Anderson Tejeda
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 21 | A+Down East Woo… | 181 | .234/.320/.386 | 4 | 9 | 38 | — | .171/.236/.280 | |
| 2020 | 22 | INTLTigres del Li… | 43 | .300/.349/.500 | 1 | 1 | 138 | — | ||
| 2020 | 22 | MLBTEX | 77 | .253/.273/.453 | 3 | 4 | 97 | 0.2 | ||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA/AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 389 | .203/.276/.370 | 14 | 14 | 38 | — | .152/.206/.273 | |
| 2021 | 23 | MLBTEX | 17 | .062/.118/.062 | 0 | 1 | -51 | -0.0 | ||
| 2022 | 24 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 235 | 205 | 64 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 49 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 312 | 395 | 522 | 917 | 210 | 392 | 21 | 11 | 399 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 189 | 175 | 50 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 286 | 335 | 503 | 838 | 217 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 362 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 401 | 99 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 132 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 247 | 312 | 411 | 724 | 165 | 343 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 522 | 467 | 121 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 49 | 142 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 333 | 439 | 772 | 180 | 330 | 27 | 9 | 341 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 181 | 158 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 234 | 320 | 386 | 706 | 152 | 333 | 32 | 9 | 314 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 77 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 253 | 273 | 453 | 726 | 200 | 381 | 39 | 3 | 316 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 22 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 43 | 40 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 349 | 500 | 849 | 200 | 423 | 30 | 7 | 373 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 118 | 62 | 180 | 167 | 59 | 6 | 94 | -51 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 111 | 99 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 47 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 152 | 236 | 273 | 509 | 121 | 245 | 42 | 10 | 233 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 192 | 175 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 82 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 267 | 400 | 667 | 200 | 310 | 43 | 8 | 294 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | ACL Rangers | — | 15 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 429 | 467 | 643 | 1.110 | 214 | 545 | 20 | 7 | 484 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 71 | 61 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 246 | 324 | 377 | 701 | 131 | 342 | 32 | 10 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 94 | 91 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 245 | 385 | 629 | 165 | 354 | 43 | 3 | 276 | 73 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +2 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 235 | 212 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 193 | 266 | 311 | 577 | 118 | 249 | 26 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 189 | 180 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 58 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 229 | 328 | 557 | 133 | 280 | 31 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 412 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 175 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 192 | 241 | 311 | 552 | 119 | 303 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 522 | 486 | 97 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 204 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 250 | 311 | 561 | 111 | 310 | 39 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 181 | 164 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 82 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 171 | 236 | 280 | 516 | 110 | 288 | 45 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 77 | 75 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 253 | 273 | 453 | 726 | 200 | 381 | 39 | 3 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 23 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 17 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 118 | 62 | 180 | 167 | 59 | 6 | 93 | -51 | -3 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 | |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 111 | 102 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 53 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 127 | 191 | 216 | 407 | 88 | 221 | 48 | 7 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 192 | 180 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 96 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 156 | 204 | 294 | 499 | 139 | 272 | 50 | 5 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK MLE | ACL Rangers | — | 15 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 286 | 333 | 429 | 762 | 143 | 404 | 27 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 235 | 212 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 193 | 266 | 311 | 577 | 118 | 258 | 26 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 235 | 205 | 64 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 49 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 312 | 395 | 522 | 917 | 210 | 392 | 21 | 11 | 399 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 189 | 180 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 58 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 194 | 229 | 328 | 557 | 133 | 279 | 31 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 189 | 175 | 50 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 286 | 335 | 503 | 838 | 217 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 362 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 412 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 175 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 192 | 241 | 311 | 552 | 119 | 311 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 401 | 99 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 132 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 247 | 312 | 411 | 724 | 165 | 343 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 522 | 486 | 97 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 204 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 250 | 311 | 561 | 111 | 314 | 39 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 522 | 467 | 121 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 49 | 142 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 333 | 439 | 772 | 180 | 330 | 27 | 9 | 341 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 181 | 164 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 82 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 171 | 236 | 280 | 516 | 110 | 305 | 45 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 181 | 158 | 37 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 58 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 234 | 320 | 386 | 706 | 152 | 333 | 32 | 9 | 314 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 117 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 248 | 267 | 436 | 703 | 188 | 379 | 39 | 2 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 120 | 115 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 270 | 300 | 470 | 770 | 200 | 397 | 36 | 4 | 336 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 5 teams | — | 406 | 377 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 197 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 146 | 197 | 260 | 457 | 114 | 262 | 49 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 5 teams | — | 406 | 365 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 165 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 197 | 269 | 356 | 625 | 159 | 309 | 41 | 9 | 278 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 235 | 212 | 41 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 60 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 193 | 266 | 311 | 577 | 118 | 249 | 26 | 8 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 189 | 179 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 58 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 196 | 229 | 330 | 558 | 134 | 280 | 31 | 4 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 446 | 416 | 79 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 175 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 190 | 241 | 308 | 549 | 118 | 303 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 522 | 484 | 97 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 204 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 250 | 312 | 562 | 112 | 310 | 39 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 181 | 165 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 82 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 170 | 236 | 279 | 515 | 109 | 288 | 45 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 116 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 250 | 267 | 440 | 706 | 190 | 381 | 39 | 2 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 5 teams | — | 406 | 379 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 197 | 1 | 15 | 3 | 145 | 197 | 259 | 456 | 113 | 256 | 49 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 94 | 91 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 220 | 245 | 385 | 629 | 165 | 354 | 43 | 3 | 276 | 48 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +2 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 629 | 139 | 28 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 277 | 0 | 35 | 7 | 221 | 246 | 388 | 634 | 167 | 356 | 43 | 3 | 276 | 48 | -21 | +4 | -3 | +19 | +14 | 1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2099 | 1948 | 364 | 74 | 25 | 37 | 118 | 823 | 12 | 65 | 27 | 187 | 238 | 307 | 545 | 121 | 297 | 39 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +2 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 113 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 255 | 4 | 20 | 8 | 187 | 239 | 307 | 546 | 119 | 299 | 39 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -21 | +4 | -3 | +19 | +14 | 1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 192 PAwOBA .286 → .212 (−74)K% 42.7% → 49.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.71% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 49.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.81% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.60% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 7.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.96% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .286 → .212; ISO .200 → .140; BABIP .310 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAARound Rock Express · 111 PAwOBA .227 → .183 (−44)K% 42.3% → 47.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 42.34% | ÷1.072 | ×1.200 | — | — | 47.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.91% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 7.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.23% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 17.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 1.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.958 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.42% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 114, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .227 → .183; ISO .121 → .092; BABIP .245 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rangers · 15 PAwOBA .471 → .310 (−161)K% 20.0% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.67% | ÷1.071 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 21.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 18.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 113, K 98, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .471 → .310; ISO .214 → .134; BABIP .545 → .404. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 181 PAwOBA .311 → .224 (−86)K% 32.0% → 45.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.04% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 45.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.39% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 19.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.152 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 3.21% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .311 → .224; ISO .152 → .108; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 522 PAwOBA .333 → .248 (−85)K% 27.2% → 39.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.20% | ÷0.991 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.042 | 5.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.042 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.62% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 24.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.23% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 4.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 1.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.85% | ÷1.393 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.042 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 81, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .333 → .248; ISO .180 → .118; BABIP .330 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AHickory Crawdads · 446 PAwOBA .311 → .240 (−71)K% 29.6% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.60% | ÷1.010 | ×1.340 | — | — | 39.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.002 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 5.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.56% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×1.045 | 20.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.92% | ÷1.045 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | ×1.045 | 7.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.35% | ÷1.141 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | ×1.045 | 2.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.019 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 2.50% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 128, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .311 → .240; ISO .165 → .123; BABIP .343 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Rangers · 189 PAwOBA .354 → .247 (−107)K% 21.2% → 30.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.16% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 4.36% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 15.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 7.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.995 | ×1.022 | 4.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.18% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .354 → .247; ISO .217 → .147; BABIP .358 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Rangers 2 · 235 PAwOBA .390 → .248 (−142)K% 20.9% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 15.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 7.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.972 | ×1.022 | 2.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 1.23% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .390 → .248; ISO .210 → .118; BABIP .392 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .