Andrés Núñez prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Andrés Núñez P Worcester Red Sox

Age 30 RHP 6'4" / 240 lbs AAA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 107

ERA4.75

FIP4.75

K%19.0%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%8.9%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Burlington Royals	15	0	25	102	27	7	1	0%	1.6	18.0%	8.6%	9.4%	1.4%	2.92	3.42	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Burlington Royals	15	0	25	102	27	7	1	0%	1.6	26.5%	6.9%	19.6%	1.0%	2.92	2.29	—
2019	23	A MLE	Lexington Legends	26	0	53	217	68	10	3	0%	2.0	23.2%	5.4%	17.8%	1.6%	2.21	2.73	—
2019	23	A RAW	Lexington Legends	26	0	53	217	68	10	3	0%	2.0	31.3%	4.6%	26.7%	1.4%	2.21	1.84	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	47	1	75	321	85	25	8	2%	1.6	22.0%	8.4%	13.6%	3.0%	3.98	3.93	—
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	47	1	75	321	85	25	8	2%	1.6	26.5%	7.8%	18.7%	2.5%	3.98	3.22	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	54	0	62	268	69	17	5	0%	1.2	22.7%	6.7%	16.0%	2.1%	3.61	3.18	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	54	0	62	268	69	17	5	0%	1.2	25.7%	6.3%	19.4%	1.9%	3.61	2.75	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	37	1	45	212	36	27	3	3%	1.2	14.6%	11.5%	3.1%	1.5%	6.04	4.17	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Worcester Red Sox	37	1	45	212	36	27	3	3%	1.2	14.6%	11.5%	3.1%	1.5%	6.04	4.17	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Worcester Red Sox	37	1	45	212	36	27	3	3%	1.2	17.0%	12.7%	4.2%	1.4%	6.04	4.17	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	BOS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	19.0%	10.2%	8.9%	2.9%	4.75	4.75	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	BOS	23	0	24	102	19	11	3	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.83	4.91	-0.1
2027	31	MLB CTX	BOS	9	0	9	38	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.1%	10.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.83	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	37	7	4	1	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	158	90	23	0%	1.1	19.1%	10.4%	8.7%	3.1%	4.83	4.53	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		179	2	259	1120	231	90	23	1%	1.4	20.6%	8.0%	12.6%	2.1%	3.78	3.51	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	2	200	864	178	69	18	1%	1.4	20.6%	8.0%	12.6%	2.1%	3.78	3.51	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Andrés Núñez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.75	19.0%	10.2%	2.9%	—	4.91	19.1%	8.7%	24	+0.16	—	—	—
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	91
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	88
Esteban Haro R 2016 · 4.55 FIP	30	SU	4.55	17.1%	10.2%	2.9%	.338	3.83	11.6%	6.3%	75	-0.72	3.76	164	86
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	85
Joe Nelson R 2006 · 3.91 FIP	31	SU	3.91	22.8%	10.4%	2.6%	.258	4.05	23.4%	12.8%	94	+0.14	3.08	139	85
Neil Wagner R 2013 · 4.02 FIP	29	SU	4.02	20.5%	7.5%	3.1%	.306	4.05	19.8%	7.5%	43	+0.03	3.11	135	85
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	84
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	79
Scott Atchison R 2007 · 4.55 FIP	31	SU	4.55	19.1%	7.6%	3.8%	.297	4.59	16.2%	9.5%	60	+0.04	2.52	340	79
Carlos Fisher R 2011 · 4.33 FIP	28	SU	4.33	15.5%	9.1%	2.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	2.48	245	79
Francisco Mendoza R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	28	SU	3.81	17.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	3.13	120	78
Adrian Garza R 2017 · 4.47 FIP	29	SU	4.47	16.0%	7.0%	3.4%	.351	5.18	9.7%	4.1%	113	+0.71	3.94	229	78
Jason Urquidez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	32	SU	3.59	15.6%	9.3%	1.1%	.386	1.81	25.5%	20.7%	90	-1.78	1.25	123	77
Ivan Zavala R 2017 · 5.02 FIP	30	SU	5.02	12.8%	8.0%	3.6%	.286	5.15	12.7%	5.3%	61	+0.13	4.27	209	77
Mike Broadway R 2017 · 4.73 FIP	30	SU	4.73	18.3%	10.2%	3.4%	.245	4.65	23.0%	12.4%	49	-0.08	1.74	195	77
Jose Manuel Lopez R 2015 · 5.21 FIP	30	SU	5.21	18.6%	7.6%	4.9%	.373	3.56	18.5%	9.3%	93	-1.65	3.50	170	76
Ronald Peña R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	29	SU	4.49	16.5%	10.4%	2.7%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	3.72	187	76
Ryan Doolittle R 2016 · 4.38 FIP	28	SU	4.38	13.9%	7.1%	2.8%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	101	76
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	76
Greg Burke R 2013 · 3.70 FIP	30	SU	3.70	17.9%	8.3%	1.9%	.357	3.61	22.1%	14.8%	62	-0.09	3.61	139	76