Eli Lingos prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Eli Lingos P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 30 LHP 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.85

FIP4.85

K%19.0%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	AZL Indians 1	12	0	21	85	34	2	1	0%	1.7	27.2%	2.9%	24.3%	1.6%	2.61	2.08	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	AZL Indians 1	12	0	21	85	34	2	1	0%	1.7	40.0%	2.4%	37.6%	1.2%	2.61	0.73	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	11	108	444	99	31	11	34%	3.4	17.5%	7.9%	9.6%	2.9%	3.99	4.24	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	11	108	444	99	31	11	34%	3.4	22.3%	7.0%	15.3%	2.5%	3.99	3.45	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	6	6	20	88	16	9	0	100%	3.3	14.7%	11.3%	3.5%	0.0%	4.95	3.28	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Akron RubberDucks	6	6	20	88	16	9	0	100%	3.3	18.2%	10.2%	8.0%	0.0%	4.95	2.85	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	3	63	255	53	20	6	8%	1.7	17.4%	8.5%	8.9%	2.7%	3.13	4.20	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	3	63	255	53	20	6	8%	1.7	20.8%	7.8%	12.9%	2.4%	3.13	3.61	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	32	0	50	217	37	28	8	0%	1.6	14.7%	11.6%	3.1%	3.8%	5.01	5.43	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	32	0	50	217	37	28	8	0%	1.6	14.7%	11.6%	3.1%	3.8%	5.01	5.43	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	32	0	50	217	37	28	8	0%	1.6	17.1%	12.9%	4.1%	3.7%	5.01	5.36	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.0%	10.2%	8.8%	3.1%	4.85	4.85	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	COL	30	0	32	135	26	14	4	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.5%	8.6%	3.3%	4.92	5.00	-0.2
2027	31	MLB CTX	COL	11	0	12	51	10	5	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.5%	8.6%	3.3%	4.92	5.00	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	50	9	5	2	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.5%	8.6%	3.3%	4.92	4.62	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	153	85	34	0%	1.1	19.0%	10.5%	8.6%	3.3%	4.92	4.62	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		120	20	263	1089	190	94	30	17%	2.2	17.4%	8.7%	8.8%	2.7%	3.94	4.22	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	15	200	829	145	72	23	17%	2.2	17.4%	8.7%	8.8%	2.7%	3.94	4.22	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eli Lingos (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.85	19.0%	10.2%	3.1%	—	5.00	19.0%	8.6%	32	+0.15	—	—	—
Raul Valdes L 2010 · 4.02 FIP	32	SU	4.02	21.4%	9.9%	2.7%	.301	3.14	27.4%	22.5%	78	-0.88	2.29	160	83
Andrew Barbosa L 2017 · 4.67 FIP	29	SU	4.67	20.2%	9.6%	3.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.70	175	81
John Rheinecker L 2007 · 5.13 FIP	28	SW	5.13	16.7%	10.9%	3.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	121	75
Jimmy Reyes L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	28	SU	4.92	13.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	200	74
Tommy Phelps L 2004 · 4.80 FIP	30	SW	4.80	19.4%	8.3%	4.2%	.286	3.98	13.2%	5.7%	23	-0.82	3.39	120	74
Kelvin Marte L 2017 · 4.74 FIP	29	SW	4.74	16.1%	11.4%	2.8%	.300	5.25	12.0%	1.2%	71	+0.51	3.44	360	73
Randy Keisler L 2005 · 5.07 FIP	29	SW	5.07	16.4%	9.9%	3.8%	.295	5.51	6.5%	0.0%	17	+0.44	5.07	135	72
Kyle Hunter L 2017 · 4.50 FIP	28	SU	4.50	14.0%	6.1%	3.3%	.335	—	—	—	—	—	4.32	188	72
Jose Meraz L 2017 · 4.34 FIP	29	SU	4.34	16.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.282	3.80	10.5%	-2.0%	30	-0.54	3.78	110	71
Keith Hessler L 2018 · 4.96 FIP	29	SU	4.96	19.8%	13.3%	3.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	3.31	228	71
Jack Taschner L 2008 · 4.09 FIP	30	SU	4.09	17.2%	9.7%	2.2%	.323	4.73	15.2%	3.0%	49	+0.64	3.14	189	70
Brian Shouse L 2002 · 5.54 FIP	33	SU	5.54	15.5%	11.3%	4.2%	.245	3.31	16.3%	10.7%	159	-2.23	2.32	339	70
Ryan O'Rourke L 2019 · 4.08 FIP	31	SU	4.08	22.1%	14.3%	1.9%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	145	70
Justin Marks L 2017 · 3.83 FIP	29	SW	3.83	18.7%	11.0%	1.7%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	324	69
Juan Pablo Perez L 2007 · 5.32 FIP	28	SU	5.32	17.5%	14.0%	3.5%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	1.75	104	69
Aaron Brown L 2022 · 5.38 FIP	30	SU	5.38	21.3%	12.5%	4.5%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	4.04	269	69
Tom Martin L 2000 · 4.16 FIP	30	SU	4.16	14.7%	9.1%	2.1%	.274	4.29	21.8%	12.3%	68	+0.12	3.40	303	69
James Jones L 2019 · 4.28 FIP	30	SU	4.28	21.9%	13.0%	2.5%	.230	4.65	23.9%	8.8%	35	+0.37	3.58	127	68
Bobby Jones L 2002 · 5.24 FIP	30	SU	5.24	14.3%	12.7%	3.2%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	321	68
Kraig Sitton L 2017 · 3.87 FIP	29	SU	3.87	14.7%	6.1%	2.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	166	68

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	19.0%	10.4%	1.22	4.88
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10