Kekai Rios
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | A+LAD | 247 | .218/.316/.319 | 4 | 0 | 38 | — | .174/.251/.250 |
| 2023 | 26 | AA/A+TOR | 184 | .209/.291/.313 | 4 | 0 | 24 | — | .160/.225/.220 |
| 2024 | 27 | AATOR | 56 | .135/.196/.250 | 1 | 1 | -12 | — | .113/.161/.208 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 60 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 533 | 452 | 986 | 119 | 400 | 12 | 27 | 453 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 109 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 269 | 245 | 513 | 51 | 254 | 25 | 8 | 240 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 21 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 105 | 190 | 158 | 348 | 53 | 154 | 29 | 10 | 171 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 122 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 364 | 410 | 774 | 139 | 349 | 25 | 11 | 341 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 247 | 216 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 316 | 319 | 635 | 102 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 64 | 57 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 317 | 263 | 581 | 18 | 359 | 30 | 8 | 270 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 120 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 277 | 340 | 617 | 151 | 232 | 28 | 8 | 279 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 196 | 250 | 446 | 115 | 162 | 25 | 7 | 204 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 60 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 309 | 17 | 17 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 109 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 213 | 190 | 403 | 40 | 223 | 34 | 6 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 150 | 293 | 50 | 134 | 33 | 5 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 144 | 127 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 94 | 310 | 34 | 8 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 247 | 224 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 251 | 250 | 501 | 76 | 250 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 64 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 270 | 237 | 507 | 17 | 334 | 38 | 5 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 120 | 109 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 202 | 211 | 413 | 83 | 188 | 38 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 161 | 208 | 368 | 94 | 141 | 30 | 5 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 60 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 316 | 17 | 17 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 60 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 533 | 452 | 986 | 119 | 400 | 12 | 27 | 453 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 109 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 213 | 190 | 403 | 40 | 222 | 34 | 6 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 109 | 98 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 269 | 245 | 513 | 51 | 254 | 25 | 8 | 240 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 146 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 280 | 295 | 574 | 89 | 308 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 165 | 141 | 35 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 342 | 376 | 718 | 128 | 323 | 25 | 11 | 319 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 247 | 224 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 251 | 250 | 501 | 76 | 255 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 247 | 216 | 47 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 65 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 316 | 319 | 635 | 102 | 293 | 26 | 11 | 295 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 168 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 225 | 220 | 446 | 60 | 253 | 38 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 163 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 291 | 313 | 604 | 104 | 278 | 29 | 8 | 276 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 161 | 208 | 368 | 94 | 143 | 30 | 5 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA RAW | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 196 | 250 | 446 | 115 | 162 | 25 | 7 | 204 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 60 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 400 | 333 | 733 | 83 | 309 | 17 | 17 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 109 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 213 | 190 | 403 | 40 | 223 | 34 | 6 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 165 | 149 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 201 | 280 | 289 | 568 | 87 | 288 | 34 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 247 | 222 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 80 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 251 | 252 | 503 | 77 | 250 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 168 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 69 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 225 | 220 | 446 | 60 | 239 | 38 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 161 | 208 | 368 | 94 | 141 | 30 | 5 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 27 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 56 | 53 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 113 | 161 | 208 | 368 | 94 | 141 | 30 | 5 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 821 | 739 | 129 | 24 | 1 | 9 | 61 | 269 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 175 | 251 | 246 | 497 | 72 | 257 | 33 | 7 | 222 | 36 | -62 | +0 | +0 | +15 | +18 | -3.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 102 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 48 | 213 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 250 | 246 | 496 | 72 | 257 | 33 | 7 | 222 | 36 | -49 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -2.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 56 PAwOBA .199 → .150 (−49)K% 25.0% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷0.990 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 4.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.015 | ×0.970 | ×1.009 | ×0.978 | 7.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.051 | ×0.860 | ×1.009 | ×0.978 | 6.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.009 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.145 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 103, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .199 → .150; ISO .115 → .081; BABIP .162 → .141. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Vancouver Canadians · 120 PAwOBA .274 → .194 (−81)K% 28.3% → 37.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.33% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 37.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 2.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 13.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.253 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 3.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 106, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .274 → .194; ISO .151 → .094; BABIP .232 → .188. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 64 PAwOBA .268 → .222 (−46)K% 29.7% → 37.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.69% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.105 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.21% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 32.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.963 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 2.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 93, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .222; ISO .018 → .015; BABIP .359 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Great Lakes Loons · 247 PAwOBA .287 → .224 (−64)K% 26.3% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.32% | ÷1.033 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.93% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 19.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 4.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 2.05% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .287 → .224; ISO .102 → .076; BABIP .293 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 144 PAwOBA .339 → .269 (−70)K% 25.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.001 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.58% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.041 | ×0.988 | 24.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.30% | ÷1.132 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×0.988 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.956 | ×0.820 | ×1.041 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.155 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.48% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 91, K 100, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .339 → .269; ISO .139 → .098; BABIP .349 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABiloxi Shuckers · 21 PAwOBA .167 → .126 (−41)K% 28.6% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.57% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.993 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 7.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.124 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 100, K 96, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .126; ISO .053 → .039; BABIP .154 → .134. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 109 PAwOBA .236 → .183 (−54)K% 24.8% → 33.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.77% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.54% | ÷0.963 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 20.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.136 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 1.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.022 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 92, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 99, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .236 → .183; ISO .051 → .035; BABIP .254 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Brewers · 60 PAwOBA .444 → .329 (−115)K% 11.7% → 16.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 16.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 20.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 10.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .444 → .329; ISO .119 → .093; BABIP .400 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).