Donovan Casey — OGILVIE

Donovan CaseyRF Mexico

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 223 lbs INTL HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .287 / .344

PA170

HR4

K%29

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	170	159	50	4	1	5	7	30	3	6	2	314	355	447	802	132	360	18	4	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	170	154	62	6	2	7	12	21	3	6	2	403	456	604	1.060	201	433	12	7	462	212	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	290	269	51	7	2	5	15	114	1	2	1	190	235	286	521	97	297	39	5	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+	2 teams	—	290	260	67	11	3	7	24	78	1	2	1	258	323	404	727	146	333	27	8	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	546	508	92	16	5	19	33	239	3	22	3	181	235	344	580	163	290	44	6	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	546	497	129	22	9	23	44	174	3	22	3	260	324	479	802	219	351	32	8	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	589	545	119	20	1	13	30	244	10	25	6	218	272	330	602	112	363	41	5	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	3 teams	—	589	531	142	29	2	18	44	176	10	25	6	267	335	431	766	164	364	30	7	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	294	56	10	3	5	15	106	4	6	2	190	240	296	536	105	274	33	5	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	287	62	10	3	7	22	97	4	6	2	216	281	345	626	129	296	31	7	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA	2 teams	—	278	256	39	6	0	1	18	116	2	8	2	152	214	188	401	35	270	42	6	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA	2 teams	—	278	246	48	8	0	2	28	90	2	8	2	195	283	252	535	57	295	32	10	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	2 teams	—	323	298	34	5	0	0	15	143	6	26	5	114	172	131	303	17	215	44	5	153	-25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	2 teams	—	323	289	71	14	1	3	24	80	6	26	5	246	317	332	649	87	325	25	7	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	LAD	—	170	153	34	6	1	4	13	49	2	4	1	222	292	353	645	131	295	29	8	286	77	-4	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	LAD	22%	157	142	32	6	1	4	12	45	2	3	1	225	295	366	661	141	292	29	8	285	77	-4	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.4
2027	31	MLB	LAD	22%	34	31	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	288	29	9	273	67	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	34	31	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	300	29	9	273	67	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	134	19	0	19	57	191	0	19	0	226	294	354	648	128	300	29	9	273	67	-24	+4	-12	-7	+18	-2.1
Career	—			—	2840	2624	507	80	14	56	158	1086	33	102	23	193	248	298	546	105	300	38	6	243	44	-180	+11	-3	-30	+80	-12.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	116	18	3	13	36	249	8	23	5	193	248	298	546	105	299	38	6	243	44	-41	+3	-1	-7	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	170	154	62	6	2	7	12	21	3	6	2	403	456	604	1.060	201	433	12	7	462	212	+22	+0	—	—	+5	2.7
2018	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	269	241	61	8	2	6	23	72	1	2	1	253	321	378	698	124	329	27	9	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2018	22	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	21	19	6	3	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	316	350	737	1.087	421	385	29	5	436	192	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2019	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	101	94	20	4	0	3	7	34	0	2	0	213	267	351	618	138	298	34	7	277	71	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2019	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	445	403	109	18	9	20	37	140	3	20	3	270	336	509	845	238	363	31	8	367	139	+20	+3	—	—	+13	3.6
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	147	134	24	9	0	2	9	57	3	5	0	179	247	291	538	112	289	39	6	245	45	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2021	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	385	350	106	17	2	14	27	111	6	17	5	303	363	483	846	180	405	29	7	373	143	+19	+1	—	—	+11	3.2
2021	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	57	47	12	3	0	2	8	8	1	3	1	255	375	447	822	191	263	14	14	363	136	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	287	62	10	3	7	22	97	4	6	2	216	281	345	626	129	296	31	7	279	72	-10	+0	—	—	+9	-0.1
2023	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	258	231	46	7	0	2	23	83	2	7	1	199	277	255	533	56	297	32	9	249	48	-15	+1	—	—	+7	-0.7
