Ryan Thompson

P Arizona Diamondbacks

Age 35 RHP 6'5" / 210 lbs MLB peak 0.1 · 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

Overview

MLBRPD6040-MAN

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	32	MLBARI	67	66	3.26	3.10	19.1%	4.8%	1.1
2025	33	MIX2 levels	50	43	3.74	3.35	20.4%	6.1%	0.6	K 20.6% · BB 6.3% · FIP 3.49
2026	34	MIX2 levels	47	42	4.32	3.34	16.3%	5.8%	0.6	K 15.6% · BB 5.4% · FIP 3.40
2027PROJ	35	MLBARI	27	28	4.01	4.14	17.1%	5.8%	0.1
2028PROJ91% MLB	36	MLBARI	35	37	4.31	4.51	16.0%	6.4%	0.0

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.4 · Next 2 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

xwOBA vs51

FB Velo10

Whiff%10

K%10

CompsJean Machi (age 35) · Brendan Donnelly (age 35) · Hector Navarro (age 35)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109101vR 93

ERA4.01

FIP4.14

K%17.1%

BB%5.8%

K-BB%11.2%

Proj IP28

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.3

Whiff%

p1019.2%

p1015.6%

xwOBA vs

p510.311

SL+0.7 (33%)

SI (63%)

CU (1%)

FB-0.9 (67%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2015	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	63	256	60	17	4	0%	1.5	18.4%	8.0%	10.4%	2.3%	3.00	3.81	—
2015	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	63	256	60	17	4	0%	1.5	23.4%	6.6%	16.8%	1.6%	3.00	2.83	—
2016	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	75	314	65	19	3	0%	1.8	16.2%	6.8%	9.4%	1.0%	3.35	3.11	—
2016	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	75	314	65	19	3	0%	1.8	20.7%	6.1%	14.6%	1.0%	3.35	2.65	—
2017	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	67	290	61	11	5	0%	1.8	18.2%	4.5%	13.7%	1.4%	4.05	2.91	—
2017	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	67	290	61	11	5	0%	1.8	21.0%	3.8%	17.2%	1.7%	4.05	2.74	—
2019	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	5	23	101	25	6	1	31%	1.5	18.0%	7.3%	10.7%	1.4%	2.70	3.30	—
2019	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	5	23	101	25	6	1	31%	1.5	24.8%	5.9%	18.8%	1.0%	2.70	2.29	—
2020	28	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	25	1	26	114	23	8	4	4%	1.1	20.2%	7.0%	13.2%	3.6%	4.44	4.27	+0.1
2020	28	MLB RAW	Tampa Bay Rays	25	1	26	114	23	8	4	4%	1.1	20.2%	7.0%	13.2%	3.5%	4.44	4.24	+0.1
2021	29	MIX MLE	3 levels	41	0	38	151	45	10	3	0%	0.9	27.6%	5.2%	22.4%	2.3%	2.11	2.69	+0.9
2021	29	MIX RAW	3 levels	41	0	38	151	45	10	3	0%	0.9	29.8%	6.6%	23.2%	2.0%	2.11	2.55	+0.9
2022	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	44	185	40	10	4	0%	0.9	21.5%	5.0%	16.6%	2.3%	3.71	3.16	+0.7
2022	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	44	185	40	10	4	0%	0.9	21.6%	5.4%	16.2%	2.2%	3.71	3.15	+0.7
2023	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	53	208	49	19	3	0%	1.1	21.7%	8.6%	13.1%	1.5%	3.42	3.20	+0.8
2023	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	53	208	49	19	3	0%	1.1	23.6%	9.1%	14.4%	1.4%	3.42	3.06	+0.9
2024	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.9%	3.26	3.16	+1.1
2024	32	MLB MLE	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.9%	3.26	3.16	+1.1
2024	32	MLB RAW	Arizona Diamondbacks	67	0	66	272	52	13	5	0%	1.0	19.1%	4.8%	14.3%	1.8%	3.26	3.10	+1.1
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.6%	6.3%	14.3%	2.4%	3.74	3.49	+0.5
2025	33	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.6%	6.3%	14.3%	2.4%	3.74	3.49	+0.5
2025	33	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	43	181	37	11	4	0%	0.9	20.4%	6.1%	14.4%	2.2%	3.74	3.35	+0.6
2026	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	42	190	31	11	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.7%	4.32	3.40	+0.6
2026	34	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	0	42	190	31	11	3	0%	0.9	15.6%	5.4%	10.2%	1.7%	4.32	3.40	+0.6
2026	34	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	0	42	190	31	11	3	0%	0.9	16.3%	5.8%	10.5%	1.6%	4.32	3.34	+0.6
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			300	1	282	1183	237	66	26	0%	0.9	20.0%	5.6%	14.5%	2.2%	3.67	3.32	+4.1
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	35	MLB	ARI	27	0	28	118	20	7	3	0%	1.0	17.1%	5.8%	11.2%	2.5%	4.01	4.14	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	36	MLB MLE	ARI	39	0	41	174	28	11	5	0%	1.1	16.0%	6.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.31	4.51	+0.0
2028	36	MLB CTX	ARI	35	0	37	156	25	10	4	0%	1.1	16.0%	6.4%	9.6%	2.9%	4.31	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		336	1	319	1341	262	76	31	0%	1.0	19.6%	5.7%	13.9%	2.3%	3.75	3.42	+4.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		210	1	200	840	164	48	19	0%	1.0	19.6%	5.7%	13.9%	2.3%	3.75	3.42	+2.7
Career	—	MLE		463	6	541	2262	438	140	42	1%	1.2	19.3%	6.2%	13.2%	1.9%	3.46	3.28	+4.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	2	200	837	162	52	16	1%	1.2	19.3%	6.2%	13.2%	1.9%	3.46	3.28	+2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ryan Thompson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.14	17.1%	5.8%	2.5%	—	4.51	16.0%	9.6%	41	+0.37	—	—	—
Jean Machi R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	35	SU	4.12	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	2.16	306	78
Brendan Donnelly R 2006 · 4.21 FIP	35	SU	4.21	19.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.260	3.19	18.6%	10.1%	60	-1.02	2.23	385	76
Hector Navarro R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	35	SU	4.35	15.0%	5.4%	3.3%	.281	3.00	15.2%	9.0%	81	-1.35	2.30	126	75
Keiichi Yabu R 2005 · 4.05 FIP	36	SU	4.05	16.8%	8.8%	2.3%	.307	3.48	15.9%	6.6%	68	-0.57	3.48	126	72
Erubiel Gonzalez R 2015 · 3.43 FIP	36	SU	3.43	12.4%	6.0%	1.1%	.328	3.26	14.8%	10.4%	69	-0.17	2.99	119	70
Kazuhiro Sasaki R 2003 · 3.30 FIP	35	SU	3.30	19.3%	8.7%	1.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	2.76	223	69
Neil Wagner R 2017 · 3.11 FIP	33	SU	3.11	20.7%	8.6%	1.2%	.257	—	—	—	—	—	3.11	135	69
Brian Schlitter R 2021 · 4.70 FIP	35	SU	4.70	14.9%	9.1%	3.1%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	300	68
Spencer Patton R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	35	SU	4.33	18.9%	9.7%	2.9%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	239	68
Juan Sandoval R 2016 · 3.24 FIP	35	SU	3.24	18.2%	10.2%	0.7%	.288	4.40	16.3%	9.1%	116	+1.16	3.24	225	67
Rudy Gonzalez R 2016 · 3.31 FIP	35	SU	3.31	12.9%	7.7%	0.6%	.250	4.72	15.8%	8.7%	29	+1.41	3.31	119	66
Mark Serrano R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	33	SU	5.25	20.2%	7.9%	5.2%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	120	66
Leo Rosales R 2015 · 3.99 FIP	34	SU	3.99	18.1%	10.8%	1.9%	.261	4.24	7.8%	-0.4%	22	+0.25	3.85	130	65
Toby Borland R 2004 · 4.28 FIP	35	SU	4.28	20.9%	8.1%	3.5%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	248	65
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	35	SU	5.13	13.1%	7.8%	3.9%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.23	173	64
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	63
Brian Sweeney R 2010 · 4.63 FIP	36	SU	4.63	9.5%	3.4%	3.5%	.226	—	—	—	—	—	3.03	108	63
Rafael Martín R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	35	SU	4.71	22.5%	6.0%	5.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	2.94	227	63
Seunghwan Oh R 2017 · 3.90 FIP	35	SU	3.90	20.5%	2.3%	4.1%	.299	3.45	26.6%	20.5%	87	-0.45	1.87	226	62
Jumbo Diaz R 2019 · 2.98 FIP	35	SU	2.98	25.0%	7.7%	1.8%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	2.80	319	61

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.8	39	19.3%	6.4%	0.89	3.77
Adam Cimber ('24)	1.6	54	18.0%	6.5%	0.75	3.75
Brandon Kintzler ('21)	2.4	60	16.8%	6.5%	0.88	3.50
George Kontos ('18)	1.8	51	19.8%	7.1%	0.96	3.10
Tony Castillo ('88-'98, 4 WAR*)	2.6	59	18.5%*	7.3%*	0.98*	3.76*
Ramon Hernandez ('67-'77, 6 WAR*)	2.2	61	19.7%*	7.3%*	0.77*	3.65*
Mike Perez ('90-'97, 3 WAR*)	1.7	58	18.5%*	8.2%*	0.88*	3.86*