI (12%)
SL-1.9 (25%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | AZL Cubs | 5 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.70 | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | South Bend Cubs | 24 | 24 | 124 | 539 | 81 | 52 | 10 | 11.1% | 11.4% | 2.7% | 3.91 | 5.07 | +0.3 |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 23 | 23 | 113 | 499 | 78 | 58 | 4 | 12.0% | 13.4% | 1.1% | 4.70 | 4.36 | +1.2 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | 11 | 9 | 37 | 157 | 32 | 8 | 5 | 14.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.66 | 5.63 | -0.3 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 35 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 55 | 30 | 5 | 18.9% | 11.1% | 1.0% | 4.76 | 3.46 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 39 | 0 | 59 | 256 | 76 | 27 | 5 | 25.6% | 11.2% | 2.2% | 3.66 | 3.55 | +0.9 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 52 | 8 | 64 | 285 | 93 | 29 | 4 | 31.4% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 3.08 | 2.58 | +1.8 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 51 | 0 | 71 | 268 | 75 | 19 | 7 | 26.8% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 1.77 | 3.20 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 46 | 0 | 47 | 213 | 50 | 25 | 5 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 5.59 | 3.97 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 2.35 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | CWS | 36 | — | 36 | 151 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 3.48 | 4.52 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 44 | 185 | 40 | 19 | 4 | 21.5% | 10.3% | 2.2% | 3.28 | 3.72 | +0.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | CWS | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 4.00 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | CWS | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 35 | 17 | 5 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 2.8% | 4.33 | 4.55 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | CWS | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 20.1% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.65 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | CWS | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 31 | 16 | 5 | 19.5% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | CWS | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 18.8% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.81 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | CWS | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 25 | 15 | 4 | 18.0% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.96 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | CWS | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 17.2% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 5.12 | 5.23 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 294 | 64 | 588 | 2531 | 477 | 278 | 51 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 3.92 | 4.01 | +8.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 100 | 22 | 200 | 861 | 162 | 95 | 17 | 18.9% | 11.0% | 2.0% | 3.92 | 4.01 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Bryan Hudson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 20.4% | 10.0% | 2.7% | — | 4.55 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 122 | +0.03 | — | — | — |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 82 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 78 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 78 |
| Colt Hynes L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.42 | 16.2% | 8.4% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.68 | 17.9% | 13.2% | 105 | +0.26 | 3.42 | 152 | 78 |
| Jeff Ibarra L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.66 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | .342 | 2.89 | 20.6% | 17.2% | 29 | -0.77 | 2.89 | 101 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 77 |
| Roy Merritt L 2027 · 3.92 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.92 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | .293 | 3.92 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | +0.00 | 3.92 | 129 | 76 |
| Brian Duensing L 2029 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 75 |
| Jeremy Horst L 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.12 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.2% | .291 | 3.71 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.41 | 3.71 | 108 | 75 |
| Arturo Barradas L 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.42 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .288 | 3.24 | 16.1% | 9.5% | 34 | -0.18 | 3.24 | 163 | 75 |
| Kwang Hyun Kim L 2029 · 3.69 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.69 | 15.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | .214 | 4.23 | 17.7% | 9.5% | 107 | +0.54 | 3.69 | 146 | 75 |
| Tyler Olson L 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.87 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 2.2% | .326 | 4.01 | 21.6% | 12.9% | 31 | +0.14 | 3.08 | 263 | 74 |
| James Russell L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.59 | 13.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.20 | 14.1% | 8.7% | 111 | +0.61 | 2.65 | 233 | 74 |
| Marlon Arias L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 74 |
| Dan Runzler L 2027 · 3.78 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.78 | 19.0% | 13.1% | 1.1% | .383 | 4.03 | 16.5% | 4.0% | 63 | +0.25 | 3.78 | 127 | 74 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .253 | 2.66 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 57 | -1.50 | 2.22 | 459 | 73 |
| Dario Alvarez L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 1.0% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 160 | 73 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 72 |
| Jeff Locke L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.08 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.64 | 328 | 72 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2025 · 3.61 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.61 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.36 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.36 | 153 | 71 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.