Cam Hill

P Durham Bulls

Age 33 RHP 6'1" / 200 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARPROOKIE

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2020	26	MLBCleveland Ind…	18	0	18	4.91	4.85	22.2%	5.6%	-0.1
2021	27	AAACLE	24	1	25	8.03	5.17	14.8%	13.1%	—	K 13.0% · BB 13.8% · FIP 5.18
2026	32	AAATB	45	0	58	3.75	4.50	19.7%	9.8%	—	K 16.9% · BB 8.8% · FIP 4.86
2027PROJ	33	MLBTB	34	0	36	4.89	4.89	17.8%	8.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ6% MLB	34	MLBTB	2	0	2	5.01	5.13	17.4%	9.4%	-0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2020

Whiff%79

K%50

xwOBA vs43

FB Velo16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsKeiichi Yabu (age 36) · Tyler Sturdevant (age 31) · Juan Sandoval (age 34)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.89

FIP4.89

K%17.8%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%8.9%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1692.1

Whiff%

p7929.8%

p5022.2%

xwOBA vs

p430.320

SL+2.6

FB+0.8

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	42	0	59	235	70	19	1	0%	1.4	22.0%	9.5%	12.5%	0.5%	1.53	2.71	—
2015	21	A RAW	Lake County Captains	42	0	59	235	70	19	1	0%	1.4	29.8%	8.1%	21.7%	0.4%	1.53	1.91	—
2016	22	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	73	291	69	15	5	0%	1.7	18.5%	5.7%	12.8%	2.3%	2.34	3.54	—
2016	22	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	73	291	69	15	5	0%	1.7	23.7%	5.2%	18.6%	1.7%	2.34	2.72	—
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	64	263	50	17	7	0%	1.5	15.9%	6.9%	9.0%	3.3%	3.08	4.43	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	64	263	50	17	7	0%	1.5	19.0%	6.5%	12.5%	2.7%	3.08	3.75	—
2018	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	16	0	14	62	13	7	5	0%	0.9	18.5%	11.9%	6.6%	7.8%	6.59	7.34	—
2018	24	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	16	0	14	62	13	7	5	0%	0.9	21.0%	11.3%	9.7%	8.1%	6.59	7.49	—
2019	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	0	31	128	44	13	5	0%	1.2	30.2%	12.0%	18.2%	5.3%	3.82	4.99	—
2019	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	0	31	128	44	13	5	0%	1.2	34.4%	10.2%	24.2%	3.9%	3.82	3.62	—
2020	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Indians	18	0	18	72	16	4	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	5.6%	4.91	4.98	-0.1
2020	26	MLB RAW	Cleveland Indians	18	0	18	72	16	4	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	5.6%	4.91	4.85	-0.1
2021	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	1	25	122	18	16	3	4%	1.0	13.0%	13.8%	-0.8%	2.6%	8.03	5.18	—
2021	27	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	24	1	25	122	18	16	3	4%	1.0	14.8%	13.1%	1.6%	2.5%	8.03	5.17	—
2026	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	45	0	58	234	46	23	8	0%	1.3	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	3.8%	3.75	4.86	—
2026	32	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	45	0	58	234	46	23	8	0%	1.3	16.9%	8.8%	8.1%	3.8%	3.75	4.86	—
2026	32	AAA RAW	Durham Bulls	45	0	58	234	46	23	8	0%	1.3	19.7%	9.8%	9.8%	3.4%	3.75	4.50	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			18	0	18	72	16	4	4	0%	1.0	22.2%	5.6%	16.7%	5.6%	4.91	4.85	-0.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	33	MLB	TB	34	0	36	152	27	14	5	0%	1.1	17.8%	8.9%	8.9%	3.2%	4.89	4.89	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	34	MLB MLE	TB	31	0	33	139	24	13	5	0%	1.1	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	3.5%	5.01	5.13	-0.2
2028	34	MLB CTX	TB	2	0	2	8	1	1	0	0%	1.0	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	3.5%	5.01	5.13	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		20	0	20	80	17	5	4	0%	1.0	21.8%	5.9%	15.8%	5.4%	4.92	4.96	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		196	0	200	791	169	50	40	0%	1.0	21.8%	5.9%	15.8%	5.4%	4.92	4.96	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		256	1	341	1407	269	121	44	0%	1.3	19.1%	8.6%	10.5%	3.1%	3.43	4.30	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	1	200	824	158	71	26	0%	1.3	19.1%	8.6%	10.5%	3.1%	3.43	4.30	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cam Hill (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.89	17.8%	8.9%	3.2%	—	5.13	17.4%	8.0%	33	+0.24	—	—	—
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	81
Tyler Sturdevant R 2017 · 4.48 FIP	31	SU	4.48	13.5%	6.7%	3.0%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	149	79
Juan Sandoval R 2015 · 3.82 FIP	34	SU	3.82	15.4%	6.0%	2.3%	.294	3.33	17.4%	8.8%	116	-0.49	3.24	225	78
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	2.16	306	78
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	78
Mike Buddie R 2002 · 4.26 FIP	31	SU	4.26	15.1%	7.6%	2.7%	.297	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	123	77
Felipe Arredondo R 2019 · 4.65 FIP	32	SU	4.65	16.2%	7.1%	3.7%	.272	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	337	77
Miguel Mejia R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	31	SU	4.41	15.7%	10.7%	2.3%	.341	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	108	77
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	76
Mike James R 2001 · 4.52 FIP	33	SU	4.52	15.0%	8.7%	2.9%	.299	4.84	19.6%	9.8%	11	+0.32	2.87	314	75
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	75
Willie Eyre R 2011 · 4.18 FIP	33	SU	4.18	13.9%	6.9%	2.5%	.182	—	—	—	—	—	2.87	164	73
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	73
Ryan Brasier R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	33	SU	4.85	18.0%	8.0%	4.1%	.286	3.16	23.7%	17.9%	150	-1.69	2.31	426	73
Fernando Villalobos R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	32	SU	4.70	10.6%	8.0%	2.7%	.313	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	152	72
Brian Schlitter R 2019 · 4.40 FIP	33	SU	4.40	14.8%	6.3%	3.2%	.331	4.70	14.9%	5.8%	48	+0.30	3.27	300	72
Pedro Rodriguez R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	31	SU	4.14	14.7%	4.9%	3.0%	.368	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	145	72
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	71
Jared Burton R 2014 · 3.90 FIP	33	SU	3.90	16.9%	8.1%	2.2%	.263	3.99	25.1%	15.7%	14	+0.09	3.09	367	70
Raul Barron R 2019 · 5.92 FIP	33	SU	5.92	11.4%	8.9%	4.8%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	3.04	201	70

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	18.5%	8.7%	1.47	4.94
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Carlos Almánzar ('05)	1.2	60	16.3%	7.9%	1.32	4.82
Randy St. Claire ('84-'94, -0 WAR*)	1.3	50	19.0%*	8.4%*	1.39*	4.61*
Steve Kealey ('68-'73, -1 WAR*)	1.1	54	18.5%*	7.2%*	1.32*	5.26*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*