Troy Stokes Jr.
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | AAASD | 381 | .233/.345/.385 | 9 | 14 | 60 | — | .182/.271/.292 | |
| 2021 | 25 | AAAMIL | 239 | .188/.297/.309 | 4 | 9 | 45 | — | .164/.251/.252 | |
| 2021 | 25 | MLBPIT | 20 | .111/.200/.167 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -0.4 | ||
| 2023 | 27 | INTLAguilas de Me… | 63 | .173/.306/.269 | 1 | 0 | 70 | — | ||
| 2024 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | AZL Brewers | — | 207 | 172 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 47 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 262 | 368 | 331 | 700 | 70 | 352 | 23 | 12 | 317 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 226 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 50 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 384 | 407 | 791 | 137 | 327 | 18 | 12 | 357 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 366 | 314 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 62 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 268 | 361 | 395 | 756 | 127 | 319 | 17 | 10 | 338 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 153 | 135 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 252 | 336 | 452 | 787 | 200 | 292 | 22 | 10 | 347 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Carolina Mudcats | — | 426 | 364 | 91 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 77 | 7 | 22 | 9 | 250 | 347 | 445 | 792 | 195 | 278 | 18 | 11 | 346 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 551 | 467 | 109 | 23 | 6 | 19 | 65 | 147 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 233 | 346 | 430 | 776 | 197 | 295 | 27 | 12 | 345 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 110 | 94 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 298 | 394 | 447 | 841 | 149 | 329 | 16 | 12 | 376 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | San Antonio Missions | — | 381 | 322 | 75 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 87 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 233 | 345 | 385 | 730 | 152 | 287 | 23 | 12 | 329 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 56 | 154 | 25 | 5 | 181 | 7 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 207 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 56 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 188 | 297 | 309 | 606 | 121 | 238 | 23 | 11 | 282 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 63 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 173 | 306 | 269 | 576 | 96 | 235 | 27 | 13 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 56 | 154 | 25 | 5 | 181 | 9 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +0 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 207 | 181 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 68 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 193 | 274 | 243 | 517 | 50 | 279 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 239 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 72 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 192 | 280 | 285 | 564 | 92 | 254 | 27 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 366 | 324 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 82 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 222 | 300 | 321 | 621 | 99 | 279 | 22 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 153 | 140 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 221 | 283 | 371 | 654 | 150 | 275 | 28 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 426 | 381 | 80 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 110 | 7 | 22 | 9 | 210 | 280 | 373 | 653 | 163 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 551 | 485 | 94 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 47 | 192 | 15 | 19 | 2 | 194 | 285 | 344 | 630 | 151 | 280 | 35 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 381 | 336 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 115 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 182 | 271 | 292 | 562 | 110 | 245 | 30 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 56 | 154 | 25 | 5 | 179 | 7 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +0 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 239 | 214 | 35 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 66 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 164 | 251 | 252 | 503 | 89 | 222 | 28 | 8 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 207 | 181 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 68 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 193 | 274 | 243 | 517 | 50 | 302 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Brewers | — | 207 | 172 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 47 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 262 | 368 | 331 | 700 | 70 | 352 | 23 | 12 | 317 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 239 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 72 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 192 | 280 | 285 | 564 | 92 | 258 | 27 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 226 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 50 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 384 | 407 | 791 | 137 | 327 | 18 | 12 | 357 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 366 | 324 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 82 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 222 | 300 | 321 | 621 | 99 | 285 | 22 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A RAW | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 366 | 314 | 84 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 62 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 268 | 361 | 395 | 756 | 127 | 319 | 17 | 10 | 338 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 521 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 154 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 211 | 279 | 369 | 647 | 157 | 262 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 579 | 499 | 125 | 28 | 5 | 20 | 63 | 111 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 251 | 344 | 447 | 791 | 196 | 282 | 19 | 11 | 347 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 661 | 583 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 231 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 196 | 285 | 346 | 632 | 151 | 287 | 35 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 661 | 561 | 137 | 25 | 6 | 23 | 78 | 165 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 244 | 354 | 433 | 787 | 189 | 302 | 25 | 12 | 350 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 381 | 336 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 115 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 182 | 271 | 292 | 562 | 110 | 248 | 30 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 381 | 322 | 75 | 22 | 0 | 9 | 47 | 87 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 233 | 345 | 385 | 730 | 152 | 287 | 23 | 12 | 329 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 232 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 71 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 159 | 247 | 246 | 493 | 86 | 215 | 27 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 259 | 225 | 41 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 61 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 182 | 290 | 298 | 587 | 116 | 231 | 24 | 11 | 274 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL MLE | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 63 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 173 | 306 | 269 | 576 | 96 | 235 | 27 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | INTL RAW | Aguilas de Mexicali | — | 63 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 173 | 306 | 269 | 576 | 96 | 235 | 27 | 13 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Brewers | — | 207 | 185 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 68 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 189 | 274 | 238 | 511 | 49 | 279 | 33 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | Helena Brewers | — | 271 | 240 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 72 | 9 | 26 | 6 | 192 | 280 | 283 | 563 | 92 | 254 | 27 | 7 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | A MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 366 | 327 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 82 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 220 | 300 | 318 | 618 | 98 | 279 | 22 | 7 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 579 | 525 | 110 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 154 | 8 | 31 | 12 | 210 | 279 | 366 | 645 | 156 | 254 | 27 | 7 | 280 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 661 | 583 | 114 | 26 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 231 | 17 | 26 | 2 | 196 | 285 | 346 | 632 | 151 | 280 | 35 | 8 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 381 | 337 | 61 | 16 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 115 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 181 | 271 | 291 | 561 | 110 | 245 | 30 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 230 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 71 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 161 | 247 | 248 | 495 | 87 | 217 | 27 | 8 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 20 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 167 | 367 | 56 | 154 | 25 | 5 | 181 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +0 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 64 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 162 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 109 | 197 | 164 | 361 | 55 | 151 | 25 | 5 | 181 | 61 | -71 | +6 | +14 | -90 | +14 | -12.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2787 | 2468 | 484 | 106 | 18 | 51 | 220 | 810 | 65 | 146 | 35 | 196 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 120 | 266 | 29 | 8 | 258 | 61 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +0 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 113 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 51 | 189 | 15 | 34 | 8 | 196 | 279 | 316 | 595 | 120 | 266 | 29 | 8 | 258 | 61 | -71 | +6 | +14 | -90 | +14 | -12.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAANashville Sounds · 239 PAwOBA .275 → .234 (−41)K% 23.4% → 27.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.43% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.30% | ÷0.946 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.09% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.56% | ÷0.966 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 16.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.64% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.99% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.65% | ÷0.915 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.09% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 93, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 105, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .275 → .234; ISO .121 → .096; BABIP .238 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAASan Antonio Missions · 381 PAwOBA .325 → .257 (−67)K% 22.8% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.83% | ÷0.979 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.34% | ÷1.055 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 8.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.72% | ÷0.995 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 16.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.36% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.930 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.83% | ÷0.977 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 3.21% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 86, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .325 → .257; ISO .152 → .118; BABIP .287 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AABiloxi Shuckers · 551 PAwOBA .338 → .279 (−60)K% 26.7% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.68% | ÷0.933 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.62% | ÷0.964 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 8.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 2.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.06% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 18.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.19% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 7.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.960 | ×1.042 | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 93, 2B 84, 3B 80, K 87, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .338 → .279; ISO .197 → .157; BABIP .295 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Carolina Mudcats · 426 PAwOBA .339 → .282 (−57)K% 18.1% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.08% | ÷0.990 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.56% | ÷0.973 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.47% | ÷1.004 | ×0.940 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.62% | ÷1.034 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 5.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷0.944 | ×0.800 | ×0.966 | ×1.027 | 1.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.959 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 4.70% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .339 → .282; ISO .195 → .171; BABIP .278 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABiloxi Shuckers · 153 PAwOBA .340 → .273 (−67)K% 22.2% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.46% | ÷1.035 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.65% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.81% | ÷0.986 | ×0.920 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 17.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.91% | ÷0.946 | ×0.910 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 8.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.880 | ×0.976 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.94% | ÷1.393 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.58% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 97, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 92, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.976.
Result: wOBA .340 → .273; ISO .200 → .142; BABIP .292 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AWisconsin Timber Rattlers · 366 PAwOBA .332 → .273 (−59)K% 16.9% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.94% | ÷1.022 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.73% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 2.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 19.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 6.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×1.030 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.161 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.13% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 105, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .332 → .273; ISO .127 → .101; BABIP .319 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKHelena Brewers · 271 PAwOBA .347 → .250 (−97)K% 18.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.008 | 7.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.32% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 19.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 4.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.975 | ×1.008 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.008 | 2.15% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .347 → .250; ISO .137 → .098; BABIP .327 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKAZL Brewers · 207 PAwOBA .314 → .228 (−87)K% 22.7% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 7.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.42% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.975 | ×1.022 | 22.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.975 | ×1.022 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.975 | ×1.022 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .314 → .228; ISO .070 → .048; BABIP .352 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .