Charlie Barnes — OGILVIE

Charlie Barnes P Oklahoma City Comets

Age 30 LHP 6'2" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION92 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.63

FIP4.68

K%16.7%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%7.5%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4545

CMD2525

K†4040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1089.3

Whiff%

p1015.1%

p109.5%

xwOBA vs

p100.404

FB (52%)

SI (21%)

SL-0.7 (27%)

CH-0.9 (20%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	11	48	205	46	18	5	92%	4.0	15.9%	10.7%	5.2%	3.3%	2.61	4.90	—
2017	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	11	48	205	46	18	5	92%	4.0	22.4%	8.8%	13.7%	2.4%	2.61	3.66	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Fort Myers Miracle	23	23	118	508	84	43	6	100%	5.1	12.7%	9.7%	3.0%	1.4%	2.81	4.02	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Fort Myers Miracle	23	23	118	508	84	43	6	100%	5.1	16.5%	8.5%	8.1%	1.2%	2.81	3.43	—
2019	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	26	25	131	584	124	55	8	96%	5.0	17.2%	10.4%	6.7%	1.5%	4.88	3.79	—
2019	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	26	25	131	584	124	55	8	96%	5.0	21.2%	9.4%	11.8%	1.4%	4.88	3.26	—
2021	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	114	499	82	40	11	96%	4.6	14.9%	8.3%	6.7%	2.2%	4.50	4.08	+1.1
2021	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	114	499	82	40	11	96%	4.6	16.4%	8.0%	8.4%	2.2%	4.50	3.97	+1.3
2025	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	19.2%	3.8%	15.3%	5.2%	7.12	4.83	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	19.2%	3.8%	15.3%	5.2%	7.12	4.83	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	Louisville Bats	6	6	24	117	27	5	5	100%	4.0	23.1%	4.3%	18.8%	4.3%	7.12	4.18	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			14	8	51	238	26	23	7	57%	3.6	10.9%	9.7%	1.3%	2.9%	6.18	5.22	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	28	14	92	404	82	39	11	50%	3.3	17.1%	8.9%	8.2%	2.9%	3.73	4.37	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	28	14	92	404	82	39	11	50%	3.3	17.1%	8.9%	8.2%	2.9%	3.73	4.37	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	30	AAA RAW	LAD	23	14	79	341	76	32	8	61%	3.4	22.3%	9.4%	12.9%	2.3%	3.20	3.69	—
2026	30	MLB RAW	LAD	5	0	13	63	6	7	3	0%	2.6	9.5%	11.1%	-1.6%	4.8%	6.92	6.32	-0.3
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	LAD	5	0	13	63	6	7	3	0%	2.6	9.5%	11.1%	-1.6%	4.8%	6.92	6.32	-0.3
ROS	30	MLB MLE	LAD	1	1	5	22	4	2	1	100%	5.2	16.7%	9.2%	7.5%	3.3%	4.63	4.68	+0.0
ROS	30	MLB CTX	LAD	1	1	5	21	4	2	1	100%	5.0	16.7%	9.2%	7.5%	3.3%	4.63	4.68	+0.0
2026 TOT	30	MLB MLE	LAD	—	—	97	426	86	41	12	—	—	20.1%	9.6%	10.5%	2.8%	3.78	4.38	+0.6
FULL	30	MLB A+C	LAD	—	—	18	77	86	41	12	—	—	111.3%	53.3%	58.0%	15.2%	20.08	8.82	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	LAD	9	9	54	227	35	22	8	100%	6.0	15.4%	9.8%	5.6%	3.7%	5.33	5.44	-0.3
2028	32	MLB MLE	LAD	8	8	50	210	32	21	8	100%	6.2	15.2%	10.2%	5.0%	3.9%	5.47	5.62	-0.4
2027	31	MLB CTX	LAD	8	8	51	215	33	21	8	100%	6.4	15.4%	9.8%	5.6%	3.7%	5.33	5.44	-0.3
2028	32	MLB CTX	LAD	8	8	47	198	30	20	8	100%	5.9	15.2%	10.2%	5.0%	3.9%	5.47	5.62	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		31	25	155	676	93	67	23	81%	5.0	13.8%	9.9%	4.0%	3.5%	5.63	5.09	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		40	33	200	874	120	87	30	81%	5.0	13.8%	9.9%	4.0%	3.5%	5.63	5.09	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		120	103	527	2317	364	214	51	86%	4.4	15.7%	9.2%	6.5%	2.2%	4.03	4.15	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	39	200	879	138	81	19	86%	4.4	15.7%	9.2%	6.5%	2.2%	4.03	4.15	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Charlie Barnes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.09	16.6%	9.2%	3.3%	—	5.53	15.3%	5.3%	104	+0.44	—	—	—
Everett Teaford L 2015 · 4.42 FIP	31	SP-	4.42	13.9%	7.6%	2.8%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	103	72
Edgar Osuna L 2017 · 5.05 FIP	29	SP	5.05	10.6%	8.2%	3.3%	.345	5.09	10.0%	2.8%	83	+0.04	5.05	175	71
Jason Vargas L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	32	SP	4.31	14.8%	6.6%	2.9%	.295	4.65	19.2%	12.1%	285	+0.34	4.02	478	70
Brian Johnson L 2021 · 4.94 FIP	30	SP-	4.94	15.5%	9.1%	3.6%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	506	69
Roy Merritt L 2016 · 3.93 FIP	30	SP-	3.93	13.3%	5.9%	2.2%	.293	3.95	16.2%	10.4%	116	+0.02	3.93	129	68
Jack Snodgrass L 2016 · 5.01 FIP	28	SP-	5.01	15.7%	10.1%	3.6%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.66	118	67
Travis Blackley L 2015 · 4.91 FIP	32	SP-	4.91	15.4%	6.4%	4.2%	.324	4.45	10.5%	0.0%	137	-0.46	3.85	225	67
Marlon Arias L 2015 · 4.32 FIP	30	SP	4.32	16.8%	12.2%	2.0%	.330	3.73	17.2%	9.5%	22	-0.59	3.73	154	67
Eric Surkamp L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	29	SP	5.09	16.4%	9.3%	4.0%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.00	182	67
Jorge Castillo L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	33	SP	4.50	16.8%	9.2%	3.0%	.292	4.95	12.4%	7.2%	186	+0.45	4.50	408	65
Carlos Teller L 2017 · 4.63 FIP	30	SP	4.63	12.2%	9.6%	2.5%	.322	4.90	13.1%	-1.1%	60	+0.27	3.75	333	65
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	64
Darin Gorski L 2016 · 4.50 FIP	28	SP	4.50	15.0%	9.8%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.50	206	64
Matt Lujan L 2017 · 4.69 FIP	28	SP-	4.69	14.3%	6.4%	3.6%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	227	64
Alejandro Soto L 2016 · 3.96 FIP	30	SP	3.96	14.9%	6.4%	2.4%	.367	4.15	15.9%	10.3%	97	+0.19	3.96	280	63
Arturo Lopez L 2015 · 4.80 FIP	32	SP	4.80	13.7%	6.2%	3.8%	.301	4.80	10.9%	4.2%	217	+0.00	4.34	445	63
Enrique Lechuga L 2015 · 4.70 FIP	29	SP-	4.70	10.0%	10.5%	2.0%	.354	3.78	10.5%	4.4%	59	-0.92	3.78	137	63
Aaron Laffey L 2015 · 4.12 FIP	30	SW	4.12	13.5%	9.7%	1.7%	.318	4.39	12.5%	5.2%	192	+0.27	3.51	282	62
Logan Darnell L 2019 · 3.97 FIP	30	SP-	3.97	12.8%	6.1%	2.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.16	430	61
Tomas Solis L 2015 · 4.20 FIP	32	SP	4.20	15.0%	6.2%	2.9%	.264	5.09	12.0%	3.7%	159	+0.89	4.20	327	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	15.8%	9.7%	1.40	5.27
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Eddie Butler ('18)	1.2	62	13.3%	9.8%	1.49	5.74
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21