Tommy Doyle
P
Gwinnett Stripers
+0.1
WAR
Age 30
RHP
6'6" / 244 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA5.46
FIP4.53
xFIP4.92
SIERA5.12
K%22.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%12.7%
IP37
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
STUF6060
CTRL3030
CMD3030
K†6060
FB Velo
p4394.0
Whiff%
p7829.7%
K%
p1817.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.368
CT+4.3
FB-7.7
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | Grand Junction Rockies | 20 | 0 | 21 | 105 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 11.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 5.14 | 5.09 | -0.0 |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Asheville Tourists | 52 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 20.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 2.31 | 2.67 | +1.5 |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | 38 | 0 | 36 | 146 | 48 | 13 | 4 | 25.3% | 10.2% | 2.5% | 3.25 | 3.63 | +0.5 |
| 2020 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 23.14 | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 10 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 8 | 3 | 4 | — | — | — | 9.64 | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | 48 | 0 | 61 | 257 | 59 | 29 | 10 | 21.0% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 4.75 | 4.91 | +0.0 |
| 2024 | 28 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | 33 | 1 | 41 | 178 | 45 | 18 | 5 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 3.48 | 4.35 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | ATL | 37 | — | 37 | 158 | 38 | 19 | 5 | 24.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | 5.78 | 4.81 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | ATL | 36 | — | 36 | 152 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 23.6% | 11.9% | 3.4% | 5.21 | 4.86 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | ATL | 35 | — | 35 | 147 | 34 | 17 | 5 | 22.9% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 5.03 | 4.94 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | ATL | 33 | — | 33 | 140 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 22.3% | 11.9% | 3.5% | 5.02 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 34 | MLB | ATL | 31 | — | 31 | 133 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 21.6% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 5.10 | 5.16 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 35 | MLB | ATL | 30 | — | 30 | 125 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 20.9% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 5.22 | 5.31 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 204 | 1 | 229 | 992 | 201 | 97 | 28 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.09 | 4.20 | +2.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 1 | 200 | 866 | 176 | 85 | 24 | 20.3% | 9.8% | 2.9% | 4.09 | 4.20 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Doyle (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 24.2% | 12.1% | 3.4% | — | 4.94 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 104 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.26 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.26 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .290 | 2.44 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.82 | 1.94 | 112 | 86 |
| Hirokazu Sawamura R 2029 · 4.47 FIP | 33 | SW | 4.47 | 26.2% | 11.2% | 3.9% | .263 | 3.98 | 18.1% | 6.8% | 51 | -0.49 | 3.98 | 104 | 81 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.85 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 2.7% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 102 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 80 |
| Javy Guerra R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 21.3% | 13.9% | 2.3% | .303 | 3.87 | 19.5% | 13.0% | 193 | -0.43 | 3.01 | 260 | 80 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.62 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | .287 | 3.18 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.44 | 2.56 | 268 | 78 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.24 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.9% | .349 | 3.54 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.70 | 3.05 | 227 | 77 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.10 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .333 | 5.03 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.07 | 2.39 | 676 | 77 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.72 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.6% | .287 | 3.88 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.16 | 3.38 | 129 | 76 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.26 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 3.4% | .360 | 6.40 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 96 | +2.14 | 4.26 | 258 | 76 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 31 | SW | 3.73 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% | .325 | 3.80 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.07 | 3.65 | 137 | 76 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.58 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.79 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.79 | 3.73 | 164 | 75 |
| Danny Farquhar R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.62 | 22.3% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 224 | 75 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2025 · 4.33 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.33 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 3.8% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.25 | 160 | 74 |
| Leonel Campos R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.71 | 25.7% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.63 | 168 | 74 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.21 FIP | 31 | SW | 5.21 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.6% | .253 | 3.95 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.26 | 3.80 | 132 | 74 |
| Louis Coleman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.98 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .288 | 3.64 | 22.0% | 10.9% | 144 | -0.34 | 3.10 | 256 | 73 |
| Blake Wood R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.79 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .307 | 3.35 | 25.3% | 16.0% | 74 | -0.44 | 2.91 | 210 | 73 |
| Daniel Hudson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.06 | 24.4% | 11.8% | 2.8% | .301 | 3.94 | 24.1% | 15.2% | 140 | -0.12 | 1.69 | 468 | 73 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.10 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18 | 253 | 72 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.