Galli Cribbs Jr.
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | AAJackson Gener… | 359 | .211/.323/.325 | 3 | 6 | 44 | — | .169/.262/.251 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAJackson Gener… | 275 | .200/.282/.302 | 2 | 2 | 22 | — | .157/.216/.240 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA/AAMIA | 186 | .190/.244/.268 | 1 | 4 | 3 | — | .152/.195/.216 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 26 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 269 | 174 | 443 | 308 | 38 | 12 | 220 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 114 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 243 | 314 | 557 | 137 | 258 | 31 | 6 | 244 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 273 | 242 | 61 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 67 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 252 | 322 | 293 | 615 | 41 | 345 | 25 | 6 | 281 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 102 | 88 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 38 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 170 | 263 | 216 | 479 | 45 | 288 | 37 | 10 | 223 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Visalia Rawhide | — | 270 | 239 | 49 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 88 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 205 | 291 | 293 | 584 | 88 | 325 | 33 | 10 | 268 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 359 | 308 | 65 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 31 | 110 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 211 | 323 | 325 | 648 | 114 | 318 | 31 | 9 | 301 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Jackson Generals | — | 275 | 245 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 302 | 584 | 102 | 326 | 36 | 9 | 266 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 235 | 71 | 307 | 167 | 47 | 18 | 176 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 169 | 154 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 58 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 201 | 245 | 286 | 531 | 84 | 309 | 34 | 4 | 233 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 125 | 317 | 273 | 54 | 8 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 114 | 104 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 144 | 198 | 250 | 448 | 106 | 225 | 40 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 273 | 248 | 55 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 222 | 277 | 258 | 535 | 36 | 321 | 32 | 4 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 102 | 92 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 152 | 212 | 196 | 408 | 43 | 269 | 46 | 6 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 270 | 247 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 124 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 138 | 205 | 190 | 396 | 53 | 272 | 46 | 7 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 359 | 319 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 138 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 169 | 262 | 251 | 513 | 82 | 286 | 38 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 275 | 254 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 117 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 216 | 240 | 456 | 83 | 277 | 43 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 67 | 176 | 67 | 243 | 157 | 59 | 12 | 125 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 169 | 156 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 160 | 196 | 231 | 427 | 71 | 261 | 43 | 2 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 125 | 317 | 300 | 54 | 8 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Kane County Cougars | — | 26 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 269 | 174 | 443 | 308 | 38 | 12 | 220 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 352 | 68 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 134 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 193 | 249 | 244 | 493 | 51 | 306 | 35 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 387 | 344 | 79 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 102 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 230 | 299 | 299 | 598 | 70 | 321 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 339 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 171 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 142 | 207 | 192 | 399 | 50 | 282 | 46 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 327 | 64 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | 126 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 196 | 283 | 272 | 556 | 76 | 315 | 34 | 10 | 256 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 359 | 319 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 138 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 169 | 262 | 251 | 513 | 82 | 291 | 38 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 359 | 308 | 65 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 31 | 110 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 211 | 323 | 325 | 648 | 114 | 318 | 31 | 9 | 301 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 275 | 254 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 117 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 216 | 240 | 456 | 83 | 281 | 43 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | Jackson Generals | — | 275 | 245 | 49 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 99 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 282 | 302 | 584 | 102 | 326 | 36 | 9 | 266 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 171 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 83 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 152 | 194 | 216 | 411 | 64 | 281 | 45 | 3 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 186 | 168 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 190 | 244 | 268 | 512 | 77 | 301 | 35 | 5 | 228 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 26 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 125 | 192 | 125 | 317 | 273 | 54 | 8 | 145 | -16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 358 | 68 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 134 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 190 | 249 | 240 | 489 | 50 | 293 | 35 | 4 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 341 | 48 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 171 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 141 | 207 | 191 | 398 | 50 | 271 | 46 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 359 | 316 | 54 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 138 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 171 | 262 | 253 | 515 | 82 | 286 | 38 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Jackson Generals | — | 275 | 254 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 117 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 157 | 216 | 240 | 456 | 83 | 277 | 43 | 6 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 186 | 175 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 83 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 149 | 194 | 211 | 406 | 63 | 251 | 45 | 3 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1605 | 1459 | 239 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 84 | 657 | 40 | 34 | 19 | 164 | 229 | 228 | 457 | 64 | 291 | 41 | 5 | 203 | 24 | -146 | -1 | +0 | +17 | +35 | -9.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 96 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 34 | 266 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 162 | 227 | 223 | 451 | 61 | 289 | 41 | 5 | 203 | 24 | -59 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -3.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 169 PAwOBA .229 → .177 (−53)K% 34.3% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.32% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.55% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.958 | 2.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.958 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×0.980 | ×0.958 | 19.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×0.980 | ×0.958 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.980 | ×0.958 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.958 | 0.77% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 24.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .229 → .177; ISO .084 → .061; BABIP .309 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 17 PAwOBA .174 → .125 (−48)K% 47.1% → 57.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 47.06% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 57.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 12.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 15.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .174 → .125; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJackson Generals · 275 PAwOBA .260 → .200 (−59)K% 36.0% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.00% | ÷1.028 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷0.996 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 19.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.79% | ÷1.099 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.11% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 3.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.37% | ÷0.966 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 1.11% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .260 → .200; ISO .102 → .082; BABIP .326 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAJackson Generals · 359 PAwOBA .293 → .233 (−60)K% 30.6% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.64% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.36% | ÷1.003 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.57% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 4.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 20.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.05% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.04% | ÷1.145 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 3.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.954 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.26% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 104, 3B 129, K 94, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .293 → .233; ISO .114 → .086; BABIP .318 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Visalia Rawhide · 270 PAwOBA .262 → .182 (−79)K% 32.6% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.59% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 45.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.63% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.85% | ÷1.016 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 18.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 2.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .262 → .182; ISO .088 → .058; BABIP .325 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAJackson Generals · 102 PAwOBA .218 → .180 (−38)K% 37.3% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.25% | ÷0.983 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷0.987 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷0.980 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.013 | ×0.998 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .218 → .180; ISO .045 → .037; BABIP .288 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AKane County Cougars · 273 PAwOBA .276 → .232 (−43)K% 24.5% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.54% | ÷1.029 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.23% | ÷0.995 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.93% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.29% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 28.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 2.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.008 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×0.980 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 102, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .276 → .232; ISO .041 → .034; BABIP .345 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Visalia Rawhide · 114 PAwOBA .238 → .182 (−56)K% 30.7% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.70% | ÷1.020 | ×1.340 | — | — | 40.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.14% | ÷1.008 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.93% | ÷0.994 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 14.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.48% | ÷1.038 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.065 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 4.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.134 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 113, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .238 → .182; ISO .137 → .097; BABIP .258 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).