Kolby Allard

P Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Age 29 LHP 6'1" / 195 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	26	MIX3 levels	30	21	118	5.51	4.94	20.2%	8.3%	-0.1	K 17.6% · BB 7.9% · FIP 4.99
2025	27	MIX2 levels	37	6	82	3.09	3.46	16.4%	4.8%	1.1	K 15.8% · BB 4.6% · FIP 3.50
2026	28	MIX2 levels	19	12	75	6.09	3.88	19.8%	6.2%	0.9	K 17.0% · BB 5.8% · FIP 4.05
2027PROJ	29	MLBCLE	12	12	70	4.12	4.48	15.6%	5.7%	0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	30	MLBCLE	4	4	24	4.46	4.69	14.9%	6.0%	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	31	MLBCLE	6	6	34	4.74	4.92	14.1%	6.3%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.9 · Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff52Control60Command55FB velo42

CompsRoy Merritt (age 30) · Kwang Hyun Kim (age 32) · John Bale (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 102110vR 118

ERA4.12

FIP4.48

K%15.6%

BB%5.7%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5050

CTRL6060

CMD5555

K†3030

SI (11%)

CU (14%)

CT-0.5 (23%)

CH-0.9 (19%)

FB-2.6 (45%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	17	ROK MLE	GCL Braves	3	3	6	20	12	0	0	100%	2.0	60.0%	0.0%	60.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.97	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	GCL Braves	3	3	6	20	12	0	0	100%	2.0	60.0%	0.0%	60.0%	0.0%	0.00	-0.90	—
2016	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	16	88	350	95	25	5	100%	5.5	19.5%	8.5%	11.0%	1.9%	2.98	3.59	—
2016	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	16	88	350	95	25	5	100%	5.5	27.1%	7.1%	20.0%	1.4%	2.98	2.53	—
2017	19	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	27	27	150	621	129	40	11	100%	5.6	16.8%	7.1%	9.7%	2.3%	3.18	3.84	—
2017	19	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	27	27	150	621	129	40	11	100%	5.6	20.8%	6.4%	14.3%	1.8%	3.18	3.13	—
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	20	120	504	92	38	9	91%	5.5	17.1%	7.8%	9.3%	1.5%	3.37	3.46	+2.1
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	20	120	504	92	38	9	91%	5.5	18.3%	7.5%	10.7%	1.8%	3.37	3.49	+2.1
2019	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	30	160	692	139	57	18	100%	5.3	18.2%	8.5%	9.7%	2.8%	4.27	4.18	+1.4
2019	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	30	160	692	139	57	18	100%	5.3	20.1%	8.2%	11.8%	2.6%	4.27	3.89	+1.9
2020	22	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	11	8	34	152	32	20	4	73%	3.1	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	2.4%	7.75	4.33	+0.2
2020	22	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	11	8	34	152	32	20	4	73%	3.1	21.1%	13.2%	7.9%	2.6%	7.75	4.53	+0.1
2021	23	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	32	17	125	534	104	31	29	53%	3.9	19.5%	5.8%	13.7%	5.1%	5.41	4.96	-0.1
2021	23	MLB RAW	Texas Rangers	32	17	125	534	104	31	29	53%	3.9	19.5%	5.8%	13.7%	5.4%	5.41	5.20	-0.4
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	20	110	470	132	42	30	67%	3.7	25.2%	9.3%	15.9%	6.9%	5.15	5.95	-1.3
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	20	110	470	132	42	30	67%	3.7	28.1%	8.9%	19.1%	6.4%	5.15	5.39	-0.6
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	5	19	84	21	6	2	83%	3.2	23.2%	7.1%	16.1%	3.6%	5.21	4.00	+0.2
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	5	19	84	21	6	2	83%	3.2	25.0%	7.1%	17.9%	2.4%	5.21	3.21	+0.4
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	21	118	531	107	44	23	70%	3.9	17.6%	7.9%	9.8%	4.3%	5.51	4.99	-0.1
2024	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	30	21	118	531	107	44	23	70%	3.9	17.6%	7.9%	9.8%	4.3%	5.51	4.99	-0.1
2024	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	30	21	118	531	107	44	23	70%	3.9	20.2%	8.3%	11.9%	4.3%	5.51	4.94	-0.1
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	6	82	336	55	16	7	16%	2.2	15.8%	4.6%	11.2%	2.1%	3.09	3.50	+1.0
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	6	82	336	55	16	7	16%	2.2	15.8%	4.6%	11.2%	2.1%	3.09	3.50	+1.0
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	6	82	336	55	16	7	16%	2.2	16.4%	4.8%	11.6%	2.1%	3.09	3.46	+1.1
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	12	75	338	67	21	10	63%	4.0	17.0%	5.8%	11.2%	3.0%	6.09	4.05	+0.8
2026	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	12	75	338	67	21	10	63%	4.0	17.0%	5.8%	11.2%	3.0%	6.09	4.05	+0.8
2026	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	12	75	338	67	21	10	63%	4.0	19.8%	6.2%	13.6%	3.0%	6.09	3.88	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			113	44	346	1512	278	104	62	39%	3.1	18.4%	6.9%	11.5%	4.1%	5.47	4.73	-0.7
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	29	MLB	CLE	12	12	70	296	46	17	9	100%	5.8	15.6%	5.7%	9.9%	2.9%	4.12	4.48	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CLE	11	11	66	279	41	17	9	100%	6.0	14.9%	6.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.46	4.69	+0.2
2029	31	MLB MLE	CLE	10	10	62	260	37	16	9	100%	6.2	14.1%	6.3%	7.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.92	-0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	CLE	4	4	24	101	15	6	3	100%	6.0	14.9%	6.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.46	4.69	+0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	34	144	20	9	5	100%	5.7	14.1%	6.3%	7.8%	3.3%	4.74	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		123	54	404	1758	313	119	70	44%	3.3	17.8%	6.8%	11.1%	4.0%	5.35	4.64	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		61	27	200	870	155	59	35	44%	3.3	17.8%	6.8%	11.1%	4.0%	5.35	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		263	185	1086	4632	876	350	154	70%	4.1	18.9%	7.6%	11.4%	3.3%	4.41	4.29	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		48	34	200	853	161	64	28	70%	4.1	18.9%	7.6%	11.4%	3.3%	4.41	4.29	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kolby Allard (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.48	15.6%	5.7%	2.9%	—	4.80	14.5%	8.3%	128	+0.32	—	—	—
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	77
Kwang Hyun Kim L 2020 · 3.76 FIP	32	SP	3.76	15.6%	6.5%	2.1%	.214	4.21	17.7%	9.5%	107	+0.45	3.76	146	73
John Bale L 2003 · 4.12 FIP	29	SP	4.12	19.0%	5.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	2.49	168	66
Duane Below L 2015 · 3.63 FIP	29	SW	3.63	12.5%	3.7%	2.0%	.266	4.57	14.7%	9.6%	140	+0.94	3.63	265	65
Andrew Albers L 2015 · 4.13 FIP	29	SP-	4.13	12.4%	7.2%	2.1%	.354	3.51	17.9%	12.6%	303	-0.62	2.98	568	63
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	62
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	62
Brad Mills L 2014 · 5.61 FIP	29	SP-	5.61	18.8%	10.9%	5.0%	.364	5.00	14.5%	4.0%	182	-0.61	4.22	243	61
Marco Tovar L 2017 · 5.04 FIP	28	SP-	5.04	16.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.317	4.78	12.6%	7.0%	82	-0.26	3.78	327	60
Eric Stults L 2009 · 3.95 FIP	29	SP	3.95	14.8%	10.8%	1.4%	.294	4.00	13.3%	6.9%	111	+0.05	3.50	773	59
John Lamb L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	28	SP	4.64	22.5%	7.2%	4.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	390	59
Chris O'Grady L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SP-	4.33	21.4%	9.0%	3.5%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	232	58
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	57
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	57
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	56
Adam Wilk L 2017 · 5.53 FIP	29	SP-	5.53	14.5%	6.1%	5.2%	.338	4.77	13.5%	5.2%	165	-0.76	3.29	480	56
Brandon Mann L 2016 · 4.72 FIP	32	SP	4.72	19.4%	7.9%	4.1%	.320	3.97	19.0%	7.6%	128	-0.75	3.59	190	56
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	55
Brian Burres L 2010 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	12.4%	8.3%	2.7%	.281	6.49	16.7%	10.0%	14	+1.91	4.50	344	55
Aríel Miranda L 2018 · 4.21 FIP	29	SP	4.21	17.9%	12.8%	1.8%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	431	55

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.7	60	17.1%	6.8%	1.45	5.09
Ron Taylor ('62-'72, 3 WAR*)	4.0	80	17.8%*	6.8%*	1.26*	4.74*
Adam Morgan ('21)	1.8	62	20.8%	7.2%	1.58	4.80
Chuck Hartenstein ('66-'77, -1 WAR*)	1.5	59	13.7%*	7.2%*	1.50*	5.28*
Scott Bailes ('86-'98, -3 WAR*)	3.4	76	15.4%*	8.2%*	1.35*	5.02*
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Jorge López ('25)	2.8	70	19.8%	8.8%	1.36	5.31