2023	27	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	15	2	1	0	0	5	7	0	1	1	133	350	200	550	67	250	35	25	284	75	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	28	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	98	87	14	2	0	0	7	31	4	9	2	161	255	184	439	23	250	32	7	217	24	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	28	INTL	Mexico	—	225	202	57	12	1	3	17	49	2	17	3	282	344	396	740	114	353	22	8	328	109	+2	+2	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jose Maciaslast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,785 PA	6	1,785	25	43	256	298	370	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	9	16	256	298	370	-3.1	+0.6	0.5	pk7: 1
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	204	5	4	221	287	349	-2	-1	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	15	15	221	287	349	-7.1	-3.3	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Donovan Casey (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	219/287/344	126	295	4	4	29%	7%	77	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→45	48→55	47→50	43	215/278/354	140	275	15	11	28%	7%	76	+0.0	206/271/344	138	287	17	10	33%	7%	70	-0.3	181/260/337	157	237	23	11	34%	8%	60	-0.5
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	42→46	47→55	50→40	38	212/264/344	132	290	15	11	32%	5%	67	-0.5	203/278/360	157	286	19	7	34%	8%	77	+0.1	165/252/321	156	223	21	1	35%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	42	45→50	49→50	41	213/268/337	124	286	13	11	30%	6%	66	-0.6	208/271/377	169	328	22	14	41%	7%	79	+0.3	153/218/323	171	234	27	18	47%	6%	41	-0.9
✕Josh Prince 2018 · AA	30	44→49	43→40	50→60	43	217/274/327	110	290	11	15	28%	7%	66	-0.6	231/299/344	113	331	11	14	31%	8%	81	+0.4	233/308/333	101	337	10	15	31%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Gorneault 2009 · AAA	30	43→48	49→55	45→50	44	220/279/367	147	282	18	12	28%	7%	79	+0.3	203/254/338	135	271	15	10	30%	6%	61	-1.0	186/236/314	129	249	14	9	31%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	46→48	46→50	53→55	44	230/291/359	129	285	14	20	24%	6%	82	+0.5	218/276/336	118	282	13	17	26%	6%	69	-0.4	197/255/299	102	260	11	18	28%	6%	49	-0.6
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	50→55	46	220/285/327	107	284	11	16	26%	8%	71	-0.3	219/288/382	163	284	20	14	29%	8%	87	+0.8	199/271/381	183	248	24	14	30%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Christian Bethancourt 2022 · AAA	30	47→52	48→55	49→50	39	236/275/374	137	298	16	8	26%	5%	79	+0.3	233/266/388	155	289	19	8	26%	4%	79	+0.3	226/257/383	157	275	20	7	26%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Brent Clevlen 2015 · AAA	31	42→52	47→50	52→50	42	213/271/348	135	292	15	9	32%	7%	70	-0.3	217/265/354	137	300	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	205/253/340	134	279	18	7	32%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Webster Rivas 2021 · AAA	30	44	44→45	48→40	43	222/274/335	113	279	12	6	25%	6%	68	-0.5	220/294/317	97	294	9	4	26%	9%	72	-0.2	212/297/295	82	286	7	1	26%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Corey Smith 2012 · AAA	30	42→46	45→55	48→50	39	211/252/331	120	273	13	8	28%	5%	57	-1.2	228/272/380	152	291	18	7	28%	5%	79	+0.3	235/280/421	186	286	24	4	26%	5%	89	+0.7
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	43→48	48→55	47→40	41	220/278/361	141	298	17	8	31%	7%	77	+0.1	253/305/461	208	310	28	7	27%	6%	115	+2.7	242/295/439	197	299	26	3	28%	5%	102	+0.8
✕David Matranga 2008 · AAA	31	40	46→45	51→50	43	206/273/329	123	265	14	13	28%	7%	67	-0.5	218/294/343	125	294	13	9	29%	8%	79	+0.3	211/297/329	119	288	12	5	29%	9%	75	+0.0
✕Rusty Ryal 2013 · MLB	30	44→46	44→55	51→45	34	218/256/334	116	299	12	10	31%	3%	60	-1.0	213/255/309	96	287	9	6	28%	4%	53	-1.5	212/250/281	70	289	5	0	27%	3%	40	-1.6
✕Nick Tanielu 2023 · AAA	30	39→49	44→50	48→40	44	201/260/320	120	251	12	5	25%	7%	59	-1.1	220/281/372	152	288	16	8	28%	6%	82	+0.5	211/280/406	196	275	21	2	31%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Miles Durham 2012 · AAA	29	45→50	44→50	48→50	38	216/266/336	120	314	10	10	34%	6%	65	-0.7	205/255/310	105	304	8	13	33%	6%	53	-1.5	171/219/255	85	254	5	19	33%	5%	25	-1.1
✕Clete Thomas 2014 · MLB	30	42→52	48→50	48→55	42	216/270/359	144	289	16	13	31%	7%	73	-0.1	224/287/342	118	297	11	14	27%	8%	76	+0.0	217/285/291	74	293	3	21	25%	8%	58	-0.4
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	44→45	52→55	48	198/302/313	116	269	11	19	29%	9%	77	+0.1	225/308/344	119	307	11	22	28%	9%	85	+0.7	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2
✕Denis Phipps 2014 · AAA	29	43→53	45→50	50	40	215/266/340	125	291	12	12	30%	6%	66	-0.6	203/251/330	127	274	13	12	30%	5%	57	-1.2	162/199/303	141	213	18	9	34%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Brandon Barnes 2016 · MLB	30	43→53	42→55	46→50	41	212/264/316	104	285	9	13	28%	6%	59	-1.1	211/257/317	106	299	9	15	31%	5%	56	-1.3	217/268/366	150	301	18	15	33%	5%	71	-0.2