Donovan Casey — OGILVIE

Donovan CaseyRF Mexico

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 223 lbs INTL HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .289 / .347

PA15

HR0

K%28

BB%7

ISO127

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	21	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	170	154	62	6	2	7	12	21	3	6	2	403	456	604	1.060	201	433	12	7	462	199	+20	+0	—	—	+4	2.5
2018	22	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	269	241	61	8	2	6	23	72	1	2	1	253	321	378	698	124	329	27	9	310	96	-1	+0	—	—	+6	0.5
2018	22	ROK	AZL Dodgers	—	21	19	6	3	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	316	350	737	1.087	421	385	29	5	436	181	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2019	23	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	101	94	20	4	0	3	7	34	0	2	0	213	267	351	618	138	298	34	7	277	74	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2019	23	A+	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	445	403	109	18	9	20	37	140	3	20	3	270	336	509	845	238	363	31	8	367	135	+18	+3	—	—	+10	3.1
2021	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	147	134	24	9	0	2	9	57	3	5	0	179	247	291	538	112	289	39	6	245	52	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	25	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	385	350	106	17	2	14	27	111	6	17	5	303	363	483	846	180	405	29	7	373	138	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.8
2021	25	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	57	47	12	3	0	2	8	8	1	3	1	255	375	447	822	191	263	14	14	363	131	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	26	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	287	62	10	3	7	22	97	4	6	2	216	281	345	626	129	296	31	7	279	75	-9	+0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2023	27	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	258	231	46	7	0	2	23	83	2	7	1	199	277	255	533	56	297	32	9	249	54	-14	+1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2023	27	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	15	2	1	0	0	5	7	0	1	1	133	350	200	550	67	250	35	25	284	78	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	28	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	98	87	14	2	0	0	7	31	4	9	2	161	255	184	439	23	250	32	7	217	33	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	28	INTL	Mexico	—	225	202	57	12	1	3	17	49	2	17	3	282	344	396	740	114	353	22	8	328	108	+2	+2	—	—	+5	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	170	159	50	4	1	5	7	30	3	6	2	314	355	447	802	132	361	18	4	353	125	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2018	22	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	269	249	50	6	1	5	15	101	1	2	1	201	249	293	542	92	296	38	6	237	47	-17	+0	—	—	+6	-1.2
2018	22	ROK MLE	AZL Dodgers	—	21	19	5	2	1	1	1	9	0	0	0	263	300	632	932	368	278	43	5	297	87	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2019	23	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	101	97	16	3	0	2	4	44	0	2	0	165	198	258	456	93	271	44	4	206	26	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2019	23	A+ MLE	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	445	412	78	13	5	16	28	189	3	20	3	189	246	362	608	172	295	42	6	263	64	-19	+3	—	—	+10	-0.7
2021	25	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	147	137	17	6	0	1	6	70	3	5	0	124	178	190	368	66	243	48	4	175	5	-17	+1	—	—	+3	-1.3
2021	25	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	385	357	93	13	2	10	20	138	6	17	5	261	311	392	703	132	387	36	5	302	91	-4	+1	—	—	+8	0.6
2022	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	295	53	9	3	4	14	111	4	6	2	180	227	271	498	92	262	35	4	223	37	-24	+0	—	—	+7	-1.7
2023	27	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	258	238	39	6	0	1	16	101	2	7	1	164	223	202	424	38	270	39	6	196	19	-25	+1	—	—	+6	-1.9
