Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 6.2% | 43.8% | 0.0% | 1.00 | -0.33 | — |
| 2017 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 9 | 32 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.8 | 50.0% | 6.2% | 43.8% | 0.0% | 1.00 | 0.21 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | 11 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.2% | 16.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 2.20 | 3.67 | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | 11 | 0 | 16 | 76 | 18 | 11 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.7% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 0.0% | 2.20 | 2.92 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 104 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 2.02 | 3.42 | — |
| 2019 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 18 | 0 | 27 | 104 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 2.02 | 3.40 | — |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.7% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 0.5% | 2.72 | 2.59 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 50 | 211 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 0.5% | 2.72 | 2.21 | +1.4 |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 11 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.7% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.59 | 6.00 | — |
| 2022 | 27 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | 11 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 5.9% | 7.59 | 6.19 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 14 | 1 | 19 | 82 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 7% | 1.4 | 12.9% | 15.4% | -2.5% | 4.8% | 4.74 | 6.61 | — |
| 2023 | 28 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | 14 | 1 | 19 | 82 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 7% | 1.4 | 14.6% | 14.6% | 0.0% | 3.7% | 4.74 | 5.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | 15 | 2 | 19 | 89 | 24 | 11 | 1 | 13% | 1.3 | 23.7% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 1.2% | 5.21 | 3.42 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CHC | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 31 | MLB | CHC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 31 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 30 | 133 | 34 | 15 | 2 | — | — | 25.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 1.8% | 4.94 | 3.79 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 31 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.45 | 4.07 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 3.3% | 4.59 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 19 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 5.59 | 3.67 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 886 | 132 | 81 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 5.59 | 3.67 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 116 | 3 | 150 | 645 | 135 | 72 | 10 | 3% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 3.35 | 3.60 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 154 | 4 | 200 | 858 | 179 | 96 | 13 | 3% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 1.6% | 3.35 | 3.60 | +4.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Gabe Klobosits (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.45 | 22.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.69 | 22.0% | 12.1% | 20 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2028 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 90 |
| Chris Hatcher R 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.85 | 23.8% | 9.4% | 4.7% | .283 | 4.58 | 22.0% | 13.8% | 96 | -0.27 | 3.05 | 176 | 83 |
| Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.56 | 23.0% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 1.74 | 195 | 83 |
| Ryan Cook R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 82 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 80 |
| Ross Ohlendorf R 2027 · 3.26 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.26 | 23.7% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .342 | 4.99 | 23.4% | 12.7% | 66 | +1.73 | 3.26 | 122 | 79 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .246 | 3.76 | 28.8% | 20.4% | 145 | -0.32 | 1.74 | 468 | 79 |
| Carlos Fisher R 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 32 | SU | 3.44 | 22.6% | 11.6% | 1.4% | .236 | 3.25 | 22.5% | 11.1% | 91 | -0.19 | 2.56 | 147 | 77 |
| Mark Serrano R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.76 | 21.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% | .240 | 5.21 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 42 | +1.45 | 3.03 | 120 | 77 |
| Adrian Ramirez R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.86 | 21.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 137 | 76 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 76 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.9% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96 | 160 | 76 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.46 | 25.1% | 11.6% | 3.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.30 | 132 | 75 |
| Kevin Jepsen R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.46 | 20.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% | .241 | 5.92 | 16.9% | 7.2% | 90 | +2.46 | 3.46 | 160 | 75 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.18 | 19.6% | 12.1% | 2.2% | .276 | 3.35 | 24.3% | 11.9% | 16 | -0.83 | 3.35 | 129 | 75 |
| Brad Brach R 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.40 | 25.5% | 9.1% | 2.4% | .254 | 3.69 | 22.8% | 11.1% | 129 | +0.29 | 2.73 | 410 | 75 |
| Logan Kensing R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 33 | SU | 3.55 | 17.6% | 8.8% | 1.5% | .270 | 3.06 | 17.9% | 10.0% | 124 | -0.49 | 2.77 | 172 | 75 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.3% | 8.3% | 3.7% | .278 | 3.50 | 24.3% | 18.2% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.27 | 426 | 75 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 75 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2025 · 3.57 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.57 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.7% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 224 | 74 |