Keegan McGovern
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | AClinton Lumbe… | 271 | .268/.352/.523 | 15 | 1 | 85 | — | .216/.274/.404 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+/A2 orgs | 312 | .218/.341/.416 | 12 | 0 | 61 | — | .164/.264/.339 |
| 2021 | 25 | AASEA | 173 | .189/.329/.308 | 4 | 5 | 40 | — | .157/.254/.248 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 239 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 352 | 523 | 875 | 255 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 381 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 269 | 224 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 89 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 340 | 393 | 732 | 183 | 294 | 33 | 11 | 333 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 43 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 349 | 553 | 901 | 289 | 296 | 21 | 9 | 390 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 173 | 143 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 68 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 329 | 308 | 637 | 119 | 324 | 39 | 15 | 301 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 274 | 404 | 678 | 188 | 287 | 34 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 269 | 235 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 122 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 261 | 319 | 580 | 162 | 243 | 45 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 43 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 279 | 462 | 741 | 256 | 247 | 28 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 173 | 153 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 157 | 254 | 248 | 503 | 92 | 301 | 47 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 274 | 404 | 678 | 188 | 289 | 34 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A RAW | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 239 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 352 | 523 | 875 | 255 | 308 | 24 | 10 | 381 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 275 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 134 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 257 | 327 | 585 | 167 | 246 | 43 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 312 | 262 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 98 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 341 | 416 | 757 | 198 | 294 | 31 | 11 | 341 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 173 | 153 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 157 | 254 | 248 | 503 | 92 | 309 | 47 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA RAW | Arkansas Travelers | — | 173 | 143 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 68 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 329 | 308 | 637 | 119 | 324 | 39 | 15 | 301 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Clinton LumberKings | — | 271 | 249 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 217 | 274 | 406 | 680 | 189 | 287 | 34 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 312 | 273 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 21 | 134 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 257 | 330 | 587 | 168 | 244 | 43 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 173 | 151 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 82 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 159 | 254 | 252 | 506 | 93 | 301 | 47 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 756 | 678 | 122 | 21 | 4 | 26 | 54 | 307 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 180 | 263 | 338 | 600 | 158 | 277 | 41 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +16 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 22 | 46 | 264 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 178 | 261 | 333 | 594 | 154 | 274 | 41 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -27 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 173 PAwOBA .294 → .228 (−66)K% 39.3% → 47.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.31% | ÷1.013 | ×1.220 | — | — | 47.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.03% | ÷1.144 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.33% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 24.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.870 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 3.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×0.988 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.892 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.61% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .294 → .228; ISO .119 → .099; BABIP .324 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Modesto Nuts · 269 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−72)K% 33.1% → 45.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.09% | ÷0.976 | ×1.340 | — | — | 45.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.41% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.20% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 4.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 16.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.050 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.022 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.768 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 8.77% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 54, 1B 101, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .183 → .169; BABIP .294 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AWest Virginia Power · 43 PAwOBA .379 → .291 (−89)K% 20.9% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.93% | ÷1.026 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.30% | ÷1.013 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 5.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 1.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 12.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 8.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.980 | 2.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.016 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 5.45% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .379 → .291; ISO .289 → .223; BABIP .296 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AClinton LumberKings · 271 PAwOBA .368 → .294 (−75)K% 24.4% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 33.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷0.998 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.23% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.990 | 19.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.94% | ÷0.969 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.990 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.16% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×0.990 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.67% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 6.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .368 → .294; ISO .255 → .195; BABIP .308 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).