Andrew Ely
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 23 | A+/ACHC | 438 | .263/.344/.334 | 3 | 8 | 47 | — | .215/.276/.277 |
| 2017 | 24 | AATennessee Smo… | 339 | .259/.359/.355 | 3 | 1 | 72 | — | .239/.307/.330 |
| 2018 | 25 | AA/ROK2 orgs | 248 | .177/.332/.258 | 1 | 0 | 38 | — | .162/.274/.238 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 41 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 325 | 343 | 668 | 114 | 250 | 17 | 12 | 300 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 86 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 326 | 363 | 535 | 898 | 209 | 364 | 18 | 3 | 394 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 162 | 153 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 236 | 294 | 530 | 98 | 228 | 18 | 4 | 238 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 244 | 211 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 55 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 237 | 321 | 284 | 605 | 47 | 310 | 23 | 9 | 276 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 194 | 166 | 49 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 295 | 374 | 398 | 772 | 102 | 348 | 16 | 9 | 338 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 339 | 282 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 259 | 359 | 355 | 714 | 96 | 314 | 17 | 12 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 222 | 179 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 162 | 312 | 229 | 541 | 67 | 214 | 22 | 15 | 262 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | ROK | GCL Mets | — | 26 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 500 | 526 | 1.026 | 211 | 333 | 4 | 23 | 453 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 41 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 108 | 225 | 22 | 7 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 91 | 87 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 241 | 275 | 402 | 677 | 161 | 280 | 25 | 2 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 162 | 155 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 142 | 174 | 200 | 374 | 58 | 182 | 25 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 244 | 220 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 81 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 191 | 249 | 232 | 481 | 41 | 270 | 33 | 6 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 194 | 171 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 45 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 246 | 310 | 333 | 643 | 88 | 298 | 23 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 339 | 297 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 239 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 91 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 222 | 190 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 147 | 257 | 211 | 467 | 63 | 194 | 27 | 10 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | ROK MLE | GCL Mets | — | 26 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 423 | 476 | 899 | 190 | 248 | 4 | 15 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 132 | 124 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 267 | 363 | 630 | 137 | 270 | 24 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 132 | 121 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 298 | 351 | 479 | 830 | 182 | 330 | 17 | 6 | 365 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 162 | 155 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 142 | 174 | 200 | 374 | 58 | 183 | 25 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 162 | 153 | 30 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 196 | 236 | 294 | 530 | 98 | 228 | 18 | 4 | 238 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 391 | 83 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 126 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 212 | 274 | 266 | 540 | 54 | 301 | 29 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 438 | 377 | 99 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 87 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 263 | 344 | 334 | 679 | 72 | 328 | 20 | 9 | 304 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 339 | 297 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 239 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 91 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | Tennessee Smokies | — | 339 | 282 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 259 | 359 | 355 | 714 | 96 | 314 | 17 | 12 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 211 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 152 | 266 | 218 | 484 | 66 | 207 | 25 | 11 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 248 | 198 | 35 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 177 | 332 | 258 | 590 | 81 | 228 | 20 | 16 | 282 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 132 | 124 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 226 | 267 | 363 | 630 | 137 | 263 | 24 | 4 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 162 | 155 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 142 | 174 | 200 | 374 | 58 | 182 | 25 | 3 | 171 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 438 | 402 | 83 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 126 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 206 | 274 | 259 | 532 | 52 | 282 | 29 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 339 | 307 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 231 | 307 | 319 | 626 | 88 | 284 | 22 | 8 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 213 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 150 | 266 | 216 | 482 | 66 | 200 | 25 | 11 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1319 | 1178 | 236 | 43 | 6 | 11 | 90 | 333 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 200 | 267 | 275 | 543 | 75 | 266 | 25 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -82 | -4 | +0 | +5 | +29 | -5.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 44 | 164 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 200 | 267 | 272 | 539 | 72 | 266 | 25 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -40 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 222 PAwOBA .259 → .212 (−47)K% 22.1% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.07% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.32% | ÷1.028 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.15% | ÷1.009 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 14.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.906 | ×0.860 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 3.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.134 | ×0.950 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 1.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.77% | ÷1.013 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 127, K 98, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .259 → .212; ISO .067 → .058; BABIP .214 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKGCL Mets · 26 PAwOBA .443 → .324 (−119)K% 3.8% → 5.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 3.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 5.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 13.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 2.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 17.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 7.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .443 → .324; ISO .211 → .162; BABIP .333 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AATennessee Smokies · 339 PAwOBA .307 → .274 (−33)K% 17.4% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.40% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.21% | ÷0.976 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 7.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.22% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 21.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 5.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.990 | ×1.012 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷0.882 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .307 → .274; ISO .096 → .091; BABIP .314 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 244 PAwOBA .273 → .209 (−64)K% 22.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.54% | ÷0.965 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.043 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.044 | ×0.940 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 23.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷0.920 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 3.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.800 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.64% | ÷1.311 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 0.44% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 162, 1B 109, 2B 84, 3B 108, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .273 → .209; ISO .047 → .036; BABIP .310 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ASouth Bend Cubs · 194 PAwOBA .335 → .275 (−60)K% 16.5% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.49% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.76% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.06% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.87% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 23.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.21% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 6.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.49% | ÷0.997 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.19% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 80, K 95, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .275; ISO .102 → .083; BABIP .348 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ASouth Bend Cubs · 162 PAwOBA .233 → .171 (−62)K% 17.9% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.90% | ÷0.984 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.32% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | — | 2.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.32% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | — | 12.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.109 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | — | 5.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.910 | ×0.953 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.61% | ÷1.064 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 107, 2B 122, 3B 115, K 97, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .233 → .171; ISO .098 → .067; BABIP .228 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Cubs · 91 PAwOBA .382 → .270 (−112)K% 17.6% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 21.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 4.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×0.985 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 4.39% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .382 → .270; ISO .209 → .144; BABIP .364 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAIowa Cubs · 41 PAwOBA .299 → .248 (−51)K% 17.1% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.07% | ÷0.996 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.249 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 7.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷1.021 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.050 | 19.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.111 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 2.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.929 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.15% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 122, 3B 130, K 99, BB 150 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .248; ISO .114 → .101; BABIP .250 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).