Max George
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AHOU | 96 | .247/.383/.286 | 0 | 8 | 40 | — | .193/.287/.217 |
| 2021 | 25 | AACOL | 245 | .191/.337/.377 | 9 | 11 | 55 | — | .152/.267/.295 |
| 2022 | 26 | AACOL | 20 | .056/.150/.111 | 0 | 0 | -42 | — | .056/.150/.111 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 176 | 136 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 301 | 438 | 463 | 901 | 162 | 411 | 25 | 14 | 391 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 142 | 114 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 39 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 158 | 304 | 246 | 550 | 88 | 227 | 27 | 14 | 260 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 442 | 347 | 86 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 104 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 248 | 376 | 401 | 776 | 153 | 326 | 24 | 12 | 336 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 492 | 416 | 105 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 82 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 252 | 347 | 425 | 772 | 173 | 284 | 17 | 9 | 335 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 370 | 297 | 62 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 87 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 209 | 347 | 421 | 768 | 212 | 241 | 24 | 12 | 338 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Asheville Tourists | — | 96 | 77 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 247 | 383 | 286 | 669 | 39 | 345 | 23 | 15 | 316 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 245 | 199 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 89 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 191 | 337 | 377 | 714 | 186 | 284 | 36 | 14 | 325 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 111 | 261 | 56 | 91 | 35 | 0 | 138 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 176 | 146 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 219 | 325 | 336 | 661 | 116 | 314 | 36 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 142 | 121 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 124 | 232 | 190 | 422 | 66 | 191 | 36 | 9 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 442 | 364 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 144 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 201 | 304 | 305 | 609 | 104 | 271 | 33 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 492 | 431 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 275 | 323 | 598 | 123 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 370 | 311 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 124 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 148 | 264 | 273 | 537 | 125 | 193 | 34 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 96 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 193 | 287 | 217 | 504 | 24 | 287 | 31 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 245 | 210 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 106 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 152 | 267 | 295 | 563 | 143 | 247 | 43 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 111 | 261 | 56 | 75 | 40 | 0 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 176 | 146 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 219 | 325 | 336 | 661 | 116 | 354 | 36 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 176 | 136 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 44 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 301 | 438 | 463 | 901 | 162 | 411 | 25 | 14 | 391 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 142 | 121 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 124 | 232 | 190 | 422 | 66 | 200 | 36 | 9 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 142 | 114 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 39 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 158 | 304 | 246 | 550 | 88 | 227 | 27 | 14 | 260 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 442 | 364 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 144 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 201 | 304 | 305 | 609 | 104 | 307 | 33 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 442 | 347 | 86 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 104 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 248 | 376 | 401 | 776 | 153 | 326 | 24 | 12 | 336 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 492 | 431 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 200 | 275 | 323 | 598 | 123 | 243 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 492 | 416 | 105 | 27 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 82 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 252 | 347 | 425 | 772 | 173 | 284 | 17 | 9 | 335 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 370 | 311 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 124 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 148 | 264 | 273 | 537 | 125 | 209 | 34 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 370 | 297 | 62 | 15 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 87 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 209 | 347 | 421 | 768 | 212 | 241 | 24 | 12 | 338 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 96 | 83 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 193 | 287 | 217 | 504 | 24 | 302 | 31 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A RAW | Asheville Tourists | — | 96 | 77 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 247 | 383 | 286 | 669 | 39 | 345 | 23 | 15 | 316 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 245 | 210 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 106 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 152 | 267 | 295 | 563 | 143 | 255 | 43 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 245 | 199 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 89 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 191 | 337 | 377 | 714 | 186 | 284 | 36 | 14 | 325 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 111 | 261 | 56 | 100 | 40 | 0 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 111 | 261 | 56 | 91 | 35 | 0 | 138 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 176 | 151 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 212 | 325 | 325 | 650 | 113 | 314 | 36 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 142 | 124 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 51 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 121 | 232 | 185 | 417 | 65 | 191 | 36 | 9 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 442 | 385 | 73 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 37 | 144 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 190 | 304 | 288 | 592 | 99 | 271 | 33 | 8 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 492 | 444 | 86 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 194 | 275 | 313 | 588 | 119 | 229 | 22 | 6 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 370 | 318 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 124 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 145 | 264 | 267 | 531 | 123 | 193 | 34 | 8 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 96 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 188 | 287 | 212 | 499 | 24 | 287 | 31 | 8 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 245 | 210 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 106 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 152 | 267 | 295 | 563 | 143 | 247 | 43 | 10 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 150 | 111 | 261 | 56 | 75 | 40 | 0 | 106 | -42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1983 | 1684 | 301 | 64 | 11 | 34 | 158 | 634 | 76 | 104 | 30 | 179 | 279 | 290 | 569 | 112 | 259 | 32 | 8 | 246 | 53 | -112 | +9 | +0 | +21 | +43 | -4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 552 | 99 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 208 | 25 | 34 | 10 | 179 | 280 | 292 | 572 | 112 | 260 | 32 | 8 | 246 | 53 | -37 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 20 PAwOBA .134 → .106 (−28)K% 35.0% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 10.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 8.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 7.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .134 → .106; ISO .056 → .041; BABIP .091 → .075. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAHartford Yard Goats · 245 PAwOBA .319 → .249 (−69)K% 36.3% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.33% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 43.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 9.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.67% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 3.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.09% | ÷1.047 | ×0.940 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 16.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.010 | ×0.870 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.82% | ÷0.956 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.998 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.18% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 91, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .319 → .249; ISO .186 → .148; BABIP .284 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAsheville Tourists · 96 PAwOBA .309 → .228 (−81)K% 22.9% → 31.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.968 | ×1.340 | — | — | 31.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷1.148 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.09% | ÷1.063 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.188 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.249 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 113, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 94, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .309 → .228; ISO .039 → .027; BABIP .345 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 370 PAwOBA .332 → .235 (−97)K% 23.5% → 33.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.51% | ÷0.938 | ×1.340 | — | — | 33.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.89% | ÷1.073 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.14% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 4.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 12.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.025 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.130 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.531 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 4.05% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 206, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 126, K 88, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .332 → .235; ISO .212 → .132; BABIP .241 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAsheville Tourists · 492 PAwOBA .329 → .255 (−74)K% 16.7% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.018 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.35% | ÷0.987 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.56% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 15.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷1.085 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 5.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.89% | ÷1.243 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 2.61% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 110, 2B 117, 3B 80, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .255; ISO .173 → .128; BABIP .284 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAsheville Tourists · 442 PAwOBA .330 → .257 (−73)K% 23.5% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.969 | ×1.340 | — | — | 32.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷0.987 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 8.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.85% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 3.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.99% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 19.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.29% | ÷1.267 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 6.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.29% | ÷1.232 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.26% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 146, 1B 93, 2B 153, 3B 80, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .330 → .257; ISO .153 → .107; BABIP .326 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAsheville Tourists · 142 PAwOBA .256 → .194 (−62)K% 27.5% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.46% | ÷1.025 | ×1.340 | — | — | 35.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.033 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 9.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.82% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.67% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 13.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.267 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.936 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.172 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 0.98% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 98, 2B 153, 3B 87, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .256 → .194; ISO .088 → .064; BABIP .227 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 176 PAwOBA .385 → .279 (−105)K% 25.0% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.022 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 24.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 6.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.022 | 3.33% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .385 → .279; ISO .162 → .119; BABIP .411 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).