Jake Peter
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 24 | AAA/AACWS | 516 | .279/.345/.417 | 13 | 11 | 77 | — | .246/.298/.364 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAAOklahoma City… | 365 | .243/.314/.362 | 7 | 4 | 47 | — | .195/.251/.278 |
| 2019 | 26 | AAAOklahoma City… | 321 | .199/.345/.352 | 7 | 1 | 46 | — | .141/.257/.243 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 94 | 89 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 277 | 303 | 580 | 67 | 276 | 14 | 4 | 263 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 171 | 152 | 59 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 388 | 450 | 579 | 1.029 | 191 | 410 | 8 | 8 | 446 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 562 | 497 | 129 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 53 | 89 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 260 | 333 | 348 | 681 | 89 | 307 | 16 | 9 | 306 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 64 | 55 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 309 | 397 | 364 | 760 | 55 | 362 | 14 | 11 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 250 | 228 | 59 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 319 | 342 | 661 | 83 | 311 | 18 | 7 | 299 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 291 | 253 | 77 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 52 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 304 | 385 | 407 | 792 | 103 | 361 | 18 | 11 | 353 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 194 | 178 | 52 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 292 | 351 | 506 | 856 | 213 | 344 | 23 | 8 | 376 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 322 | 285 | 77 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 80 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 270 | 342 | 361 | 703 | 91 | 360 | 25 | 8 | 315 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 365 | 329 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 95 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 314 | 362 | 676 | 119 | 319 | 26 | 8 | 305 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 321 | 261 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 56 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 345 | 352 | 697 | 153 | 269 | 28 | 17 | 321 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 94 | 90 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 245 | 267 | 511 | 56 | 260 | 20 | 3 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 171 | 157 | 47 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 349 | 439 | 789 | 140 | 320 | 11 | 5 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 562 | 519 | 117 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 135 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 225 | 272 | 283 | 555 | 58 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 250 | 232 | 57 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 50 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 246 | 290 | 323 | 614 | 78 | 301 | 20 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 291 | 264 | 78 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 295 | 350 | 398 | 747 | 102 | 359 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 194 | 182 | 46 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 299 | 423 | 722 | 170 | 326 | 28 | 6 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 322 | 293 | 71 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 242 | 297 | 328 | 625 | 85 | 334 | 31 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 365 | 338 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 126 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 195 | 251 | 278 | 529 | 83 | 290 | 35 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 321 | 276 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 257 | 243 | 500 | 101 | 215 | 35 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 248 | 66 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 308 | 375 | 683 | 109 | 305 | 14 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 265 | 241 | 80 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 332 | 388 | 477 | 865 | 145 | 363 | 10 | 6 | 381 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 626 | 577 | 132 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 151 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 229 | 276 | 293 | 569 | 64 | 300 | 24 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 626 | 552 | 146 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 60 | 98 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 264 | 340 | 350 | 689 | 85 | 312 | 16 | 10 | 310 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 496 | 135 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 114 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 272 | 324 | 363 | 687 | 91 | 338 | 21 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 541 | 481 | 136 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 96 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 283 | 354 | 376 | 730 | 94 | 338 | 18 | 9 | 328 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 475 | 116 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 155 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 244 | 296 | 356 | 652 | 112 | 340 | 30 | 6 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 516 | 463 | 129 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 124 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 279 | 345 | 417 | 762 | 138 | 354 | 24 | 8 | 338 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 365 | 338 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 126 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 195 | 251 | 278 | 529 | 83 | 292 | 35 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 365 | 329 | 80 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 95 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 243 | 314 | 362 | 676 | 119 | 319 | 26 | 8 | 305 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 321 | 276 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 141 | 257 | 243 | 500 | 101 | 212 | 35 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA RAW | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 321 | 261 | 52 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 56 | 89 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 345 | 352 | 697 | 153 | 269 | 28 | 17 | 321 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 265 | 248 | 66 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 308 | 375 | 683 | 109 | 299 | 14 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 626 | 583 | 132 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 151 | 3 | 23 | 4 | 226 | 276 | 290 | 566 | 63 | 290 | 24 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 541 | 498 | 135 | 27 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 114 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 271 | 324 | 361 | 685 | 90 | 332 | 21 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 516 | 476 | 116 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 155 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 244 | 296 | 355 | 651 | 111 | 331 | 30 | 6 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 365 | 337 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 126 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 196 | 251 | 279 | 530 | 83 | 290 | 35 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Dodgers | — | 321 | 275 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 41 | 113 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 142 | 257 | 244 | 501 | 102 | 215 | 35 | 13 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2634 | 2410 | 554 | 93 | 16 | 31 | 168 | 697 | 26 | 49 | 17 | 230 | 287 | 320 | 608 | 90 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -103 | +3 | +0 | +9 | +57 | -3.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 137 | 23 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 172 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 230 | 286 | 323 | 609 | 92 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -26 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 321 PAwOBA .315 → .236 (−79)K% 27.7% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.73% | ÷1.014 | ×1.290 | — | — | 35.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.45% | ÷0.993 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 12.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.62% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.28% | ÷1.048 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 13.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.72% | ÷1.012 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.07% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 3.01% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 109, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .315 → .236; ISO .153 → .111; BABIP .269 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 365 PAwOBA .297 → .238 (−60)K% 26.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.03% | ÷0.970 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.67% | ÷1.021 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.21% | ÷0.992 | ×0.900 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.020 | ×0.810 | ×1.002 | ×1.033 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.99% | ÷1.020 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.36% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 106, 3B 104, K 94, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .297 → .238; ISO .119 → .087; BABIP .319 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AABirmingham Barons · 322 PAwOBA .309 → .267 (−42)K% 24.8% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.84% | ÷0.980 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.001 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.27% | ÷1.009 | ×0.920 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 27.41% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.85% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 5.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.086 | ×0.880 | ×1.015 | ×1.012 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.894 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.77% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 117, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.015.
Result: wOBA .309 → .267; ISO .091 → .081; BABIP .360 → .334. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 194 PAwOBA .365 → .305 (−61)K% 22.7% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.68% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.73% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 24.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.22% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 4.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 1.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 5.14% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .365 → .305; ISO .213 → .164; BABIP .344 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AABirmingham Barons · 291 PAwOBA .348 → .329 (−19)K% 17.9% → 22.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.87% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷0.990 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.35% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 28.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.97% | ÷0.897 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 7.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.99% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 79, 3B 130, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .348 → .329; ISO .103 → .104; BABIP .361 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 250 PAwOBA .292 → .271 (−21)K% 17.6% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.60% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.20% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.91% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 23.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.07% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 6.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.09% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.01% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .292 → .271; ISO .083 → .077; BABIP .311 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 562 PAwOBA .301 → .248 (−52)K% 15.8% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.84% | ÷0.932 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.25% | ÷1.060 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.963 | ×0.940 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 23.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.13% | ÷1.175 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 4.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.027 | ×1.012 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.090 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 93, 2B 135, 3B 130, K 86, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .301 → .248; ISO .089 → .064; BABIP .307 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers · 171 PAwOBA .439 → .334 (−105)K% 7.6% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.60% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 10.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.985 | 4.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×0.985 | 23.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.006 | ×0.985 | 5.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.006 | ×0.985 | 3.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.985 | 1.06% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .439 → .334; ISO .191 → .140; BABIP .410 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .