Arquímedes Gamboa
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 375 | .225/.323/.336 | 6 | 8 | 64 | — | .215/.290/.302 |
| 2023 | 25 | AASTL | 545 | .243/.375/.366 | 9 | 25 | 70 | — | .205/.301/.302 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAASTL | 183 | .215/.322/.335 | 4 | 2 | 47 | — | .181/.257/.271 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | GCL Phillies | — | 206 | 190 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 189 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 68 | 257 | 24 | 7 | 236 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 350 | 307 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 52 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 261 | 332 | 378 | 710 | 117 | 291 | 15 | 9 | 312 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 497 | 434 | 93 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 111 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 214 | 305 | 279 | 584 | 65 | 281 | 22 | 11 | 271 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 72 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 186 | 324 | 220 | 544 | 34 | 268 | 26 | 17 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 421 | 356 | 67 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 59 | 112 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 188 | 305 | 270 | 575 | 81 | 264 | 27 | 14 | 269 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 111 | 94 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 24 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 351 | 351 | 702 | 117 | 294 | 22 | 14 | 324 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 271 | 230 | 53 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 69 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 230 | 344 | 387 | 731 | 157 | 292 | 25 | 15 | 331 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 296 | 255 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 69 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 239 | 338 | 349 | 687 | 110 | 311 | 23 | 12 | 312 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 79 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 269 | 290 | 559 | 116 | 196 | 20 | 10 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 545 | 448 | 109 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 89 | 136 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 375 | 366 | 741 | 123 | 327 | 25 | 16 | 340 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 158 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 322 | 335 | 658 | 120 | 286 | 27 | 14 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 206 | 196 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 128 | 170 | 168 | 338 | 41 | 200 | 35 | 4 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 350 | 317 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 237 | 288 | 347 | 635 | 110 | 268 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 497 | 446 | 81 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 41 | 159 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 182 | 257 | 229 | 485 | 47 | 272 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 421 | 371 | 60 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 44 | 137 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 162 | 252 | 226 | 479 | 65 | 245 | 33 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 111 | 99 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 306 | 333 | 640 | 111 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 271 | 242 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 85 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 186 | 270 | 289 | 560 | 103 | 257 | 31 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 296 | 265 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 84 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 215 | 290 | 302 | 592 | 87 | 297 | 28 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 545 | 477 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 168 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 205 | 301 | 302 | 603 | 96 | 294 | 31 | 11 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 166 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 181 | 257 | 271 | 528 | 90 | 269 | 34 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 206 | 196 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 128 | 170 | 168 | 338 | 41 | 202 | 35 | 4 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies | — | 206 | 190 | 36 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 189 | 252 | 258 | 510 | 68 | 257 | 24 | 7 | 236 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 350 | 317 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 237 | 288 | 347 | 635 | 110 | 280 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 350 | 307 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 33 | 52 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 261 | 332 | 378 | 710 | 117 | 291 | 15 | 9 | 312 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 511 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 182 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 184 | 258 | 235 | 493 | 51 | 278 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 569 | 493 | 104 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 130 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 211 | 308 | 272 | 580 | 61 | 279 | 23 | 11 | 270 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 421 | 371 | 60 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 44 | 137 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 162 | 252 | 226 | 479 | 65 | 249 | 33 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA RAW | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 421 | 356 | 67 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 59 | 112 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 188 | 305 | 270 | 575 | 81 | 264 | 27 | 14 | 269 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 341 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 114 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 194 | 278 | 290 | 569 | 97 | 270 | 30 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 324 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 56 | 93 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 231 | 346 | 377 | 723 | 145 | 293 | 24 | 15 | 329 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 335 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 106 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 218 | 294 | 310 | 604 | 93 | 305 | 28 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 375 | 324 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 85 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 225 | 323 | 336 | 660 | 111 | 286 | 23 | 12 | 301 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 545 | 477 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 168 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 205 | 301 | 302 | 603 | 96 | 298 | 31 | 11 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 545 | 448 | 109 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 89 | 136 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 375 | 366 | 741 | 123 | 327 | 25 | 16 | 340 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 166 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 181 | 257 | 271 | 528 | 90 | 267 | 34 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 158 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 49 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 322 | 335 | 658 | 120 | 286 | 27 | 14 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies | — | 206 | 194 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 72 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 129 | 170 | 170 | 340 | 41 | 200 | 35 | 4 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 350 | 324 | 75 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 70 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 231 | 288 | 340 | 628 | 108 | 268 | 20 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 569 | 513 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 182 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 183 | 258 | 234 | 492 | 51 | 272 | 32 | 8 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 421 | 373 | 60 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 44 | 137 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 161 | 252 | 225 | 478 | 64 | 245 | 33 | 10 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 339 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 39 | 114 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 195 | 278 | 292 | 570 | 97 | 265 | 30 | 10 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 375 | 336 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 106 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 217 | 294 | 310 | 603 | 92 | 297 | 28 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 545 | 475 | 98 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 168 | 5 | 25 | 4 | 206 | 301 | 303 | 604 | 97 | 294 | 31 | 11 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 164 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 183 | 257 | 274 | 531 | 91 | 269 | 34 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 183 | 164 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 62 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 183 | 257 | 274 | 531 | 91 | 269 | 34 | 9 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3031 | 2714 | 521 | 84 | 22 | 30 | 273 | 911 | 14 | 90 | 22 | 192 | 269 | 272 | 542 | 80 | 275 | 30 | 9 | 243 | 50 | -179 | +9 | +0 | +32 | +66 | -7.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 112 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 195 | 3 | 19 | 5 | 192 | 270 | 271 | 542 | 79 | 276 | 30 | 9 | 243 | 50 | -38 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 183 PAwOBA .296 → .237 (−60)K% 26.8% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.78% | ÷0.953 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.66% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 9.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.10% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 20.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.67% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.52% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 84, 3B 130, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .296 → .237; ISO .120 → .089; BABIP .286 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AASpringfield Cardinals · 545 PAwOBA .333 → .272 (−62)K% 25.0% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.95% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.15% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 11.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.92% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.68% | ÷0.997 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 22.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷1.031 | ×0.840 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×0.988 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷1.080 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.11% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .333 → .272; ISO .123 → .100; BABIP .327 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASacramento River Cats · 296 PAwOBA .306 → .264 (−41)K% 23.3% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.31% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.12% | ÷0.968 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 22.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.985 | ×1.033 | 1.18% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.15% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .306 → .264; ISO .110 → .092; BABIP .311 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAReading Fightin Phils · 271 PAwOBA .324 → .249 (−76)K% 25.5% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.46% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.76% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 10.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.50% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.993 | ×0.870 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.97% | ÷1.344 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.92% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 169, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .324 → .249; ISO .157 → .103; BABIP .292 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 111 PAwOBA .317 → .272 (−45)K% 21.6% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.62% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.41% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×1.048 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .317 → .272; ISO .117 → .098; BABIP .294 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAReading Fightin Phils · 421 PAwOBA .264 → .221 (−43)K% 26.6% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.60% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.01% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 10.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.08% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 18.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.10% | ÷0.980 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 3.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.05% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.042 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.182 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .264 → .221; ISO .081 → .068; BABIP .264 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Clearwater Threshers · 497 PAwOBA .266 → .224 (−42)K% 22.3% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.33% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷1.005 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 8.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 22.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.33% | ÷1.028 | ×0.960 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 4.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.987 | ×1.027 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.197 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .266 → .224; ISO .065 → .051; BABIP .281 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ALakewood BlueClaws · 350 PAwOBA .308 → .273 (−36)K% 14.9% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.86% | ÷0.994 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷0.980 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 6.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.14% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷0.927 | ×0.820 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.021 | ×0.940 | ×0.998 | ×1.030 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.35% | ÷0.854 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 106, 2B 85, 3B 104, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .308 → .273; ISO .117 → .113; BABIP .291 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .