Bo Way
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 414 | .253/.315/.305 | 1 | 21 | 51 | — | .233/.280/.279 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 285 | .306/.377/.369 | 0 | 8 | 78 | — | .267/.318/.320 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 396 | .255/.319/.391 | 7 | 7 | 46 | — | .194/.243/.296 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 133 | 115 | 39 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 339 | 424 | 461 | 885 | 122 | 381 | 12 | 10 | 395 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 147 | 130 | 46 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 354 | 400 | 554 | 954 | 200 | 379 | 9 | 5 | 397 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 593 | 520 | 144 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 49 | 90 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 277 | 350 | 371 | 721 | 94 | 329 | 15 | 8 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 471 | 425 | 111 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 87 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 261 | 320 | 320 | 640 | 59 | 323 | 18 | 7 | 288 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 167 | 151 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 298 | 338 | 325 | 662 | 26 | 366 | 17 | 5 | 291 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 247 | 213 | 47 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 221 | 300 | 291 | 591 | 70 | 256 | 14 | 8 | 263 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 132 | 123 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 341 | 372 | 407 | 779 | 65 | 400 | 14 | 4 | 343 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 133 | 111 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 279 | 394 | 342 | 736 | 63 | 337 | 14 | 13 | 342 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 20 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 278 | 578 | 56 | 250 | 10 | 10 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 58 | 53 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 293 | 321 | 614 | 94 | 261 | 12 | 7 | 280 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA | Mobile BayBears | — | 338 | 308 | 80 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 260 | 323 | 403 | 726 | 143 | 300 | 17 | 8 | 324 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 133 | 119 | 37 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 311 | 379 | 420 | 799 | 109 | 358 | 16 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 147 | 133 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 286 | 321 | 444 | 765 | 158 | 300 | 13 | 3 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 593 | 536 | 128 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 124 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 239 | 297 | 312 | 608 | 73 | 295 | 21 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 471 | 435 | 107 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 246 | 290 | 297 | 587 | 51 | 310 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 167 | 153 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 281 | 312 | 301 | 613 | 20 | 353 | 22 | 4 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 247 | 220 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 43 | 4 | 12 | 6 | 200 | 257 | 264 | 521 | 64 | 228 | 17 | 5 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 132 | 125 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 288 | 310 | 336 | 646 | 48 | 351 | 17 | 2 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 133 | 118 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 246 | 326 | 305 | 631 | 59 | 302 | 17 | 8 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 58 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 241 | 259 | 501 | 74 | 223 | 16 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | Mobile BayBears | — | 338 | 317 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 75 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 196 | 243 | 303 | 546 | 107 | 238 | 22 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 252 | 75 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 298 | 349 | 425 | 774 | 127 | 343 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 280 | 245 | 85 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 347 | 412 | 510 | 922 | 163 | 380 | 10 | 8 | 396 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 593 | 536 | 128 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 124 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 239 | 297 | 312 | 608 | 73 | 305 | 21 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 593 | 520 | 144 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 49 | 90 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 277 | 350 | 371 | 721 | 94 | 329 | 15 | 8 | 321 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 471 | 435 | 107 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 246 | 290 | 297 | 587 | 51 | 319 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 471 | 425 | 111 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 87 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 261 | 320 | 320 | 640 | 59 | 323 | 18 | 7 | 288 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 373 | 88 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 236 | 282 | 282 | 564 | 46 | 294 | 19 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 414 | 364 | 92 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 64 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 253 | 315 | 305 | 620 | 52 | 300 | 15 | 7 | 274 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 285 | 261 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 272 | 324 | 326 | 650 | 54 | 335 | 17 | 5 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 285 | 252 | 77 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 39 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 306 | 377 | 369 | 746 | 63 | 362 | 14 | 8 | 337 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 372 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 84 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 194 | 241 | 296 | 536 | 102 | 236 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 396 | 361 | 92 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 255 | 319 | 391 | 710 | 136 | 294 | 17 | 8 | 318 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 258 | 75 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 291 | 349 | 415 | 764 | 124 | 328 | 14 | 5 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 593 | 544 | 128 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 124 | 10 | 27 | 19 | 235 | 297 | 307 | 604 | 72 | 295 | 21 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 471 | 441 | 107 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 105 | 6 | 21 | 14 | 243 | 290 | 293 | 583 | 50 | 310 | 22 | 4 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 414 | 387 | 88 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 227 | 282 | 271 | 553 | 44 | 278 | 19 | 5 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 285 | 263 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 270 | 324 | 323 | 647 | 53 | 326 | 17 | 5 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 396 | 370 | 72 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 84 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 195 | 241 | 297 | 538 | 103 | 236 | 21 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2439 | 2229 | 541 | 79 | 22 | 13 | 123 | 482 | 35 | 97 | 66 | 243 | 293 | 315 | 608 | 73 | 303 | 20 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -102 | -7 | +0 | +9 | +53 | -4.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 144 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 128 | 9 | 26 | 18 | 242 | 292 | 313 | 606 | 71 | 303 | 20 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -27 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAMobile BayBears · 338 PAwOBA .316 → .238 (−79)K% 17.5% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.956 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.99% | ÷1.020 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.29% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 16.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.83% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.902 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.81% | ÷1.050 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.07% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 113, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 91, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .316 → .238; ISO .143 → .109; BABIP .300 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASalt Lake Bees · 58 PAwOBA .273 → .224 (−49)K% 12.1% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.009 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.992 | 15.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.062 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.17% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.992 | 1.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .273 → .224; ISO .094 → .075; BABIP .261 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAMobile BayBears · 133 PAwOBA .331 → .284 (−47)K% 14.3% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.03% | ÷1.040 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 7.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.01% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.17% | ÷1.021 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 24.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.43% | ÷1.014 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 4.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.944 | ×0.880 | ×1.016 | ×0.978 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 89, K 102, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .331 → .284; ISO .063 → .060; BABIP .337 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASalt Lake Bees · 132 PAwOBA .334 → .285 (−49)K% 13.6% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.003 | ×1.290 | — | — | 17.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.79% | ÷1.068 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 2.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.76% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.38% | ÷1.064 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 28.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.969 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 113, 2B 109, 3B 94, K 101, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .285; ISO .065 → .053; BABIP .400 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAMobile BayBears · 247 PAwOBA .258 → .227 (−31)K% 14.2% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.986 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 18.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.37% | ÷1.204 | ×0.910 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.930 | ×0.880 | ×1.016 | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.896 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 104, 2B 141, 3B 86, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .258 → .227; ISO .070 → .064; BABIP .256 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASalt Lake Bees · 167 PAwOBA .285 → .269 (−16)K% 17.4% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.37% | ÷1.010 | ×1.290 | — | — | 22.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.79% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.61% | ÷0.986 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 32.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.009 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 2.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .269; ISO .026 → .023; BABIP .366 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAArkansas Travelers · 471 PAwOBA .280 → .256 (−24)K% 18.5% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.47% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.16% | ÷0.979 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.81% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 26.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.25% | ÷0.975 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.59% | ÷0.972 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 99, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .280 → .256; ISO .059 → .051; BABIP .323 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Inland Empire 66ers · 593 PAwOBA .314 → .265 (−49)K% 15.2% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷1.013 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.12% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 23.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 4.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×1.049 | ×0.988 | 1.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.47% | ÷0.896 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .314 → .265; ISO .094 → .076; BABIP .329 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .