Collin Ferguson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | ROKGrand Junctio… | 231 | .346/.467/.605 | 9 | 7 | 103 | — | .241/.335/.417 |
| 2016 | 23 | A+Modesto Nuts | 449 | .205/.293/.357 | 14 | 9 | 40 | — | .162/.232/.292 |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+2 orgs | 186 | .309/.377/.509 | 6 | 4 | 91 | — | .255/.312/.403 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 231 | 185 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 346 | 467 | 605 | 1.072 | 259 | 377 | 14 | 15 | 459 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Modesto Nuts | — | 449 | 395 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 126 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 205 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 152 | 261 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 41 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 314 | 400 | 429 | 829 | 114 | 345 | 15 | 12 | 366 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 75 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 267 | 358 | 625 | 179 | 233 | 29 | 9 | 280 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 70 | 63 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 444 | 485 | 714 | 1.200 | 270 | 510 | 19 | 6 | 505 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 231 | 199 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 335 | 417 | 752 | 176 | 270 | 20 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 449 | 407 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 176 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 162 | 232 | 292 | 524 | 130 | 232 | 39 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 41 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 278 | 350 | 389 | 739 | 111 | 312 | 20 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 75 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 227 | 290 | 517 | 130 | 230 | 35 | 7 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 70 | 64 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 344 | 382 | 531 | 914 | 188 | 426 | 27 | 4 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 231 | 199 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 241 | 335 | 417 | 752 | 176 | 277 | 20 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK RAW | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 231 | 185 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 346 | 467 | 605 | 1.072 | 259 | 377 | 14 | 15 | 459 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 449 | 407 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 176 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 162 | 232 | 292 | 524 | 130 | 241 | 39 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 449 | 395 | 81 | 16 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 126 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 205 | 293 | 357 | 650 | 152 | 261 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 186 | 170 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 253 | 306 | 400 | 706 | 147 | 336 | 28 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 186 | 165 | 51 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 309 | 377 | 509 | 886 | 200 | 372 | 22 | 9 | 384 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | Grand Junction Rockies | — | 231 | 201 | 48 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 239 | 335 | 413 | 748 | 174 | 270 | 20 | 9 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 449 | 409 | 66 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 29 | 176 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 161 | 232 | 291 | 523 | 130 | 232 | 39 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 186 | 171 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 251 | 306 | 398 | 704 | 146 | 322 | 28 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 866 | 776 | 157 | 31 | 5 | 24 | 61 | 275 | 17 | 20 | 10 | 202 | 275 | 348 | 623 | 146 | 275 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -33 | +0 | +0 | -15 | +19 | -3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 118 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 46 | 206 | 13 | 15 | 8 | 203 | 276 | 349 | 625 | 146 | 275 | 32 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -25 | -0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAHartford Yard Goats · 75 PAwOBA .273 → .231 (−42)K% 29.3% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.33% | ÷1.051 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.026 | ×0.970 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 13.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.014 | ×0.860 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.048 | ×1.012 | 4.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 110, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .273 → .231; ISO .179 → .149; BABIP .233 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 70 PAwOBA .505 → .375 (−131)K% 18.6% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.57% | ÷0.897 | ×1.340 | — | — | 27.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.71% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 32.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 9.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.760 | — | ×0.988 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.600 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 3.41% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 220, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 79, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .505 → .375; ISO .270 → .166; BABIP .510 → .426. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 41 PAwOBA .365 → .308 (−57)K% 14.6% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.63% | ÷0.956 | ×1.290 | — | — | 19.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.996 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 9.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.03% | ÷1.019 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 28.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.045 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 2.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.202 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 2.35% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 104, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 91, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .365 → .308; ISO .114 → .082; BABIP .345 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Modesto Nuts · 449 PAwOBA .285 → .227 (−58)K% 28.1% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.06% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 39.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.13% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.59% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 16.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷0.933 | ×0.820 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 5.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.760 | ×0.982 | ×0.998 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.20% | ÷0.877 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 5.45% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 98, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .285 → .227; ISO .152 → .132; BABIP .261 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 ROKGrand Junction Rockies · 231 PAwOBA .451 → .321 (−130)K% 13.9% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 19.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.975 | 9.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.03% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 2.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 17.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.975 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.975 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .451 → .321; ISO .259 → .190; BABIP .377 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).