2023	27	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	20	17	2	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	1	118	250	176	426	59	213	50	15	175	5	-2	-0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2024	28	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	98	89	12	2	0	0	5	39	4	9	2	135	214	157	372	22	227	40	5	166	-1	-12	+1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2017	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	170	159	50	4	1	5	7	30	3	6	2	314	355	447	802	132	360	18	4	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	—	170	154	62	6	2	7	12	21	3	6	2	403	456	604	1.060	201	433	12	7	462	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	290	268	53	8	2	5	16	110	1	2	1	198	246	299	544	101	304	38	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	290	260	67	11	3	7	24	78	1	2	1	258	323	404	727	146	333	27	8	319	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	509	95	16	5	19	32	233	3	22	3	187	239	350	589	163	293	43	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	546	497	129	22	9	23	44	174	3	22	3	260	324	479	802	219	351	32	8	351	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	589	546	122	22	2	12	29	230	10	25	6	223	275	337	612	114	357	39	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	589	531	142	29	2	18	44	176	10	25	6	267	335	431	766	164	364	30	7	340	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	295	53	9	3	4	14	111	4	6	2	180	227	271	498	92	268	35	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	287	62	10	3	7	22	97	4	6	2	216	281	345	626	129	296	31	7	279	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	278	255	40	6	0	1	19	111	2	8	2	157	221	192	413	35	269	40	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	278	246	48	8	0	2	28	90	2	8	2	195	283	252	535	57	295	32	10	251	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	323	298	38	5	0	0	15	130	6	26	5	128	185	144	329	17	222	40	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	323	289	71	14	1	3	24	80	6	26	5	246	317	332	649	87	325	25	7	294	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	170	158	50	4	1	5	7	30	3	6	2	316	355	449	804	133	361	18	4	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	290	271	53	8	2	5	16	110	1	2	1	196	246	295	541	100	295	38	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	546	506	95	16	5	19	32	233	3	22	3	188	239	352	591	164	291	43	6	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	589	545	122	22	2	12	29	230	10	25	6	224	275	338	613	114	347	39	5	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	317	296	53	9	3	4	14	111	4	6	2	179	227	270	497	91	262	35	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	278	255	40	6	0	1	19	111	2	8	2	157	221	192	413	35	266	40	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	323	299	38	5	0	0	15	130	6	26	5	127	185	144	329	17	227	40	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	278	255	40	6	0	1	19	111	2	8	2	157	221	192	413	35	266	40	7	194	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	323	299	38	5	0	0	15	130	6	26	5	127	185	144	329	17	227	40	5	166	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	30	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	295	27	7	288	81	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	LAD	22%	157	142	32	6	1	4	12	44	2	3	1	225	295	366	661	141	292	28	8	287	81	-4	+0	-3	-2	+3	-0.5
2027	31	MLB CTX	LAD	22%	34	31	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	288	29	9	277	81	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	31	7	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	226	294	355	649	129	300	29	9	277	51	-1	+0	-1	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	134	19	0	19	57	191	0	19	0	226	294	354	648	128	300	29	9	277	51	-15	+4	-12	-7	+14	-1.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2685	2486	486	77	14	50	145	1003	31	98	22	195	249	298	547	103	300	37	5	243	51	-4	+0	-3	-2	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	602	118	19	3	12	35	243	8	24	5	196	250	297	547	101	301	37	5	243	51	-15	+1	-11	-7	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	204	5	4	224	289	351	-2	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	15	15	-7.1	-3.3	-0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Donovan Casey (OGILVIE)	30	—	—	—	—	221/289/347	126	295	4	4	28%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→45	45→55	47→50	44	212/276/337	125	273	13	11	27%	7%	74	-0.6	204/271/326	122	279	14	10	30%	7%	70	-0.9	176/257/306	130	226	18	11	30%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Jason Repko 2011 · MLB	30	46→48	45→50	53→55	45	229/291/353	124	286	13	20	24%	7%	82	+0.0	217/277/333	116	281	12	17	26%	7%	72	-0.7	196/254/299	103	257	11	18	27%	6%	54	-0.7
