Jesus Fabela

PosRF
B/TR/R
Born1994-12-07
Age (2027)32
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
INTLPROSPECT
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202328INTLTomateros de …188.268/.333/.40223100—
202429INTLTomateros de …55.184/.259/.3061157—
202530INTLTucson Baseba…265.248/.355/.3293998—
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201419 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 198163 55460 20337 73 337432436867 98414 1710 377 120 — — — — — —
201419 INTLVenados de Mazatlan — 7363 16110 9170 11 254347302649 48348 2312 299 89 — — — — — —
201520 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 313269 901242 29546 86 335411431842 97407 179 370 103 — — — — — —
201520 INTLVenados de Mazatlan — 138116 27410 10335 45 233321284605 52321 247 270 69 — — — — — —
201621 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 152129 29510 11328 50 225324279603 54299 217 279 44 — — — — — —
201621 INTLVenados de Mazatlan — 120102 28310 5354 02 275333324657 49394 294 280 76 — — — — — —
201722 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 323274 861528 33336 73 314399471870 157331 1010 377 108 — — — — — —
201722 INTLVenados de Mazatlan — 130116 20400 6195 14 172244207451 34206 155 211 29 — — — — — —
201823 INTLVenados de Mazatlan — 8666 19320 5164 00 288373394767 106373 196 304 92 — — — — — —
201924 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico — 531454 1672839 427618 93 368442502944 134420 148 409 110 — — — — — —
201924 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 168134 30513 23227 84 224366343709 119245 1314 324 106 — — — — — —
202025 INTLMexico — 147124 28310 15223 63 226324266590 40272 1510 271 70 — — — — — —
202126 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 10186 21200 9143 54 244337267604 23292 149 280 75 — — — — — —
202227 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 194171 49913 15315 47 287361404765 117331 168 341 117 — — — — — —
202328 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 188164 441222 11345 35 268333402736 134328 186 316 100 — — — — — —
202429 INTLTomateros de Culiacan — 5549 9111 5140 10 184259306565 122235 259 253 57 — — — — — —
202530 INTLTucson Baseball Team — 265222 55713 264611 95 248355329684 81297 1710 313 98 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201419 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 198168 53350 15437 73 315395393788 77393 228 345 120 — — — — — —
201520 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 313280 861041 18726 86 307362382744 75384 236 320 103 — — — — — —
201621 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 152132 26410 8438 50 197284242526 45273 285 233 44 — — — — — —
201722 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 323283 821226 24416 73 290358410768 120305 137 328 108 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLEDiablos Rojos del Mexico — 531468 1421926 2810518 93 303366391757 88359 205 331 110 — — — — — —
201419 AAA MLE2 teams — 271235 73470 20587 84 311382387769 77406 217 345 120 — — — — — —
201419 AAA RAW2 teams — 271226 71570 29507 84 314408398807 84397 1811 356 120 — — — — — —
201520 AAA MLE2 teams — 451399 1231452 2510411 1211 308366383749 75407 236 320 103 — — — — — —
201520 AAA RAW2 teams — 451385 1171652 398711 1211 304384387771 83383 199 340 103 — — — — — —
201621 AAA MLE2 teams — 272233 45610 147712 52 193274227502 34281 285 233 44 — — — — — —
201621 AAA RAW2 teams — 272231 57820 166712 52 247328299627 52339 256 279 44 — — — — — —
201722 AAA MLE2 teams — 453395 1151738 345811 87 291364410774 119322 138 328 108 — — — — — —
201722 AAA RAW2 teams — 453390 1061928 395211 87 272355392747 121294 119 329 108 — — — — — —
201823 INTL MLEVenados de Mazatlan — 8666 19320 5164 00 288373394767 106373 196 — — — — — — — —
201823 INTL RAWVenados de Mazatlan — 8666 19320 5164 00 288373394767 106373 196 304 92 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE2 teams — 699616 1892638 3713825 177 307370398768 91379 205 331 110 — — — — — —
201924 AAA RAW2 teams — 699588 19733412 659825 177 335423466889 131381 149 388 110 — — — — — —
202025 INTL MLEMexico — 147124 28310 15223 63 226324266590 40272 1510 — — — — — — — —
202025 INTL RAWMexico — 147124 28310 15223 63 226324266590 40272 1510 271 70 — — — — — —
202126 INTL MLETomateros de Culiacan — 10186 21200 9143 54 244337267604 23292 149 — — — — — — — —
202126 INTL RAWTomateros de Culiacan — 10186 21200 9143 54 244337267604 23292 149 280 75 — — — — — —
202227 INTL MLETomateros de Culiacan — 194171 49913 15315 47 287361404765 117331 168 — — — — — — — —
202227 INTL RAWTomateros de Culiacan — 194171 49913 15315 47 287361404765 117331 168 341 117 — — — — — —
202328 INTL MLETomateros de Culiacan — 188164 441222 11345 35 268333402736 134328 186 — — — — — — — —
202328 INTL RAWTomateros de Culiacan — 188164 441222 11345 35 268333402736 134328 186 316 100 — — — — — —
202429 INTL MLETomateros de Culiacan — 5549 9111 5140 10 184259306565 122235 259 — — — — — — — —
202429 INTL RAWTomateros de Culiacan — 5549 9111 5140 10 184259306565 122235 259 253 57 — — — — — —
202530 INTL MLETucson Baseball Team — 265222 55713 264611 95 248355329684 81297 1710 — — — — — — — —
202530 INTL RAWTucson Baseball Team — 265222 55713 264611 95 248355329684 81297 1710 313 98 — — — — — —
201419 AAA MLE2 teams — 271242 73470 20587 84 302382376758 74393 217 345 120 — — — — — —
201520 AAA MLE2 teams — 451412 1231452 2510411 1211 299366371737 73384 236 320 103 — — — — — —
201621 AAA MLE2 teams — 272244 45610 147712 52 184274217491 33273 285 233 44 — — — — — —
201722 AAA MLE2 teams — 453405 1151738 345811 87 284364400764 116305 138 328 108 — — — — — —
201924 AAA MLE2 teams — 699632 1892638 3713825 177 299370388758 89359 205 331 110 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 31822760 7701042727 21661297 7855 279352366718 87346 197 214 31 -261 -6 +0 -34 +69 -23.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650564 1582166 4412520 1611 280354371725 90346 197 214 31 -53 -1 +0 -7 +14 -4.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 531 PAwOBA .403 → .331 (−72)K% 14.3% → 19.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.31%÷0.871×1.200——19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.72%÷1.035×0.690—×1.0335.32%
HBP% /PA3.39%—×0.940—×1.0333.29%
Singles /BIP33.60%÷1.013×0.930×0.950×1.03330.27%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.185×0.830×0.950×1.0335.09%
Triples /BIP0.79%÷1.150×0.920×0.950×1.0330.62%
Home runs /BIP2.38%÷1.116×0.700—×1.0331.54%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 74, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .403 → .331; ISO .134 → .092; BABIP .420 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 323 PAwOBA .371 → .328 (−43)K% 10.2% → 12.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.22%÷0.967×1.200——12.67%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.22%÷1.003×0.690—×1.0507.38%
HBP% /PA1.86%—×0.940—×1.0501.83%
Singles /BIP25.31%÷1.036×0.930×1.027×1.05024.51%
Doubles /BIP6.22%÷1.143×0.830×1.027×1.0504.87%
Triples /BIP0.83%÷1.093×0.920×1.027×1.0500.75%
Home runs /BIP3.32%÷1.080×0.700—×1.0502.26%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 107, 2B 129, 3B 119, K 93, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .371 → .328; ISO .157 → .121; BABIP .331 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 152 PAwOBA .272 → .233 (−39)K% 21.1% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.05%÷0.894×1.200——28.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.24%÷1.001×0.690—×1.0505.24%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.940—×1.0505.19%
Singles /BIP23.71%÷1.027×0.930×1.005×1.05022.66%
Doubles /BIP5.15%÷1.188×0.830×1.005×1.0503.80%
Triples /BIP1.03%÷1.150×0.920×1.005×1.0500.87%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.183×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 105, 2B 138, 3B 130, K 79, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .272 → .233; ISO .054 → .040; BABIP .299 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 313 PAwOBA .364 → .320 (−44)K% 17.3% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.25%÷0.900×1.200——23.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.27%÷1.204×0.690—×1.0505.58%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.940—×1.0501.89%
Singles /BIP33.49%÷1.045×0.930×1.039×1.05032.50%
Doubles /BIP5.58%÷1.122×0.830×1.039×1.0504.50%
Triples /BIP1.86%÷1.123×0.920×1.039×1.0501.66%
Home runs /BIP0.93%÷1.043×0.700—×1.0500.66%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 109, 2B 124, 3B 125, K 80, BB 141 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .364 → .320; ISO .097 → .079; BABIP .407 → .384. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 198 PAwOBA .374 → .345 (−29)K% 16.7% → 21.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.931×1.200——21.49%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.10%÷0.991×0.690—×1.0507.38%
HBP% /PA3.54%—×0.940—×1.0503.49%
Singles /BIP34.62%÷1.039×0.930×1.039×1.05033.79%
Doubles /BIP3.08%÷1.183×0.830×1.039×1.0502.35%
Triples /BIP4.62%÷1.150×0.920×1.039×1.0504.03%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.180×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 108, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 86, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .374 → .345; ISO .098 → .086; BABIP .414 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .