Casey Grayson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 22 | ROKJohnson City … | 269 | .283/.386/.434 | 5 | 3 | 67 | — | .212/.280/.320 |
| 2016 | 24 | A+STL | 540 | .267/.398/.324 | 2 | 2 | 74 | — | .222/.326/.277 |
| 2017 | 25 | AA/A+/ROK2 orgs | 353 | .257/.358/.345 | 4 | 2 | 56 | — | .212/.281/.281 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 269 | 226 | 64 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 283 | 386 | 434 | 820 | 150 | 309 | 13 | 13 | 363 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 540 | 435 | 116 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 94 | 91 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 398 | 324 | 722 | 57 | 324 | 17 | 17 | 335 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 220 | 195 | 48 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 332 | 323 | 655 | 77 | 349 | 29 | 11 | 303 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 110 | 92 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 367 | 315 | 682 | 65 | 314 | 19 | 14 | 318 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 23 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 412 | 565 | 765 | 1.330 | 353 | 500 | 13 | 26 | 554 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 269 | 241 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 280 | 320 | 600 | 108 | 238 | 19 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 540 | 459 | 102 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 134 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 326 | 277 | 603 | 54 | 291 | 25 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 220 | 204 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 206 | 264 | 260 | 523 | 54 | 324 | 35 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 110 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 206 | 294 | 268 | 562 | 62 | 276 | 27 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 23 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 391 | 550 | 941 | 250 | 352 | 17 | 13 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 269 | 241 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 212 | 280 | 320 | 600 | 108 | 245 | 19 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 269 | 226 | 64 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 36 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 283 | 386 | 434 | 820 | 150 | 309 | 13 | 13 | 363 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 540 | 459 | 102 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 134 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 326 | 277 | 603 | 54 | 300 | 25 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 540 | 435 | 116 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 94 | 91 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 267 | 398 | 324 | 722 | 57 | 324 | 17 | 17 | 335 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 353 | 320 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 281 | 272 | 553 | 62 | 312 | 32 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 353 | 304 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 87 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 257 | 358 | 345 | 703 | 89 | 347 | 25 | 13 | 324 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 269 | 244 | 51 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 209 | 280 | 316 | 596 | 107 | 238 | 19 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 540 | 464 | 102 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 70 | 134 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 326 | 274 | 600 | 54 | 291 | 25 | 13 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 353 | 318 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 112 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 211 | 281 | 274 | 555 | 63 | 311 | 32 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1162 | 1020 | 220 | 40 | 2 | 9 | 121 | 296 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 216 | 302 | 285 | 587 | 70 | 289 | 25 | 10 | 267 | 67 | -46 | +1 | +0 | -21 | +25 | -4.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 571 | 123 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 68 | 166 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 303 | 284 | 586 | 68 | 289 | 26 | 10 | 267 | 67 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AASpringfield Cardinals · 220 PAwOBA .296 → .237 (−59)K% 28.6% → 35.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.64% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.36% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.55% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 28.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.009 | ×0.840 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 3.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.315 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 98, 2B 102, 3B 119, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .296 → .237; ISO .077 → .052; BABIP .349 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 110 PAwOBA .308 → .252 (−55)K% 19.1% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.09% | ÷1.007 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.990 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.968 | 9.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.968 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.17% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.968 | 24.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.970 | ×0.960 | ×0.985 | ×0.968 | 1.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.985 | ×0.968 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.41% | ÷0.824 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.968 | 1.46% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .308 → .252; ISO .065 → .056; BABIP .314 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Cardinals · 23 PAwOBA .541 → .378 (−163)K% 13.0% → 18.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 26.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 15.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 11.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 19.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 4.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .541 → .378; ISO .353 → .259; BABIP .500 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 540 PAwOBA .334 → .278 (−56)K% 16.9% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.85% | ÷0.962 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.41% | ÷0.988 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.978 | 12.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.978 | 0.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.978 | 24.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.52% | ÷0.947 | ×0.960 | ×1.023 | ×0.978 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.979 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 0.51% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 109, 2B 89, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .334 → .278; ISO .057 → .055; BABIP .324 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 ROKJohnson City Cardinals · 269 PAwOBA .358 → .267 (−91)K% 13.0% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.01% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.965 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.965 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 17.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.990 | ×0.965 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.965 | 2.02% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .358 → .267; ISO .150 → .114; BABIP .309 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).