Charlie Barnes
P
Oklahoma City Comets
Age 30
LHP
6'2" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.5 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 43 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109118vR 127
ERA4.75
FIP4.79
K%17.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP43
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 140 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1089.3
Whiff%
p1012.7%
K%
p106.8%
xwOBA vs
p100.407
FB (54%)
SI (22%)
SL-0.7 (27%)
CH-0.9 (20%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 11 | 48 | 205 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 92% | 4.0 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.61 | 4.92 | — |
| 2017 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 11 | 48 | 205 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 92% | 4.0 | 22.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 2.4% | 2.61 | 3.66 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 23 | 23 | 118 | 508 | 84 | 43 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 12.7% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.81 | 3.98 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | 23 | 23 | 118 | 508 | 84 | 43 | 6 | 100% | 5.1 | 16.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 1.2% | 2.81 | 3.43 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 131 | 584 | 124 | 55 | 8 | 96% | 5.0 | 17.2% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 4.88 | 3.74 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 25 | 131 | 584 | 124 | 55 | 8 | 96% | 5.0 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 4.88 | 3.26 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 114 | 499 | 82 | 40 | 11 | 96% | 4.6 | 14.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 4.50 | 4.00 | +1.9 |
| 2021 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 25 | 24 | 114 | 499 | 82 | 40 | 11 | 96% | 4.6 | 16.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 4.50 | 3.97 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 6 | 6 | 24 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 100% | 4.0 | 20.3% | 4.5% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 7.12 | 5.17 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 6 | 6 | 24 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.1% | 4.3% | 18.8% | 4.3% | 7.12 | 4.18 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | Los Angeles Dodgers | 26 | 15 | 97 | 432 | 87 | 45 | 15 | 58% | 3.7 | 18.4% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 4.55 | 5.03 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 43 | 180 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | CHC | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 4.75 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 140 | 612 | 118 | 62 | 21 | — | — | 19.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 3.5% | 4.61 | 4.96 | +0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | CHC | — | — | 58 | 244 | 118 | 62 | 21 | — | — | 48.5% | 25.6% | 22.9% | 8.7% | 11.16 | 7.05 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 9 | 9 | 54 | 227 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.43 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 50 | 210 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.2 | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.55 | 5.70 | -0.7 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 51 | 215 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 100% | 6.4 | 14.9% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.43 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | CHC | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 14.7% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.55 | 5.70 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 37 | 31 | 194 | 847 | 118 | 85 | 29 | 84% | 5.2 | 13.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.59 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 38 | 32 | 200 | 872 | 122 | 88 | 30 | 84% | 5.2 | 13.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.59 | 5.09 | +0.7 | ||
| Career | — | 118 | 104 | 533 | 2345 | 375 | 224 | 56 | 88% | 4.5 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.26 | +7.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 39 | 200 | 880 | 141 | 84 | 21 | 88% | 4.5 | 16.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 4.17 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Charlie Barnes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.15 | 16.9% | 9.5% | 3.4% | — | 5.62 | 14.8% | 4.5% | 104 | +0.47 | — | — | — |
| Edgar Osuna L 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.16 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | .345 | 5.04 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | -0.12 | 5.04 | 175 | 72 |
| Nico Tellache L 2024 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.65 | 13.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 160 | 72 |
| Jason Vargas L 2028 · 4.29 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.29 | 14.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .295 | 4.63 | 19.2% | 12.1% | 285 | +0.34 | 3.87 | 478 | 71 |
| Brian Johnson L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.17 | 15.5% | 9.1% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38 | 506 | 71 |
| Everett Teaford L 2027 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36 | 103 | 71 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.15 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.29 | 182 | 68 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.83 | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.8% | .322 | 4.69 | 13.1% | -1.1% | 60 | -0.14 | 3.72 | 333 | 68 |
| Marlon Arias L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.14 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.89 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.25 | 3.89 | 154 | 68 |
| Tyler Anderson L 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.13 | 15.8% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .280 | 4.00 | 19.2% | 12.8% | 487 | -0.13 | 3.14 | 1,288 | 68 |
| Roy Merritt L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.01 | 13.3% | 5.9% | 2.3% | .293 | 3.88 | 16.2% | 10.4% | 116 | -0.13 | 3.88 | 129 | 67 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2024 · 5.20 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.20 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77 | 118 | 67 |
| Jorge Castillo L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 33 | SP | 4.40 | 16.8% | 9.2% | 2.8% | .292 | 4.68 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 186 | +0.28 | 4.40 | 408 | 67 |
| Orlando Lara L 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.00 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .348 | 4.09 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | +0.09 | 3.82 | 426 | 65 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.28 | 14.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | .367 | 4.16 | 15.9% | 10.3% | 97 | -0.12 | 3.97 | 280 | 65 |
| Darin Gorski L 2024 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SP | 4.39 | 15.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 206 | 65 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2028 · 4.71 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.71 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | .301 | 4.61 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.10 | 4.24 | 445 | 65 |
| Jonathon Niese L 2025 · 5.29 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.29 | 16.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | .308 | 5.56 | 10.9% | 2.7% | 70 | +0.27 | 4.17 | 368 | 64 |
| Travis Blackley L 2028 · 4.97 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.97 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | .324 | 4.50 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.47 | 3.84 | 225 | 63 |
| Matt Lujan L 2024 · 5.13 FIP | 28 | SP- | 5.13 | 14.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.25 | 227 | 63 |
| Jeff Locke L 2025 · 4.18 FIP | 29 | SP | 4.18 | 17.1% | 7.9% | 2.8% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71 | 328 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 15.6% | 10.0% | 1.42 | 5.35 |
| Ross Detwiler ('22) | 5 | 51 | 17.3% | 9.5% | 1.76 | 6.03 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Mike Wright Jr. ('19) | 5 | 52 | 17.7% | 8.4% | 1.53 | 6.00 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |