Nick Tanielu
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 28 | AAASD | 355 | .233/.303/.415 | 14 | 2 | 45 | — | .181/.237/.291 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAATEX | 318 | .236/.323/.379 | 6 | 2 | 53 | — | .192/.256/.299 |
| 2023 | 30 | AATEX | 186 | .247/.337/.463 | 7 | 1 | 68 | — | .198/.272/.365 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 463 | 419 | 129 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 308 | 361 | 434 | 796 | 126 | 345 | 14 | 6 | 349 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 403 | 371 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 253 | 299 | 356 | 655 | 102 | 283 | 15 | 5 | 291 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 148 | 137 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 372 | 411 | 555 | 966 | 182 | 416 | 15 | 5 | 419 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 58 | 54 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 352 | 386 | 500 | 886 | 148 | 383 | 12 | 3 | 386 | 147 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 301 | 277 | 80 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 38 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 289 | 339 | 412 | 750 | 123 | 318 | 13 | 6 | 333 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 125 | 115 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 287 | 339 | 435 | 773 | 148 | 290 | 10 | 7 | 342 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Auckland Tuatara | — | 60 | 55 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 327 | 644 | 73 | 326 | 20 | 7 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 503 | 454 | 134 | 39 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 86 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 295 | 361 | 520 | 881 | 225 | 328 | 17 | 9 | 385 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 355 | 318 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 415 | 718 | 182 | 251 | 20 | 8 | 315 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 318 | 280 | 66 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 323 | 379 | 701 | 143 | 282 | 19 | 10 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 162 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 337 | 463 | 800 | 216 | 295 | 24 | 9 | 351 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 463 | 429 | 109 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 254 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 98 | 296 | 20 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 403 | 378 | 86 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 266 | 304 | 571 | 77 | 259 | 17 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 148 | 139 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 317 | 349 | 460 | 810 | 144 | 365 | 21 | 3 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 301 | 283 | 72 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 254 | 292 | 353 | 645 | 99 | 291 | 17 | 4 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 125 | 119 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 274 | 353 | 627 | 109 | 249 | 12 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 503 | 469 | 111 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 237 | 285 | 405 | 691 | 168 | 274 | 22 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 355 | 326 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 237 | 291 | 529 | 110 | 213 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 318 | 291 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 299 | 555 | 107 | 240 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 167 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 272 | 365 | 637 | 168 | 238 | 29 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 463 | 429 | 109 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 254 | 295 | 352 | 647 | 98 | 305 | 20 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 463 | 419 | 129 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 65 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 308 | 361 | 434 | 796 | 126 | 345 | 14 | 6 | 349 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 609 | 572 | 142 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 110 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 248 | 285 | 337 | 622 | 89 | 291 | 18 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 609 | 562 | 164 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 89 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 292 | 334 | 418 | 753 | 126 | 325 | 15 | 5 | 331 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 486 | 458 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 253 | 290 | 356 | 646 | 103 | 285 | 15 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 486 | 447 | 127 | 26 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 62 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 284 | 336 | 407 | 743 | 123 | 311 | 13 | 7 | 330 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 503 | 469 | 111 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 237 | 285 | 405 | 691 | 168 | 277 | 22 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 503 | 454 | 134 | 39 | 3 | 19 | 44 | 86 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 295 | 361 | 520 | 881 | 225 | 328 | 17 | 9 | 385 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 355 | 326 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 237 | 291 | 529 | 110 | 217 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 355 | 318 | 74 | 14 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 70 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 303 | 415 | 718 | 182 | 251 | 20 | 8 | 315 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 318 | 291 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 192 | 256 | 299 | 555 | 107 | 242 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA RAW | Round Rock Express | — | 318 | 280 | 66 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 62 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 236 | 323 | 379 | 701 | 143 | 282 | 19 | 10 | 315 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 167 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 272 | 365 | 637 | 168 | 255 | 29 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 162 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 247 | 337 | 463 | 800 | 216 | 295 | 24 | 9 | 351 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 463 | 435 | 109 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 92 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 251 | 295 | 347 | 642 | 97 | 296 | 20 | 4 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 609 | 575 | 142 | 21 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 110 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 247 | 285 | 336 | 620 | 89 | 287 | 18 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 486 | 459 | 116 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 74 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 253 | 290 | 355 | 646 | 102 | 279 | 15 | 4 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 503 | 466 | 111 | 30 | 2 | 15 | 29 | 109 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 238 | 285 | 408 | 693 | 170 | 274 | 22 | 6 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 355 | 328 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 180 | 237 | 290 | 527 | 110 | 213 | 25 | 6 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 318 | 290 | 56 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 73 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 193 | 256 | 300 | 556 | 107 | 240 | 23 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 186 | 167 | 33 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 198 | 272 | 365 | 637 | 168 | 238 | 29 | 6 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2920 | 2712 | 626 | 125 | 15 | 53 | 146 | 600 | 30 | 19 | 17 | 231 | 278 | 347 | 624 | 116 | 275 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -104 | -3 | +0 | +10 | +63 | -3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 139 | 28 | 3 | 12 | 32 | 134 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 230 | 277 | 346 | 623 | 116 | 274 | 21 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 186 PAwOBA .345 → .268 (−77)K% 24.2% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.19% | ÷1.009 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.60% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.940 | 2.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.031 | ×0.920 | ×0.954 | ×0.940 | 14.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷0.875 | ×0.840 | ×0.954 | ×0.940 | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.074 | ×0.940 | ×0.954 | ×0.940 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.98% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.940 | 4.62% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 106, 2B 75, 3B 115, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .345 → .268; ISO .216 → .171; BABIP .295 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 318 PAwOBA .308 → .247 (−61)K% 19.5% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.50% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.38% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.35% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 15.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.26% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.972 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.75% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 1.96% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .308 → .247; ISO .143 → .113; BABIP .282 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 355 PAwOBA .311 → .234 (−77)K% 19.7% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.89% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.15% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 16.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.116 | ×0.830 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.099 | ×0.920 | ×1.003 | ×0.982 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.154 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 3.36% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 120, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .311 → .234; ISO .182 → .114; BABIP .251 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAARound Rock Express · 503 PAwOBA .374 → .300 (−74)K% 17.1% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.10% | ÷1.022 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.35% | ÷1.030 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.84% | ÷0.966 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 17.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.60% | ÷0.995 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 8.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.126 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.16% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.26% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 99, 3B 125, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .374 → .300; ISO .225 → .177; BABIP .328 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAFresno Grizzlies · 301 PAwOBA .325 → .282 (−42)K% 12.6% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.62% | ÷0.982 | ×1.290 | — | — | 16.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷1.025 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 4.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.66% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×0.994 | ×1.018 | 22.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷0.974 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×1.018 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.994 | ×1.018 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷0.951 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .325 → .282; ISO .123 → .101; BABIP .318 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 125 PAwOBA .332 → .275 (−58)K% 9.6% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.60% | ÷0.997 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷1.036 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.30% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 20.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.075 | ×0.840 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 3.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.88% | ÷1.059 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 105, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 99, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .332 → .275; ISO .148 → .113; BABIP .290 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 403 PAwOBA .285 → .249 (−37)K% 14.9% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.055 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.46% | ÷0.932 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.83% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 21.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.017 | ×0.840 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 3.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷0.977 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.196 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 93, 2B 103, 3B 95, K 111, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .285 → .249; ISO .102 → .077; BABIP .283 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 148 PAwOBA .413 → .335 (−78)K% 14.9% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.86% | ÷0.962 | ×1.340 | — | — | 20.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.73% | ÷1.046 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.30% | ÷0.982 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 28.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷1.070 | ×0.820 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 5.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×1.005 | ×0.988 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.48% | ÷1.252 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.52% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 96, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 92, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .413 → .335; ISO .182 → .133; BABIP .416 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .