Jonathan Araúz

Pos2B

B/TS/R

Born1998-08-03

Age (2027)28

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	24	AAA/INTL2 orgs	516	.244/.353/.403	15	5	80	—	.202/.286/.333
2023	24	MLBNYM	66	.136/.203/.288	3	0	34	-0.2
2024	25	AAA/INTL2 orgs	318	.220/.291/.317	4	4	51	—	.203/.246/.281
2025	26	INTLLeones del Es…	54	.128/.241/.170	0	1	25	—
2026	27	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.2

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2021-2023

Bat Spd55

Barrel%31

Speed22

Avg EV16

xwOBA10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2015	16	ROK	GCL Phillies	—	188	173	44	10	2	2	13	29	1	2	0	254	310	370	680	116	294	15	7	304	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	Greeneville Astros	—	229	201	50	10	1	2	19	45	4	1	3	249	326	338	664	90	308	20	8	298	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	149	127	28	3	2	0	20	18	1	0	1	220	331	276	607	55	257	12	13	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+	Buies Creek Astros	—	253	233	39	10	3	4	16	36	1	1	2	167	224	288	512	120	180	14	6	229	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	237	204	61	11	6	4	30	38	2	7	6	299	394	471	865	172	350	16	13	383	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	119	108	26	3	2	3	10	19	1	1	1	241	311	389	700	148	267	16	8	314	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	354	317	80	19	0	8	30	69	4	5	4	252	325	388	713	136	296	19	8	319	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	80	72	18	2	0	1	8	21	0	0	0	250	325	319	644	69	340	26	10	298	84	-2	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.2
2020	21	INTL	Panama	—	27	26	7	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	269	296	308	604	38	318	15	4	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	75	65	12	3	0	3	8	15	0	0	0	185	274	369	643	185	191	20	11	281	73	-2	+0	-0	+4	+2	0.3
2021	22	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	267	233	57	8	1	6	30	45	0	2	0	245	331	365	696	120	274	17	11	312	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	41	38	5	0	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	132	154	211	364	79	154	29	2	156	-9	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
2022	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	144	132	27	8	0	0	11	22	1	2	0	205	271	265	536	61	245	15	8	249	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	New York Mets	—	66	59	8	0	0	3	5	18	0	0	0	136	203	288	491	153	132	27	8	216	34	-5	+0	+0	+2	+1	-0.2
2023	24	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	415	352	84	14	3	14	55	90	2	2	0	239	345	415	760	176	276	22	13	337	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	101	82	22	4	0	1	16	21	0	3	3	268	388	354	741	85	333	21	16	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	245	225	51	11	1	3	19	56	0	2	0	227	287	324	611	98	287	23	8	277	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	73	62	12	3	0	1	10	10	0	2	1	194	306	290	596	97	212	14	14	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	54	47	6	2	0	0	6	14	1	1	2	128	241	170	411	43	182	26	11	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	262	234	43	5	0	8	22	66	0	0	0	184	254	308	562	124	217	25	8	250	56	-14	+0	-2	+7	+6	-0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2015	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	188	178	33	7	1	2	8	42	1	2	0	185	225	270	494	84	228	22	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	229	208	40	7	1	2	12	64	4	1	3	192	250	264	514	72	251	28	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	149	133	27	3	2	0	14	23	1	0	1	203	284	256	539	53	234	15	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+ MLE	Buies Creek Astros	—	253	239	34	9	2	4	10	52	1	1	2	142	180	247	427	105	162	21	4	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	237	212	54	9	5	3	22	53	2	7	6	255	331	387	717	132	322	22	9	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	119	111	23	3	2	2	7	24	1	1	1	207	261	324	585	117	241	20	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	354	328	64	13	0	7	19	99	4	5	4	195	248	299	547	104	253	28	5	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	80	72	18	2	0	1	8	21	0	0	0	250	325	319	644	69	340	26	10	292	84	-2	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.2
2021	22	MLB MLE	Boston Red Sox	—	75	65	12	3	0	3	8	15	0	0	0	185	274	369	643	185	191	20	11	277	73	-2	+0	-0	+4	+2	0.3
2021	22	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	—	267	241	52	7	1	3	22	53	0	2	0	216	281	290	572	75	255	20	8	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	Baltimore Orioles	—	41	38	5	0	0	1	1	12	0	0	0	132	154	211	364	79	154	29	2	156	-9	-5	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.4
2022	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	144	135	26	7	0	0	8	26	1	2	0	193	243	244	487	52	242	18	6	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	New York Mets	—	66	59	8	0	0	3	5	18	0	0	0	136	203	288	491	153	132	27	8	218	34	-5	+0	+0	+2	+1	-0.2
