Adam Haseley
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | AAA/A+/ROKPHI | 233 | .233/.316/.325 | 5 | 7 | 52 | — | .214/.269/.290 | |
| 2021 | 25 | MLBPHI | 21 | .190/.190/.238 | 0 | 0 | 16 | -0.2 | ||
| 2022 | 26 | AAACWS | 463 | .239/.307/.411 | 15 | 18 | 55 | — | .201/.255/.306 | |
| 2022 | 26 | MLBCWS | 25 | .238/.333/.238 | 0 | 0 | 65 | -0.6 | ||
| 2023 | 27 | AAACWS | 313 | .264/.338/.386 | 6 | 10 | 71 | — | .244/.293/.337 | |
| 2023 | 27 | MLBCWS | 39 | .222/.282/.278 | 0 | 1 | 61 | -0.5 | ||
| 2024 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | A | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 74 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 319 | 379 | 698 | 121 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 305 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 159 | 136 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 316 | 408 | 478 | 886 | 162 | 327 | 12 | 10 | 392 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Clearwater Threshers | — | 354 | 330 | 99 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 54 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 300 | 344 | 415 | 759 | 115 | 346 | 15 | 5 | 337 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 242 | 222 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 266 | 324 | 396 | 720 | 131 | 344 | 25 | 6 | 322 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 78 | 68 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 294 | 377 | 471 | 847 | 176 | 346 | 18 | 10 | 372 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 190 | 165 | 44 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 35 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 267 | 356 | 485 | 841 | 218 | 290 | 18 | 11 | 367 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 92 | 79 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 352 | 342 | 694 | 63 | 349 | 18 | 8 | 306 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 21 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 238 | 429 | 48 | 235 | 19 | 0 | 190 | 16 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 170 | 156 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 224 | 284 | 295 | 579 | 71 | 264 | 19 | 7 | 265 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 38 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 281 | 378 | 406 | 785 | 125 | 296 | 13 | 13 | 347 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 25 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 440 | 444 | 884 | 222 | 231 | 16 | 28 | 402 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 238 | 571 | 357 | 28 | 12 | 265 | 65 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 463 | 418 | 100 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 78 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 239 | 307 | 411 | 719 | 172 | 259 | 17 | 7 | 318 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 278 | 560 | 56 | 286 | 21 | 8 | 259 | 61 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 313 | 280 | 74 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 52 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 264 | 338 | 386 | 723 | 121 | 306 | 17 | 9 | 325 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 419 | 379 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 96 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 259 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 98 | 333 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +9 | -0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 74 | 68 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 287 | 24 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 159 | 140 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 307 | 382 | 414 | 796 | 107 | 334 | 14 | 8 | 356 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 354 | 336 | 91 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 77 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 271 | 304 | 366 | 670 | 95 | 336 | 22 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 242 | 223 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 60 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 320 | 395 | 714 | 130 | 344 | 25 | 5 | 318 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 78 | 71 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 268 | 325 | 423 | 747 | 155 | 316 | 22 | 6 | 326 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 190 | 171 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 43 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 222 | 293 | 374 | 667 | 152 | 259 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 92 | 80 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 341 | 338 | 678 | 62 | 349 | 18 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 21 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 190 | 238 | 429 | 48 | 235 | 19 | 0 | 191 | 16 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 170 | 160 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 206 | 249 | 256 | 505 | 50 | 260 | 24 | 5 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 38 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 324 | 382 | 707 | 118 | 261 | 18 | 8 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 381 | 701 | 190 | 168 | 24 | 16 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 333 | 238 | 571 | 357 | 28 | 12 | 265 | 65 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +1 | -0.6 | |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 463 | 428 | 86 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 96 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 201 | 255 | 306 | 561 | 105 | 239 | 21 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 282 | 278 | 560 | 56 | 286 | 21 | 8 | 258 | 61 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -4 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 313 | 291 | 71 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 64 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 244 | 293 | 337 | 629 | 93 | 296 | 20 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 74 | 68 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 300 | 24 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 74 | 66 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 319 | 379 | 698 | 121 | 302 | 18 | 8 | 305 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 476 | 134 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 100 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 282 | 328 | 380 | 708 | 99 | 340 | 19 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 513 | 466 | 142 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 73 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 305 | 363 | 433 | 797 | 129 | 340 | 14 | 7 | 354 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 510 | 465 | 115 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 120 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 247 | 308 | 389 | 698 | 142 | 307 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 510 | 455 | 123 | 28 | 2 | 15 | 43 | 109 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 270 | 344 | 440 | 783 | 169 | 324 | 21 | 8 | 347 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 92 | 80 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 341 | 338 | 678 | 62 | 344 | 18 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB RAW | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 92 | 79 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 278 | 352 | 342 | 694 | 63 | 349 | 18 | 8 | 306 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 254 | 235 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 262 | 277 | 539 | 68 | 254 | 22 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 254 | 227 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 306 | 317 | 623 | 88 | 264 | 18 | 9 | 285 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 449 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 103 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 203 | 259 | 303 | 562 | 100 | 246 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 439 | 105 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 85 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 239 | 308 | 403 | 712 | 164 | 263 | 17 | 7 | 315 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 327 | 79 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 242 | 291 | 330 | 622 | 89 | 299 | 20 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 352 | 316 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 60 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 331 | 373 | 705 | 114 | 304 | 17 | 9 | 318 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Lakewood BlueClaws | — | 74 | 70 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 278 | 343 | 621 | 114 | 287 | 24 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 513 | 475 | 134 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 100 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 282 | 328 | 381 | 709 | 99 | 335 | 19 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 510 | 464 | 115 | 26 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 120 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 248 | 308 | 390 | 698 | 142 | 308 | 24 | 6 | 311 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 92 | 84 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 341 | 321 | 662 | 60 | 349 | 18 | 7 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 254 | 235 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 209 | 262 | 277 | 539 | 68 | 249 | 22 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 451 | 91 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 103 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 202 | 259 | 302 | 560 | 100 | 245 | 21 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 352 | 326 | 79 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 242 | 291 | 331 | 623 | 89 | 295 | 20 | 6 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 419 | 379 | 98 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 96 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 259 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 98 | 333 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 77 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +9 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 152 | 34 | 0 | 8 | 42 | 149 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 259 | 320 | 357 | 677 | 99 | 333 | 23 | 6 | 303 | 77 | -7 | +2 | -3 | -9 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2283 | 2100 | 506 | 80 | 14 | 36 | 129 | 486 | 31 | 52 | 17 | 241 | 295 | 344 | 638 | 103 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +9 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 144 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 138 | 9 | 15 | 5 | 241 | 295 | 343 | 638 | 102 | 296 | 21 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -7 | +2 | -3 | -9 | +14 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 313 PAwOBA .315 → .273 (−42)K% 16.6% → 20.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.61% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.63% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.12% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.60% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .315 → .273; ISO .121 → .093; BABIP .306 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 463 PAwOBA .311 → .250 (−61)K% 16.8% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.85% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.91% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.24% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 17.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 4.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.41% | ÷1.421 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.21% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .311 → .250; ISO .172 → .112; BABIP .259 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 170 PAwOBA .260 → .230 (−30)K% 19.4% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.41% | ÷0.992 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.06% | ÷1.061 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.39% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 24.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.84% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 103, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .260 → .230; ISO .071 → .055; BABIP .264 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 38 PAwOBA .348 → .290 (−58)K% 13.2% → 17.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 17.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.16% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.93% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 2.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 3.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .348 → .290; ISO .125 → .100; BABIP .296 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 25 PAwOBA .394 → .273 (−121)K% 16.0% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 28.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 16.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 11.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 5.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .394 → .273; ISO .222 → .174; BABIP .231 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAReading Fightin Phils · 190 PAwOBA .360 → .295 (−64)K% 18.4% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.42% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 18.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.980 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.959 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.15% | ÷1.182 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.17% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 105, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .360 → .295; ISO .218 → .164; BABIP .290 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 78 PAwOBA .358 → .326 (−32)K% 17.9% → 21.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.95% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 21.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.061 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷0.866 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 3.77% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 112, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .326; ISO .176 → .167; BABIP .346 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Clearwater Threshers · 354 PAwOBA .328 → .289 (−39)K% 15.3% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.25% | ÷0.995 | ×1.420 | — | — | 21.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.08% | ÷1.005 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.54% | ÷0.950 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 27.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.71% | ÷1.028 | ×0.960 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.81% | ÷1.197 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.35% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .328 → .289; ISO .115 → .091; BABIP .346 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).