Joe McCarthy

PosLF

B/TL/L

Born1994-02-23

Age (2027)33

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2018	24	AAA/INTL2 orgs	248	.262/.378/.481	9	3	107	—	.222/.312/.419
2019	25	AAASF	271	.185/.310/.335	7	1	36	—	.136/.239/.237
2021	27	AAASF	315	.305/.388/.542	15	4	107	—	.256/.321/.435

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	22	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	237	198	56	9	3	5	28	38	5	8	3	283	385	434	820	152	317	16	12	360	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	193	153	44	12	0	3	33	30	5	11	2	288	429	425	854	137	336	16	17	387	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	554	454	129	31	8	7	90	94	7	20	5	284	409	434	843	150	344	17	16	380	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	191	160	43	13	1	8	25	43	4	3	1	269	381	512	893	244	315	23	13	389	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	57	46	11	3	0	1	8	15	2	0	0	239	368	370	738	130	333	26	14	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	271	227	42	9	2	7	37	84	4	1	0	185	310	335	645	150	252	31	14	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	315	275	84	18	1	15	32	61	5	4	1	305	388	542	930	236	342	19	10	404	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	22	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	237	206	46	6	2	4	20	55	5	8	3	223	307	330	637	107	269	23	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	193	165	41	11	0	2	21	40	5	11	2	248	351	352	702	103	305	21	11	321	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	554	485	117	29	6	6	60	115	7	20	5	241	333	363	696	122	302	21	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	191	167	37	10	1	7	18	50	4	3	1	222	312	419	731	198	262	26	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	271	236	32	7	1	5	28	112	4	1	0	136	239	237	476	102	216	41	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	315	285	73	16	1	11	22	71	5	4	1	256	321	435	756	179	297	23	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	430	370	88	18	2	6	42	96	10	19	5	238	332	346	678	108	297	22	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	430	351	100	21	3	8	61	68	10	19	5	285	405	430	835	145	325	16	14	372	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	554	485	117	29	6	6	60	115	7	20	5	241	333	363	696	122	303	21	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	554	454	129	31	8	7	90	94	7	20	5	284	409	434	843	150	344	17	16	380	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	248	216	48	13	1	10	24	65	6	3	1	222	317	431	748	208	266	26	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	248	206	54	16	1	9	33	58	6	3	1	262	378	481	859	218	319	23	13	378	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	271	236	32	7	1	5	28	112	4	1	0	136	239	237	476	102	221	41	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	271	227	42	9	2	7	37	84	4	1	0	185	310	335	645	150	252	31	14	295	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	315	285	73	16	1	11	22	71	5	4	1	256	321	435	756	179	301	23	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	315	275	84	18	1	15	32	61	5	4	1	305	388	542	930	236	342	19	10	404	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	430	375	88	18	2	6	42	96	10	19	5	235	332	341	673	107	285	22	10	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	554	482	117	29	6	6	60	115	7	20	5	243	333	365	698	122	302	21	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	248	216	48	13	1	10	24	65	6	3	1	222	317	431	748	208	262	26	10	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	271	237	32	7	1	5	28	112	4	1	0	135	239	236	475	101	216	41	10	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	315	285	73	16	1	11	22	71	5	4	1	256	321	435	756	179	297	23	7	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	1818	1592	358	83	11	38	176	459	32	47	12	225	314	362	677	138	288	25	10	300	89	-24	+5	+0	-19	+39	0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	129	30	4	14	63	164	11	17	4	227	315	367	683	141	290	25	10	300	89	-9	+2	+0	-7	+14	0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAASacramento River Cats · 315 PAwOBA .396 → .327 (−68)K% 19.4% → 22.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.37%	÷1.034	×1.200	—	—	22.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.84%	÷0.956	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.13%
HBP% /PA	1.59%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.50%
Singles /BIP	23.36%	÷1.049	×0.930	×0.991	×1.003	20.58%
Doubles /BIP	8.41%	÷0.916	×0.830	×0.991	×1.003	7.58%
Triples /BIP	0.47%	÷0.900	×0.920	×0.991	×1.003	0.47%
Home runs /BIP	7.01%	÷0.995	×0.700	—	×1.003	4.95%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 110, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 107, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .396 → .327; ISO .236 → .184; BABIP .342 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 271 PAwOBA .291 → .221 (−70)K% 31.0% → 41.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.00%	÷0.971	×1.290	—	—	41.16%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.65%	÷0.980	×0.710	—	×1.033	10.21%
HBP% /PA	1.48%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	1.49%
Singles /BIP	16.78%	÷0.982	×0.900	×0.950	×1.033	15.09%
Doubles /BIP	6.29%	÷0.981	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	5.10%
Triples /BIP	1.40%	÷1.008	×0.810	×0.950	×1.033	1.10%
Home runs /BIP	4.90%	÷1.027	×0.780	—	×1.033	3.84%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 96, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .291 → .221; ISO .150 → .106; BABIP .252 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAADurham Bulls · 191 PAwOBA .383 → .322 (−62)K% 22.5% → 26.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.51%	÷1.032	×1.200	—	—	26.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.09%	÷0.986	×0.690	—	×1.048	9.60%
HBP% /PA	2.09%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.06%
Singles /BIP	17.95%	÷1.052	×0.930	×0.950	×1.048	15.80%
Doubles /BIP	11.11%	÷1.091	×0.830	×0.950	×1.048	8.42%
Triples /BIP	0.85%	÷0.993	×0.970	×0.950	×1.048	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	6.84%	÷0.970	×0.840	—	×1.048	6.21%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 99, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .383 → .322; ISO .244 → .213; BABIP .315 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 554 PAwOBA .371 → .310 (−61)K% 17.0% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.97%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	20.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.88%	÷1.018	×0.680	—	×1.027	10.90%
HBP% /PA	1.26%	—	×0.840	—	×1.027	1.09%
Singles /BIP	23.06%	÷1.013	×0.920	×0.950	×1.027	20.42%
Doubles /BIP	8.61%	÷0.986	×0.910	×0.950	×1.027	7.75%
Triples /BIP	2.22%	÷1.146	×0.880	×0.950	×1.027	1.67%
Home runs /BIP	1.94%	÷1.008	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.58%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .371 → .310; ISO .150 → .130; BABIP .344 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Charlotte Stone Crabs · 237 PAwOBA .360 → .288 (−72)K% 16.0% → 23.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.03%	÷0.971	×1.420	—	—	23.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.81%	÷1.040	×0.750	—	×1.012	8.63%
HBP% /PA	2.11%	—	×0.930	—	×1.012	1.99%
Singles /BIP	24.38%	÷1.011	×0.920	×0.975	×1.012	21.89%
Doubles /BIP	5.62%	÷1.290	×0.960	×0.975	×1.012	4.13%
Triples /BIP	1.88%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.975	×1.012	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.142	×0.880	—	×1.012	2.44%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 158, 3B 130, K 94, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .360 → .288; ISO .152 → .111; BABIP .317 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 ABowling Green Hot Rods · 193 PAwOBA .378 → .321 (−57)K% 15.5% → 20.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.54%	÷1.018	×1.360	—	—	20.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.06%	÷0.999	×0.690	—	—	11.10%
HBP% /PA	2.59%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.02%
Singles /BIP	23.58%	÷1.007	×0.920	×1.012	—	21.78%
Doubles /BIP	9.76%	÷0.945	×0.830	×1.012	—	8.66%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.956	×0.910	×1.012	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.028	×0.800	—	—	1.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 101, 2B 89, 3B 91, K 104, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .378 → .321; ISO .137 → .120; BABIP .336 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .