Anderson Miller
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 24 | AANorthwest Ark… | 470 | .255/.309/.414 | 13 | 10 | 59 | — | .214/.251/.338 |
| 2019 | 25 | AANorthwest Ark… | 330 | .248/.296/.342 | 5 | 10 | 29 | — | .182/.220/.252 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAAKC | 251 | .215/.306/.406 | 12 | 9 | 48 | — | .168/.242/.296 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 185 | 169 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 260 | 321 | 355 | 676 | 95 | 300 | 15 | 8 | 305 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK | Burlington Royals | — | 42 | 41 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 341 | 357 | 561 | 918 | 220 | 375 | 17 | 0 | 402 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 160 | 144 | 29 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 201 | 268 | 361 | 629 | 160 | 283 | 31 | 8 | 275 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 180 | 155 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 51 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 284 | 376 | 432 | 809 | 148 | 406 | 28 | 12 | 359 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 230 | 265 | 296 | 560 | 66 | 301 | 25 | 4 | 252 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 307 | 269 | 78 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 60 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 290 | 378 | 439 | 817 | 149 | 351 | 20 | 12 | 366 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 470 | 432 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 255 | 309 | 414 | 723 | 160 | 287 | 18 | 7 | 319 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 330 | 307 | 76 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 86 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 248 | 296 | 342 | 638 | 94 | 327 | 26 | 6 | 286 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 251 | 219 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 67 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 306 | 406 | 713 | 192 | 246 | 27 | 10 | 316 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 185 | 174 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 218 | 261 | 282 | 542 | 63 | 277 | 21 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | ROK MLE | Burlington Royals | — | 42 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 244 | 262 | 366 | 628 | 122 | 297 | 24 | 0 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 160 | 148 | 24 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 68 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 162 | 210 | 297 | 507 | 135 | 253 | 42 | 5 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 180 | 165 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 67 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 287 | 333 | 620 | 103 | 362 | 37 | 7 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 225 | 215 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 71 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 191 | 220 | 233 | 452 | 42 | 278 | 32 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Wilmington Blue Rocks | — | 307 | 284 | 70 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 85 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 246 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 127 | 333 | 28 | 7 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 470 | 444 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 103 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 214 | 251 | 338 | 589 | 124 | 252 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 330 | 313 | 57 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 109 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 182 | 220 | 252 | 472 | 70 | 263 | 33 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 251 | 226 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 168 | 242 | 296 | 538 | 128 | 214 | 33 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 215 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 265 | 316 | 582 | 88 | 279 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 227 | 210 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 276 | 327 | 395 | 723 | 119 | 314 | 15 | 6 | 323 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 313 | 61 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 134 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 195 | 248 | 300 | 548 | 105 | 324 | 39 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 340 | 299 | 73 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 101 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 244 | 325 | 398 | 723 | 154 | 347 | 30 | 10 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 499 | 113 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 156 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 226 | 272 | 323 | 594 | 96 | 310 | 29 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 532 | 482 | 127 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 116 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 263 | 330 | 376 | 706 | 112 | 330 | 22 | 8 | 318 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 470 | 444 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 103 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 214 | 251 | 338 | 589 | 124 | 255 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 470 | 432 | 110 | 22 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 83 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 255 | 309 | 414 | 723 | 160 | 287 | 18 | 7 | 319 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 330 | 313 | 57 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 109 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 182 | 220 | 252 | 472 | 70 | 264 | 33 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 330 | 307 | 76 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 86 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 248 | 296 | 342 | 638 | 94 | 327 | 26 | 6 | 286 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 251 | 226 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 168 | 242 | 296 | 538 | 128 | 217 | 33 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 251 | 219 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 67 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 215 | 306 | 406 | 713 | 192 | 246 | 27 | 10 | 316 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 227 | 214 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 229 | 265 | 318 | 583 | 89 | 281 | 21 | 4 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 340 | 315 | 61 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 134 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 194 | 248 | 298 | 546 | 105 | 311 | 39 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 532 | 496 | 113 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 156 | 3 | 18 | 4 | 228 | 272 | 325 | 596 | 97 | 310 | 29 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 470 | 445 | 95 | 17 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 103 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 213 | 251 | 337 | 588 | 124 | 252 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 330 | 312 | 57 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 109 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 183 | 220 | 253 | 473 | 71 | 263 | 33 | 4 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 251 | 227 | 38 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 82 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 167 | 242 | 295 | 537 | 128 | 214 | 33 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2150 | 2010 | 413 | 66 | 13 | 38 | 108 | 632 | 15 | 58 | 22 | 205 | 251 | 308 | 559 | 102 | 278 | 29 | 5 | 246 | 52 | -122 | +3 | +0 | +8 | +47 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 124 | 20 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 191 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 204 | 251 | 304 | 555 | 100 | 277 | 29 | 5 | 246 | 52 | -37 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 251 PAwOBA .310 → .239 (−71)K% 26.7% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.69% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.08% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 17.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.95% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 3.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.936 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.89% | ÷1.027 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 5.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .310 → .239; ISO .192 → .132; BABIP .246 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 330 PAwOBA .279 → .211 (−68)K% 26.1% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.06% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.15% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 21.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.62% | ÷0.986 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.36% | ÷1.091 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.26% | ÷0.901 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 117, 2B 97, 3B 118, K 92, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .279 → .211; ISO .094 → .075; BABIP .327 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 470 PAwOBA .310 → .256 (−53)K% 17.7% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.66% | ÷0.979 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.60% | ÷1.049 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.21% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 18.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.30% | ÷1.113 | ×0.840 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.956 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.72% | ÷1.008 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.99% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 109, 2B 123, 3B 91, K 96, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .310 → .256; ISO .160 → .130; BABIP .287 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 307 PAwOBA .354 → .304 (−50)K% 19.5% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.54% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.75% | ÷0.979 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷1.017 | ×0.940 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 25.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.91% | ÷1.025 | ×0.800 | ×1.044 | ×0.998 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.35% | ÷0.810 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 3.71% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 105, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .354 → .304; ISO .149 → .140; BABIP .351 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 225 PAwOBA .247 → .205 (−41)K% 24.9% → 31.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.89% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.84% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 23.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.10% | ÷1.091 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.27% | ÷1.114 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.94% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 110, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .247 → .205; ISO .066 → .049; BABIP .301 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ALexington Legends · 180 PAwOBA .350 → .266 (−85)K% 28.3% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.33% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 37.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷1.177 | ×0.660 | — | — | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | — | 26.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.54% | ÷1.113 | ×0.820 | ×1.014 | — | 8.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.96% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.014 | — | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.317 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.80% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 93, 2B 123, 3B 98, K 105, BB 135 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .350 → .266; ISO .148 → .103; BABIP .406 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 160 PAwOBA .270 → .207 (−62)K% 31.2% → 42.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.25% | ÷1.051 | ×1.420 | — | — | 42.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.014 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.96% | ÷1.024 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 14.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 7.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.999 | ×1.012 | 2.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷0.954 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 3.05% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 105, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 110, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .270 → .207; ISO .160 → .125; BABIP .283 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ALexington Legends · 185 PAwOBA .299 → .248 (−50)K% 15.1% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.14% | ÷0.974 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.57% | ÷1.074 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.026 | ×0.820 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.020 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×1.015 | 0.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.42% | ÷1.103 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 99, 2B 105, 3B 104, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .299 → .248; ISO .095 → .075; BABIP .300 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).