Pedro Avila

P Columbus Clippers

Age 30 RHP 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	26	MIX2 levels	33	21	106	6.03	4.72	20.8%	11.4%	0.2	K 19.4% · BB 10.8% · FIP 4.68
2024	27	MLBCLE	54	0	83	3.81	3.64	23.2%	9.9%	0.9
2026	29	AAACLE	15	13	60	7.50	6.10	17.6%	11.5%	—	K 15.1% · BB 10.3% · FIP 6.16
2027PROJ	30	MLBCLE	13	13	80	4.94	5.21	18.7%	10.7%	-0.3
2028PROJ37% MLB	31	MLBCLE	5	5	28	5.08	5.17	19.9%	10.3%	-0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	32	MLBCLE	6	6	38	5.29	5.43	19.1%	10.7%	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.1 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024

K%55

Whiff%48

FB Velo34

xwOBA vs31

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Josh Zeid (age 30) · Scott McGregor (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128120vR 112

ERA4.94

FIP5.21

K%18.7%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%8.0%

Proj IP80

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 80 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL4040

CMD4545

K†4545

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3493.4

Whiff%

p4825.0%

p5523.2%

xwOBA vs

p310.334

CH+5.0 (22%)

SI (12%)

CU (16%)

FB-1.1 (51%)

