Lorenzo Cedrola

PosCF

B/TR/R

Born1998-01-12

Age (2027)29

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLPROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	AAA/INTL2 orgs	341	.359/.424/.508	5	20	152	—	.245/.304/.351
2025	27	INTLTigres de Ara…	228	.317/.361/.434	2	12	117	—
2026	28	INTLTigres de Ara…	58	.327/.375/.404	1	3	118	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AAA

Speed95

K%85

Whiff%84

Z-Con%82

BB%27

Max EV9

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	39	35	9	3	0	1	2	2	2	2	0	257	333	429	762	171	250	5	5	342	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	437	406	130	16	7	9	17	50	8	8	8	320	360	461	820	140	345	11	4	359	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	130	120	30	7	1	0	8	13	1	5	2	250	302	325	627	75	278	10	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	504	475	127	20	5	4	13	84	12	15	6	267	304	356	660	88	316	17	3	295	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	15	15	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	133	133	133	267		154	13	0	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	229	188	47	8	2	6	25	27	12	15	4	250	373	410	783	160	265	12	11	351	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK	FCL Mets	—	22	20	5	1	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	250	318	300	618	50	294	14	9	286	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	187	165	55	7	2	2	14	24	4	7	4	333	399	436	835	103	371	13	7	368	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	103	91	25	6	1	1	8	16	3	9	1	275	353	396	749	121	320	16	8	336	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	238	210	83	8	7	4	20	19	4	11	2	395	455	557	1.012	162	416	8	8	440	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	58	52	17	1	0	1	1	5	3	3	2	327	375	404	779	77	348	9	2	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	273	61	5	5	0	15	40	23	27	7	223	318	278	597	55	254	13	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	225	281	307	588	83	255	17	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	358	93	16	3	2	7	65	9	19	7	260	291	338	629	78	301	17	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	385	101	19	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	262	299	345	644	83	306	19	2	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	347	85	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	245	296	308	604	63	282	16	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	39	36	9	3	0	1	1	3	2	2	0	250	308	417	724	167	238	8	3	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	437	410	123	12	7	8	13	59	8	8	8	300	334	422	756	122	327	14	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	504	479	116	17	5	2	9	105	12	15	6	242	274	311	585	69	305	21	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	229	195	43	7	2	4	18	34	12	15	4	221	324	338	663	118	246	15	8	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	22	21	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	190	227	238	465	48	216	23	5	189	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	103	94	23	5	1	1	5	20	3	9	1	245	304	351	655	106	295	19	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	273	61	5	5	0	15	40	23	27	7	223	318	278	597	55	261	13	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	265	85	8	7	1	23	33	23	27	7	321	421	415	836	94	362	11	7	382	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	218	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	225	281	307	588	83	264	17	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	GCL Red Sox	—	238	214	62	14	1	2	11	28	10	9	4	290	353	393	746	103	323	12	5	334	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	358	93	16	3	2	7	65	9	19	7	260	291	338	629	78	311	17	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A RAW	Greenville Drive	—	379	354	101	18	3	4	11	48	9	19	7	285	324	387	711	102	319	13	3	315	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	385	101	19	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	262	299	345	644	83	322	19	2	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A RAW	Dayton Dragons	—	417	380	111	21	5	1	14	57	11	23	15	292	336	382	717	89	336	14	3	314	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	347	85	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	245	296	308	604	63	292	16	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ RAW	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	343	95	10	7	1	17	43	12	18	10	277	333	356	689	79	310	11	4	306	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL MLE	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL RAW	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	76	70	22	3	0	0	4	13	1	4	0	314	360	357	717	43	379	17	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	606	570	168	19	9	11	18	78	11	15	10	295	329	418	746	123	323	13	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	606	561	169	26	8	10	27	65	11	15	10	301	346	430	775	128	324	11	4	342	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	494	121	18	6	2	9	108	12	15	6	245	276	318	594	73	308	21	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	519	490	129	20	5	4	13	86	12	15	6	263	299	349	648	86	311	17	3	290	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	438	380	83	14	3	8	34	67	16	22	8	218	309	334	644	116	243	15	8	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	438	373	107	16	4	8	41	54	16	22	8	287	381	416	797	129	314	12	9	355	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	312	75	16	4	2	18	68	7	20	3	240	297	337	633	96	297	20	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL RAW	2 teams	—	341	301	108	14	8	5	28	35	7	20	3	359	424	508	933	150	389	10	8	408	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	228	205	65	10	4	2	8	24	6	12	7	317	361	434	795	117	344	11	4	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	58	52	17	1	0	1	1	5	3	3	2	327	375	404	779	77	348	9	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	58	52	17	1	0	1	1	5	3	3	2	327	375	404	779	77	348	9	2	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox 2	—	312	271	61	5	5	0	15	40	23	27	7	225	318	280	599	55	254	13	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	GCL Red Sox	—	238	219	49	10	1	2	7	40	10	9	4	224	281	306	587	82	255	17	3	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A MLE	Greenville Drive	—	379	360	93	16	3	2	7	65	9	19	7	258	291	336	628	78	301	17	2	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Dayton Dragons	—	417	394	101	19	5	1	9	78	11	23	15	256	299	338	636	81	306	19	2	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	381	353	85	9	5	1	13	62	12	18	10	241	296	303	599	62	282	16	3	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	606	572	168	19	9	11	18	78	11	15	10	294	329	416	745	122	320	13	3	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	493	121	18	6	2	9	108	12	15	6	245	276	318	594	73	305	21	2	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	438	385	83	14	3	8	34	67	16	22	8	216	309	330	639	114	243	15	8	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	313	75	16	4	2	18	68	7	20	3	240	297	335	632	96	295	20	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	INTL MLE	2 teams	—	341	313	75	16	4	2	18	68	7	20	3	240	297	335	632	96	295	20	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	3993	3664	940	140	45	32	143	648	121	187	79	257	307	346	652	89	301	16	4	254	58	-200	+6	+0	+14	+87	-9.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	153	23	7	5	23	105	20	30	13	257	307	344	651	87	301	16	4	254	58	-33	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 103 PAwOBA .330 → .285 (−46)K% 15.5% → 19.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.53%	÷0.939	×1.200	—	—	19.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.77%	÷1.036	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.27%
HBP% /PA	2.91%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.79%
Singles /BIP	22.67%	÷0.977	×0.930	×0.978	×1.018	21.47%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷0.985	×0.830	×0.978	×1.018	6.71%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.978	×1.018	1.43%
Home runs /BIP	1.33%	÷1.060	×0.700	—	×1.018	0.90%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.

Result: wOBA .330 → .285; ISO .121 → .100; BABIP .320 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 229 PAwOBA .342 → .300 (−42)K% 11.8% → 14.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.79%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	14.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.92%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×1.033	8.05%
HBP% /PA	5.24%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	5.09%
Singles /BIP	19.25%	÷0.997	×0.930	×0.988	×1.033	18.33%
Doubles /BIP	4.97%	÷0.933	×0.830	×0.988	×1.033	4.51%
Triples /BIP	1.24%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.988	×1.033	1.07%
Home runs /BIP	3.73%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.69%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .342 → .300; ISO .160 → .129; BABIP .265 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Mets · 22 PAwOBA .279 → .189 (−91)K% 13.6% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.64%	÷0.949	×1.440	—	—	20.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.09%	÷1.004	×0.620	—	×0.945	5.30%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.53%	÷1.046	×0.820	—	×0.945	17.42%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.953	×0.720	—	×0.945	4.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.979	×0.720	—	×0.945	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.040	×0.780	—	×0.945	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .279 → .189; ISO .050 → .034; BABIP .294 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALouisville Bats · 504 PAwOBA .288 → .260 (−28)K% 16.7% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.958	×1.200	—	—	20.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	2.58%	÷1.023	×0.690	—	×1.048	1.82%
HBP% /PA	2.38%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.35%
Singles /BIP	25.06%	÷0.996	×0.930	×0.994	×1.048	24.39%
Doubles /BIP	5.12%	÷0.955	×0.830	×0.994	×1.048	4.63%
Triples /BIP	1.28%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.994	×1.048	1.44%
Home runs /BIP	1.02%	÷1.282	×0.700	—	×1.048	0.59%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .288 → .260; ISO .088 → .074; BABIP .316 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 437 PAwOBA .353 → .326 (−27)K% 11.4% → 13.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.44%	÷1.040	×1.220	—	—	13.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.89%	÷0.936	×0.690	—	×1.027	2.94%
HBP% /PA	1.83%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.60%
Singles /BIP	27.53%	÷1.011	×0.940	×1.021	×1.027	26.82%
Doubles /BIP	4.49%	÷1.183	×0.870	×1.021	×1.027	3.47%
Triples /BIP	1.97%	÷0.912	×0.920	×1.021	×1.027	2.08%
Home runs /BIP	2.53%	÷0.950	×0.780	—	×1.027	2.13%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 102, 2B 137, 3B 82, K 108, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.

Result: wOBA .353 → .326; ISO .140 → .124; BABIP .345 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAALouisville Bats · 39 PAwOBA .332 → .295 (−37)K% 5.1% → 6.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.13%	÷0.949	×1.200	—	—	6.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.13%	÷1.099	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.38%
HBP% /PA	5.13%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	5.06%
Singles /BIP	15.15%	÷0.994	×0.930	—	×1.050	14.89%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.945	×0.830	—	×1.050	8.38%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.920	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.03%	÷1.088	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.05%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 90, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .332 → .295; ISO .171 → .138; BABIP .250 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Daytona Tortugas · 381 PAwOBA .301 → .263 (−39)K% 11.3% → 16.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.29%	÷0.985	×1.420	—	—	16.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.46%	÷1.016	×0.750	—	×1.027	3.38%
HBP% /PA	3.15%	—	×0.930	—	×1.027	3.01%
Singles /BIP	25.67%	÷0.965	×0.920	×0.950	×1.027	23.87%
Doubles /BIP	3.33%	÷1.042	×0.960	×0.950	×1.027	3.00%
Triples /BIP	2.33%	÷1.150	×0.810	×0.950	×1.027	1.60%
Home runs /BIP	0.33%	÷1.101	×0.880	—	×1.027	0.27%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 93, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .301 → .263; ISO .079 → .060; BABIP .310 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ADayton Dragons · 417 PAwOBA .310 → .272 (−38)K% 13.7% → 18.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.67%	÷0.987	×1.360	—	—	18.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.36%	÷1.097	×0.690	—	×1.030	2.17%
HBP% /PA	2.64%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	2.12%
Singles /BIP	26.01%	÷1.019	×0.920	×0.979	×1.030	23.68%
Doubles /BIP	6.50%	÷0.942	×0.830	×0.979	×1.030	5.77%
Triples /BIP	1.55%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.979	×1.030	1.58%
Home runs /BIP	0.31%	÷1.103	×0.800	—	×1.030	0.23%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 104, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 97, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .310 → .272; ISO .089 → .081; BABIP .336 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .