Tim Hill
P
New York Yankees
+0.2
WAR
Age 36
LHP
6'4" / 210 lbs
MLB
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.14
FIP4.36
xFIP2.96
SIERA1.08
K%14.7%
BB%6.1%
K-BB%8.6%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL6060
CMD3030
K†3030
FB+4.6 (89%)
SL+0.6 (11%)
SI (80%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 26 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 44 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 62 | 24 | 9 | 18.7% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 3.43 | 5.14 | -0.1 |
| 2017 | 27 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | 40 | 0 | 74 | 322 | 84 | 22 | 2 | 20.5% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 4.26 | 2.56 | +2.1 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 70 | 0 | 46 | 198 | 42 | 14 | 4 | 21.2% | 7.1% | 2.2% | 4.53 | 3.42 | +0.8 |
| 2019 | 29 | MLB | Kansas City Royals | 73 | 0 | 69 | 280 | 69 | 17 | 6 | 23.4% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 2.99 | 3.19 | +1.4 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 23 | 0 | 18 | 79 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 25.3% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 3.41 | +0.3 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 78 | 0 | 60 | 255 | 56 | 18 | 9 | 22.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 3.62 | 4.06 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 55 | 0 | 48 | 199 | 25 | 13 | 1 | 12.6% | 6.5% | 0.4% | 3.56 | 3.10 | +1.0 |
| 2023 | 33 | MLB | San Diego Padres | 50 | 0 | 46 | 214 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 12.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 6.26 | 4.89 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 34 | MLB | New York Yankees | 62 | 0 | 67 | 291 | 31 | 17 | 2 | 10.7% | 5.8% | 0.7% | 3.36 | 3.31 | +1.3 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | New York Yankees | 70 | 0 | 67 | 269 | 37 | 13 | 8 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.09 | 4.06 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | New York Yankees | 9 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 36 | MLB | NYY | 46 | — | 46 | 195 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 4.12 | 4.57 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 36 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 55 | 225 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 3.61 | 3.83 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | NYY | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 11.1% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 4.38 | 4.63 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | NYY | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 10.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 4.64 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 574 | 0 | 567 | 2403 | 423 | 159 | 54 | 17.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.78 | 3.69 | +10.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 203 | 0 | 200 | 848 | 149 | 56 | 19 | 17.6% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 3.78 | 3.69 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tim Hill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.57 | 12.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | — | 4.72 | 10.7% | 4.6% | 98 | +0.15 | — | — | — |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.34 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.7% | .308 | 5.15 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.81 | 4.28 | 159 | 67 |
| Francisley Bueno L 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.42 | 11.7% | 8.4% | 2.3% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51 | 138 | 66 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.19 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.8% | .290 | 4.32 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.13 | 2.38 | 306 | 64 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2025 · 4.79 FIP | 35 | SW | 4.79 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 3.3% | .337 | 4.94 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 119 | +0.15 | 4.49 | 408 | 61 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.42 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.42 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97 | 117 | 61 |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.40 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .290 | 3.21 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.19 | 3.21 | 156 | 59 |
| Jon Lester L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.99 | 15.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .272 | 5.26 | 14.5% | 6.5% | 141 | +0.27 | 2.69 | 1,144 | 59 |
| Oscar Rivera L 2026 · 5.57 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.57 | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 237 | 56 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SW | 3.59 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 190 | 54 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SW | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 4.12 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | +0.09 | 3.99 | 405 | 53 |
| Chris Narveson L 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 35 | SP- | 4.63 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.62 | 249 | 52 |
| Mauricio Lara L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.59 | 13.9% | 6.9% | 1.5% | .310 | 3.68 | 12.1% | 5.1% | 220 | +0.09 | 3.59 | 444 | 52 |
| Tsuyoshi Wada L 2024 · 3.59 FIP | 34 | SP- | 3.59 | 16.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 119 | 51 |
| Juan Antonio Pena L 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 37 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 9.9% | 1.8% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.17 | 149 | 51 |
| Scott Kazmir L 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 37 | SW | 4.57 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 3.6% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 395 | 51 |
| Marlon Arias L 2024 · 4.86 FIP | 34 | SW | 4.86 | 19.8% | 11.2% | 3.7% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 154 | 50 |
| Wandy Rodriguez L 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 36 | SP- | 3.85 | 19.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 101 | 49 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 36 | SP- | 5.45 | 12.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | .320 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33 | 445 | 49 |
| Jonathan Sánchez L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.73 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.73 | 109 | 47 |
| Wade LeBlanc L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 36 | SP- | 4.64 | 16.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.72 | 609 | 47 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.