SL-2.6 (11%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	18	ROK MLE	GCL Nationals	14	13	64	259	92	18	1	93%	4.5	24.2%	8.7%	15.5%	0.5%	2.12	2.46	—
2015	18	ROK RAW	GCL Nationals	14	13	64	259	92	18	1	93%	4.5	35.5%	6.9%	28.6%	0.4%	2.12	1.26	—
2016	19	A MLE	Hagerstown Suns	20	20	93	395	92	38	10	100%	4.7	17.2%	11.4%	5.9%	2.6%	3.48	4.53	—
2016	19	A RAW	Hagerstown Suns	20	20	93	395	92	38	10	100%	4.7	23.3%	9.6%	13.7%	2.5%	3.48	3.75	—
2017	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	129	542	170	33	5	96%	5.4	23.5%	7.1%	16.4%	1.2%	3.70	2.66	—
2017	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	129	542	170	33	5	96%	5.4	31.4%	6.1%	25.3%	0.9%	3.70	1.74	—
2018	21	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	24	20	131	568	142	54	8	83%	5.4	19.2%	10.9%	8.3%	2.1%	4.27	4.01	—
2018	21	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	24	20	131	568	142	54	8	83%	5.4	25.0%	9.5%	15.5%	1.4%	4.27	2.96	—
2019	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	8	7	29	126	36	11	5	88%	3.7	18.8%	11.8%	7.0%	6.4%	4.60	6.52	-0.5
2019	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	8	7	29	126	36	11	5	88%	3.7	28.6%	8.7%	19.8%	4.0%	4.60	3.99	+0.3
2021	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	37	12	79	347	87	39	6	32%	2.1	20.8%	11.9%	8.9%	2.0%	4.12	3.93	+0.6
2021	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	37	12	79	347	87	39	6	32%	2.1	25.1%	11.2%	13.8%	1.7%	4.12	3.37	+1.1
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	24	116	493	129	50	17	75%	3.6	23.0%	10.8%	12.1%	3.3%	4.58	4.32	+0.8
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	24	116	493	129	50	17	75%	3.6	26.2%	10.1%	16.0%	3.4%	4.58	4.07	+1.1
2023	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	21	106	490	102	56	16	64%	3.2	19.4%	10.8%	8.6%	3.4%	6.03	4.68	+0.3
2023	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	21	106	490	102	56	16	64%	3.2	20.8%	11.4%	9.4%	3.3%	6.03	4.72	+0.2
2024	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	54	0	83	353	82	35	8	0%	1.5	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	2.3%	3.81	3.64	+0.9
2024	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	54	0	83	353	82	35	8	0%	1.5	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	2.3%	3.81	3.64	+0.9
2024	27	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	54	0	83	353	82	35	8	0%	1.5	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	2.3%	3.81	3.64	+0.9
2026	29	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	15	13	60	279	49	32	14	87%	4.0	15.1%	10.3%	4.8%	5.5%	7.50	6.16	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	15	13	60	279	49	32	14	87%	4.0	15.1%	10.3%	4.8%	5.5%	7.50	6.16	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	15	13	60	279	49	32	14	87%	4.0	17.6%	11.5%	6.1%	5.0%	7.50	6.10	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			72	8	146	634	151	66	13	11%	2.0	23.8%	10.4%	13.4%	2.1%	3.51	3.54	+1.8
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	30	MLB	CLE	13	13	80	338	63	36	12	100%	6.2	18.7%	10.7%	8.0%	3.6%	4.94	5.21	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	75	316	63	32	12	100%	6.2	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.8%	5.08	5.17	-0.2
2029	32	MLB MLE	CLE	12	12	69	292	56	31	12	100%	5.8	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	4.0%	5.29	5.43	-0.4
2028	31	MLB CTX	CLE	5	5	28	118	24	12	4	100%	5.6	19.9%	10.3%	9.6%	3.8%	5.08	5.17	-0.1
2029	32	MLB CTX	CLE	6	6	38	160	31	17	6	100%	6.3	19.1%	10.7%	8.4%	4.0%	5.29	5.43	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		83	19	212	911	205	95	24	23%	2.6	22.5%	10.4%	12.1%	2.6%	4.03	3.96	+1.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		78	18	200	860	193	90	23	23%	2.6	22.5%	10.4%	12.1%	2.6%	4.03	3.96	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		261	153	889	3852	796	394	101	59%	3.4	20.7%	10.2%	10.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.09	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	34	200	867	179	89	23	59%	3.4	20.7%	10.2%	10.4%	2.6%	4.37	4.09	+1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Pedro Avila (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.21	18.7%	10.7%	3.6%	—	5.29	19.6%	9.1%	144	+0.08	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	75
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	313	68
Scott McGregor R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SP-	4.37	11.8%	7.6%	2.4%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	107	68
Tim Adleman R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	29	SP-	5.35	20.3%	9.4%	5.1%	.276	4.30	22.8%	15.0%	117	-1.05	3.63	605	68
Jared Fernandez R 2002 · 4.23 FIP	30	SP-	4.23	15.6%	10.0%	2.2%	.323	3.57	11.8%	5.6%	38	-0.66	3.57	101	67
Alfonso Sanchez R 2017 · 4.51 FIP	29	SW	4.51	12.5%	9.8%	2.2%	.346	7.58	8.6%	1.4%	39	+3.07	4.51	224	66
Aaron Wilkerson R 2019 · 4.67 FIP	30	SP-	4.67	20.9%	9.8%	3.8%	.291	3.33	24.6%	19.0%	112	-1.34	2.75	902	66
Hisashi Iwakuma R 2012 · 4.28 FIP	31	SP-	4.28	19.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.277	3.45	21.5%	17.8%	528	-0.83	3.19	884	65
Travis Driskill R 2002 · 4.95 FIP	30	SP-	4.95	13.2%	8.0%	3.6%	.291	4.26	15.3%	12.0%	48	-0.69	4.26	181	65
David Hale R 2018 · 4.22 FIP	30	SP-	4.22	15.4%	7.5%	2.7%	.299	3.65	17.1%	11.3%	114	-0.57	3.30	581	65
Travis Smith R 2002 · 5.28 FIP	29	SP	5.28	13.1%	8.2%	4.1%	.324	5.71	15.0%	9.0%	51	+0.43	3.67	105	64
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2015 · 4.81 FIP	31	SP-	4.81	8.9%	6.6%	3.0%	.346	4.84	8.4%	-0.8%	52	+0.03	4.81	104	64
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	64
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	64
Wes Obermueller R 2007 · 4.83 FIP	30	SW	4.83	12.6%	11.2%	2.5%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.72	308	64
Raynel Espinal R 2022 · 4.41 FIP	30	SP-	4.41	23.9%	10.5%	3.6%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	507	64
Colin Bates R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	27	SP-	4.57	10.5%	6.5%	2.8%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.57	111	63
Jose A. Flores R 2018 · 4.77 FIP	29	SP-	4.77	13.7%	10.3%	2.8%	.350	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	237	63
Luke Irvine R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	13.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	104	62
Kohei Arihara R 2022 · 4.58 FIP	29	SP-	4.58	16.4%	7.2%	3.5%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.58	135	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.9	74	21.1%	10.6%	1.20	4.47
Jim Hughes ('52-'57, 2 WAR*)	1.5	74	22.2%*	11.1%*	1.05*	3.99*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*
Don Elston ('53-'64, 5 WAR*)	3.8	94	22.5%*	10.4%*	1.17*	4.02*
Bill Risley ('98)	1.1	55	21.9%	10.9%	1.26	3.98
Brian Tallet ('11)	2.3	92	16.5%	10.4%	1.13	4.79
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71