2023	24	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	415	366	74	12	3	10	41	112	2	2	0	202	286	333	619	131	250	27	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Baseball Club	—	245	231	47	10	1	2	13	68	0	2	0	203	246	281	527	78	275	28	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	188	178	33	7	1	2	8	42	1	2	0	185	225	270	494	84	230	22	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	16	ROK RAW	GCL Phillies	—	188	173	44	10	2	2	13	29	1	2	0	254	310	370	680	116	294	15	7	304	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	229	208	40	7	1	2	12	64	4	1	3	192	250	264	514	72	264	28	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK RAW	Greeneville Astros	—	229	201	50	10	1	2	19	45	4	1	3	249	326	338	664	90	308	20	8	298	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	149	133	27	3	2	0	14	23	1	0	1	203	284	256	539	53	245	15	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	149	127	28	3	2	0	20	18	1	0	1	220	331	276	607	55	257	12	13	286	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	490	451	88	17	8	7	32	105	3	8	8	195	253	315	568	120	238	21	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	490	437	100	21	9	8	46	74	3	8	8	229	307	373	680	144	258	15	9	303	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	473	439	87	16	2	9	26	124	5	6	5	198	251	305	556	107	252	26	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	473	425	106	22	2	11	40	88	5	6	5	249	321	388	710	139	289	19	8	318	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	107	96	23	2	0	1	11	28	0	0	0	240	318	292	609	52	328	26	10	292	84	-2	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.2
2020	21	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	107	98	25	3	0	1	9	25	0	0	0	255	318	316	634	61	333	23	8	292	84	-2	+0	-3	+0	+2	-0.2
2021	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	342	306	65	10	1	7	30	68	0	2	0	212	283	320	603	108	247	20	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	342	298	69	11	1	9	38	60	0	2	0	232	318	366	684	134	258	18	11	305	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	185	173	31	7	0	1	9	38	1	2	0	179	224	237	461	58	222	21	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	185	170	32	8	0	1	12	34	1	2	0	188	246	253	499	65	228	18	6	229	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	582	514	100	15	3	16	55	158	2	5	3	195	275	329	604	134	241	27	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	582	493	114	18	3	18	76	129	2	5	3	231	336	389	726	158	270	22	13	323	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	318	299	61	13	1	3	17	88	0	4	1	204	247	284	531	80	276	28	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	318	287	63	14	1	4	29	66	0	4	1	220	291	317	608	98	269	21	9	277	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL MLE	Leones del Escogido	—	54	47	6	2	0	0	6	14	1	1	2	128	241	170	411	43	182	26	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	INTL RAW	Leones del Escogido	—	54	47	6	2	0	0	6	14	1	1	2	128	241	170	411	43	182	26	11	206	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	16	ROK MLE	GCL Phillies	—	188	177	33	7	1	2	8	42	1	2	0	186	225	271	496	85	228	22	4	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK MLE	Greeneville Astros	—	229	211	40	7	1	2	12	64	4	1	3	190	250	261	511	71	251	28	5	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	A MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	149	133	27	3	2	0	14	23	1	0	1	203	284	256	539	53	234	15	9	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	490	452	88	17	8	7	32	105	3	8	8	195	253	314	567	119	239	21	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	473	439	87	16	2	9	26	124	5	6	5	198	251	305	556	107	250	26	5	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	21	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	107	95	23	2	0	1	11	28	0	0	0	242	318	295	612	53	340	26	10	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	342	309	65	10	1	7	30	68	0	2	0	210	283	317	600	107	241	20	9	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	185	173	31	7	0	1	9	38	1	2	0	179	224	237	461	58	222	21	5	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	582	520	100	15	3	16	55	158	2	5	3	192	275	325	600	133	234	27	9	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	318	298	61	13	1	3	17	88	0	4	1	205	247	285	532	81	275	28	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	318	298	61	13	1	3	17	88	0	4	1	205	247	285	532	81	275	28	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	262	234	43	5	0	8	22	66	0	0	0	184	254	308	562	124	217	25	8	250	50	-14	+0	-2	+7	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	106	12	0	20	55	164	0	0	0	182	253	306	560	124	216	25	8	250	50	-34	+0	-6	+17	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	3117	2844	561	99	19	48	220	752	18	31	23	197	259	296	555	99	248	24	7	242	50	-14	+0	-2	+7	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	117	21	4	10	46	157	4	6	5	197	260	297	557	99	248	24	7	242	50	-34	+0	-6	+17	+14	-1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 245 PAwOBA .271 → .235 (−36)K% 22.9% → 27.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.86%	÷0.990	×1.200	—	—	27.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.76%	÷1.021	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.33%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.30%	÷0.977	×0.930	×1.008	×1.018	20.81%
Doubles /BIP	6.51%	÷0.930	×0.830	×1.008	×1.018	5.96%
Triples /BIP	0.59%	÷1.126	×0.970	×1.008	×1.018	0.52%
Home runs /BIP	1.78%	÷0.896	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.41%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.

Result: wOBA .271 → .235; ISO .098 → .082; BABIP .287 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 415 PAwOBA .333 → .274 (−59)K% 21.7% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.69%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	27.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.25%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×1.033	9.77%
HBP% /PA	0.48%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.47%
Singles /BIP	20.23%	÷0.997	×0.930	×0.968	×1.033	18.87%
Doubles /BIP	5.34%	÷0.933	×0.830	×0.968	×1.033	4.75%
Triples /BIP	1.15%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.968	×1.033	0.97%
Home runs /BIP	5.34%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×1.033	3.85%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .333 → .274; ISO .176 → .135; BABIP .276 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANorfolk Tides · 144 PAwOBA .243 → .221 (−22)K% 15.3% → 18.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.28%	÷1.017	×1.200	—	—	18.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.64%	÷1.048	×0.690	—	×1.048	5.27%
HBP% /PA	0.69%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	0.68%
Singles /BIP	17.27%	÷0.952	×0.930	×1.007	×1.048	17.80%
Doubles /BIP	7.27%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.007	×1.048	6.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.130	×0.970	×1.007	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.970	×0.700	—	×1.048	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 100, 3B 126, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .243 → .221; ISO .061 → .053; BABIP .245 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAWorcester Red Sox · 267 PAwOBA .309 → .260 (−49)K% 16.9% → 19.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.85%	÷1.021	×1.200	—	—	19.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.24%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×1.050	8.08%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.34%	÷0.974	×0.930	×0.962	×1.050	21.54%
Doubles /BIP	4.26%	÷0.992	×0.830	×0.962	×1.050	3.60%
Triples /BIP	0.53%	÷1.023	×0.920	×0.962	×1.050	0.48%
Home runs /BIP	3.19%	÷1.318	×0.700	—	×1.050	1.78%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 95, 2B 98, 3B 105, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .309 → .260; ISO .120 → .082; BABIP .274 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Fayetteville Woodpeckers · 354 PAwOBA .313 → .244 (−69)K% 19.5% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.49%	÷0.983	×1.420	—	—	28.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.47%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×1.027	5.48%
HBP% /PA	1.13%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	1.00%
Singles /BIP	21.37%	÷1.029	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	19.04%
Doubles /BIP	7.66%	÷1.068	×0.830	×0.950	×1.027	5.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.800	×0.950	×1.027	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.23%	÷0.969	×0.900	—	×1.027	3.08%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .313 → .244; ISO .136 → .110; BABIP .296 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 119 PAwOBA .305 → .254 (−51)K% 16.0% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.97%	÷0.958	×1.220	—	—	20.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.40%	÷1.043	×0.700	—	×1.050	5.92%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	0.77%
Singles /BIP	20.22%	÷1.011	×0.920	×0.950	×1.050	18.36%
Doubles /BIP	3.37%	÷0.949	×0.840	×0.950	×1.050	2.98%
Triples /BIP	2.25%	÷0.995	×0.940	×0.950	×1.050	2.12%
Home runs /BIP	3.37%	÷1.067	×0.800	—	×1.050	2.65%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 99, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .305 → .254; ISO .148 → .122; BABIP .267 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 A+Buies Creek Astros · 253 PAwOBA .222 → .185 (−36)K% 14.2% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.23%	÷0.980	×1.420	—	—	20.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.93%	÷1.007	×0.630	—	×1.042	3.87%
HBP% /PA	0.40%	—	×0.860	—	×1.042	0.35%
Singles /BIP	11.17%	÷1.029	×0.940	×0.951	×1.042	10.11%
Doubles /BIP	5.08%	÷0.915	×0.830	×0.951	×1.042	4.56%
Triples /BIP	1.52%	÷0.931	×0.800	×0.951	×1.042	1.30%
Home runs /BIP	2.03%	÷0.962	×0.900	—	×1.042	1.98%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 106, 2B 83, 3B 86, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .222 → .185; ISO .120 → .107; BABIP .180 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 237 PAwOBA .375 → .315 (−59)K% 16.0% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.03%	÷0.976	×1.360	—	—	22.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.66%	÷0.968	×0.690	—	×1.030	9.30%
HBP% /PA	0.84%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	0.68%
Singles /BIP	24.10%	÷0.939	×0.920	×0.950	×1.030	23.10%
Doubles /BIP	6.63%	÷1.012	×0.830	×0.950	×1.030	5.32%
Triples /BIP	3.61%	÷0.973	×0.910	×0.950	×1.030	3.31%
Home runs /BIP	2.41%	÷0.973	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.04%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 88, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .375 → .315; ISO .172 → .142; BABIP .350 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .