Patrick Dorrian

Pos2B

B/TL/R

Born1996-06-26

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2024

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2022	26	AAAMIL	353	.206/.303/.400	14	4	47	—	.165/.238/.304
2023	27	AAAMIL	407	.238/.314/.466	21	4	68	—	.200/.259/.365
2024	28	AAAMIL	276	.172/.277/.251	3	2	20	—	.148/.223/.208

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2024 AAA

Speed75

Max EV72

BB%62

Chase%56

K%24

Z-Con%22

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	ROK	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	204	189	44	7	1	4	13	50	0	0	0	233	282	344	626	111	292	25	6	279	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	255	219	56	17	3	6	28	64	4	8	2	256	351	443	794	187	329	25	11	348	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		250	50	0	113	-57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	473	398	98	21	2	22	69	135	4	4	2	246	363	475	838	229	313	29	15	370	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	179	45	9	6	2	17	45	2	2	1	251	323	402	725	151	313	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	204	195	35	5	1	3	7	71	0	0	0	179	208	262	469	82	252	35	3	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	255	229	44	14	3	5	18	87	4	8	2	192	263	345	608	153	265	34	7	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	16	16	2	0	0	0	0	10	0	0	0	125	125	125	250		245	62	0	84	-57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	473	423	83	18	2	13	44	167	4	4	2	196	278	340	619	144	285	35	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	322	53	11	2	10	30	137	1	4	1	165	238	304	542	140	244	39	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	375	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	200	259	365	625	165	284	38	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	221	35	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	179	45	9	6	2	17	45	2	2	1	251	323	402	725	151	321	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Bristol Pirates	—	200	167	56	12	8	2	28	32	2	2	1	335	434	539	973	204	400	16	14	421	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	459	423	78	19	4	7	26	158	4	8	2	184	238	298	536	113	270	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	459	408	100	24	4	10	41	114	4	8	2	245	320	397	717	152	311	25	9	318	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	489	439	85	18	2	13	44	177	4	4	2	194	273	333	606	139	287	36	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	489	414	100	21	2	22	69	143	4	4	2	242	355	461	817	220	311	29	14	362	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	322	53	11	2	10	30	137	1	4	1	165	238	304	542	140	246	39	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	353	310	64	14	2	14	42	111	1	4	1	206	303	400	703	194	270	31	12	315	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	375	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	200	259	365	625	165	291	38	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	407	365	87	18	1	21	34	127	6	4	3	238	314	466	779	227	301	31	8	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	227	35	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	—	276	239	41	6	2	3	33	79	2	2	0	172	277	251	528	79	239	29	12	249	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK MLE	Bristol Pirates	—	200	179	45	9	6	2	17	45	2	2	1	251	323	402	725	151	313	22	8	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	459	426	78	19	4	7	26	158	4	8	2	183	238	296	534	113	259	34	6	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	489	438	85	18	2	13	44	177	4	4	2	194	273	333	606	139	284	36	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	353	319	53	11	2	10	30	137	1	4	1	166	238	307	545	141	244	39	8	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	407	374	75	15	1	15	24	156	6	4	3	201	259	366	626	166	284	38	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	221	35	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	276	250	37	5	2	2	22	96	2	2	0	148	223	208	431	60	221	35	8	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	2184	1988	373	77	17	49	163	769	19	24	9	188	256	317	573	130	274	35	7	251	56	-114	+1	+0	+8	+47	-5.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	111	23	5	15	49	229	6	7	3	188	257	319	576	132	273	35	8	251	56	-34	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAANashville Sounds · 276 PAwOBA .245 → .198 (−48)K% 28.6% → 34.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.62%	÷0.983	×1.200	—	—	34.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.96%	÷1.014	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.07%
HBP% /PA	0.72%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.68%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷0.951	×0.930	×0.990	×0.992	18.00%
Doubles /BIP	3.75%	÷1.010	×0.830	×0.990	×0.992	3.03%
Triples /BIP	1.25%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.990	×0.992	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	1.88%	÷0.909	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.43%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .245 → .198; ISO .079 → .061; BABIP .239 → .221. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 407 PAwOBA .334 → .269 (−65)K% 31.2% → 38.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.20%	÷0.978	×1.200	—	—	38.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.35%	÷0.995	×0.690	—	×1.003	5.81%
HBP% /PA	1.47%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	1.39%
Singles /BIP	19.75%	÷0.953	×0.930	×1.018	×1.003	19.68%
Doubles /BIP	7.56%	÷0.971	×0.830	×1.018	×1.003	6.60%
Triples /BIP	0.42%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.018	×1.003	0.46%
Home runs /BIP	8.82%	÷0.905	×0.700	—	×1.003	6.85%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .334 → .269; ISO .227 → .171; BABIP .301 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANashville Sounds · 353 PAwOBA .307 → .237 (−69)K% 31.4% → 38.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.44%	÷0.971	×1.200	—	—	38.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.90%	÷0.994	×0.690	—	×1.018	8.40%
HBP% /PA	0.28%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.27%
Singles /BIP	17.09%	÷0.996	×0.930	×0.991	×1.018	16.10%
Doubles /BIP	7.04%	÷0.952	×0.830	×0.991	×1.018	6.19%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.991	×1.018	0.86%
Home runs /BIP	7.04%	÷0.946	×0.700	—	×1.018	5.30%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.

Result: wOBA .307 → .237; ISO .194 → .142; BABIP .270 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AABowie Baysox · 473 PAwOBA .361 → .276 (−85)K% 28.5% → 35.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.54%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	35.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.16%	÷1.065	×0.690	—	×0.998	9.16%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.72%
Singles /BIP	20.15%	÷0.978	×0.940	×1.006	×0.998	19.45%
Doubles /BIP	7.98%	÷0.995	×0.870	×1.006	×0.998	7.01%
Triples /BIP	0.76%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.006	×0.998	0.78%
Home runs /BIP	8.37%	÷1.258	×0.780	—	×0.998	5.18%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.

Result: wOBA .361 → .276; ISO .229 → .157; BABIP .313 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAANorfolk Tides · 16 PAwOBA .110 → .084 (−26)K% 50.0% → 61.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	50.00%	÷0.982	×1.200	—	—	61.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×1.033	0.00%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.981	×0.930	—	×1.033	24.49%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.977	×0.830	—	×1.033	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	—	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.009	×0.700	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 96, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .110 → .084; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 255 PAwOBA .343 → .257 (−87)K% 25.1% → 34.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.10%	÷0.983	×1.340	—	—	34.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.98%	÷0.990	×0.660	—	×0.990	7.25%
HBP% /PA	1.57%	—	×0.770	—	×0.990	1.20%
Singles /BIP	19.35%	÷1.113	×0.920	×0.950	×0.990	15.05%
Doubles /BIP	10.97%	÷0.914	×0.820	×0.950	×0.990	9.25%
Triples /BIP	1.94%	÷0.900	×0.940	×0.950	×0.990	1.90%
Home runs /BIP	3.87%	÷1.009	×0.820	—	×0.990	3.11%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 123, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .343 → .257; ISO .187 → .150; BABIP .329 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Frederick Keys · 204 PAwOBA .274 → .203 (−72)K% 24.5% → 34.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.51%	÷1.001	×1.420	—	—	34.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.37%	÷1.111	×0.630	—	×0.998	3.61%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	23.02%	÷1.008	×0.940	×0.950	×0.998	20.35%
Doubles /BIP	5.04%	÷0.969	×0.830	×0.950	×0.998	4.09%
Triples /BIP	0.72%	÷0.900	×0.800	×0.950	×0.998	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	2.88%	÷1.135	×0.900	—	×0.998	2.28%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 100, BB 122 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .274 → .203; ISO .111 → .081; BABIP .292 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ROKBristol Pirates · 200 PAwOBA .415 → .308 (−107)K% 16.0% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×1.420	—	—	22.72%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.00%	÷1.000	×0.640	—	×0.975	8.74%
HBP% /PA	1.00%	—	×0.740	—	×0.975	0.72%
Singles /BIP	25.19%	÷1.000	×0.840	×1.004	×0.975	20.71%
Doubles /BIP	8.89%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.004	×0.975	6.44%
Triples /BIP	5.93%	÷1.000	×0.740	×1.004	×0.975	4.29%
Home runs /BIP	1.48%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.975	1.16%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .415 → .308; ISO .204 → .150; BABIP .400 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).