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	43→44	47→50	50→40	41	215/274/348	133	292	15	11	31%	6%	75	-0.5	209/283/372	163	294	20	7	34%	8%	84	+0.2	174/256/339	165	233	22	1	35%	8%	65	-0.7
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43	46→50	49→50	42	215/271/341	126	287	13	11	30%	6%	72	-0.7	204/270/355	151	326	19	14	41%	7%	76	-0.4	143/213/283	140	229	22	18	47%	7%	37	-1.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2019 · MLB	30	45→47	43→45	51→55	46	222/287/329	107	284	11	16	25%	8%	75	-0.5	220/290/381	161	284	20	14	29%	8%	89	+0.5	199/274/379	180	248	24	14	30%	9%	80	-0.1
✕Nick Gorneault 2009 · AAA	30	43→48	49→55	45→50	44	220/280/367	147	282	18	12	28%	7%	82	-0.0	205/258/336	131	273	14	10	29%	6%	66	-1.1	189/239/311	122	252	12	9	29%	6%	50	-1.6
✕Niko Vasquez 2019 · AAA	30	46→41	48→50	47→45	42	234/288/376	142	298	16	10	27%	6%	87	+0.4	217/280/334	117	303	13	9	31%	7%	74	-0.5	189/254/277	88	267	12	4	32%	6%	50	-0.9
✕Adam Engel 2021 · MLB	29	48	46→50	51→60	40	237/289/371	134	311	13	15	28%	5%	86	+0.3	226/290/366	140	303	15	23	29%	6%	85	+0.2	203/276/332	129	289	14	30	33%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Christian Bethancourt 2022 · AAA	30	47→51	47→55	49→50	41	238/281/369	132	298	15	8	25%	5%	82	-0.0	234/269/387	153	290	19	8	26%	4%	82	+0.0	227/258/383	156	277	20	7	26%	4%	75	-0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2022 · MLB	30	40→50	43→45	52→55	48	196/301/308	112	267	11	19	28%	9%	78	-0.3	223/307/334	111	306	10	22	28%	9%	84	+0.2	221/304/328	106	311	9	22	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Brandon Barnes 2016 · MLB	30	46→53	43→55	46→50	41	225/276/337	112	301	10	13	28%	6%	72	-0.7	216/262/323	107	304	9	15	30%	5%	64	-1.3	209/262/343	134	294	15	15	33%	5%	67	-0.9
✕Mario Lisson 2014 · AAA	30	45→49	48→50	48→55	44	225/289/368	142	283	15	14	26%	6%	86	+0.3	232/298/367	135	297	15	10	26%	7%	88	+0.5	230/303/360	129	300	15	8	27%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	44→48	47→55	47→40	42	218/280/350	132	300	15	8	31%	7%	78	-0.3	253/309/437	184	312	23	7	26%	6%	109	+2.0	246/301/422	176	304	21	3	26%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Josh Prince 2018 · AA	30	44→48	43→40	50→60	44	218/277/329	111	286	10	15	27%	7%	72	-0.7	234/302/344	110	326	10	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	237/313/333	96	333	8	15	29%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Jerad Head 2013 · MLB	30	44	48→50	50	40	223/278/368	144	274	16	9	25%	5%	82	-0.0	226/279/357	131	276	14	7	23%	5%	79	-0.2	221/269/345	124	265	13	2	22%	4%	68	-0.8
✕Brent Clevlen 2015 · AAA	31	43→52	47→50	52→50	42	217/274/352	136	293	14	9	30%	7%	76	-0.4	228/279/363	135	306	15	9	29%	7%	80	-0.2	225/275/358	133	298	16	7	29%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Kristopher Negrón 2015 · MLB	29	45→50	43→45	54→55	39	218/270/328	111	296	10	18	29%	5%	69	-0.9	214/268/322	108	281	10	16	26%	5%	67	-1.1	226/289/352	126	323	14	14	32%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2023 · MLB	30	39→49	47→50	48→45	43	200/270/332	132	274	15	9	31%	7%	70	-0.8	219/286/379	160	272	20	8	27%	8%	86	+0.3	214/283/391	177	245	24	5	24%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	43	50	43→40	41	222/284/377	155	275	18	5	26%	6%	86	+0.3	222/291/357	135	271	14	9	23%	6%	84	+0.2	199/277/318	119	239	11	9	21%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Jake Smolinski 2019 · MLB	30	42→50	48→55	48→45	44	218/281/357	139	265	17	8	25%	7%	80	-0.2	223/293/376	153	279	17	13	26%	7%	88	+0.5	212/285/366	155	258	16	16	24%	7%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps