Franklin Rollin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 21 | A+/A2 orgs | 372 | .225/.263/.336 | 5 | 17 | 30 | — | .192/.222/.279 |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA/AA/A+/A/INTL3 orgs | 392 | .239/.315/.353 | 7 | 20 | 50 | — | .207/.260/.307 |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA/AA/A+3 orgs | 142 | .175/.241/.222 | 1 | 4 | 3 | — | .158/.212/.207 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 342 | 290 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 269 | 367 | 366 | 733 | 97 | 312 | 13 | 4 | 332 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 286 | 243 | 76 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 313 | 393 | 399 | 792 | 86 | 344 | 9 | 8 | 347 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 280 | 247 | 93 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 377 | 442 | 563 | 1.005 | 186 | 408 | 9 | 8 | 435 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 39 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 139 | 205 | 194 | 400 | 56 | 172 | 18 | 8 | 189 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 333 | 315 | 74 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 235 | 270 | 352 | 622 | 117 | 282 | 20 | 3 | 275 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 74 | 68 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 235 | 288 | 338 | 626 | 103 | 259 | 12 | 5 | 280 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 36 | 33 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 303 | 361 | 545 | 907 | 242 | 375 | 22 | 6 | 395 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 216 | 189 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 222 | 307 | 328 | 635 | 106 | 247 | 16 | 9 | 286 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 32 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 296 | 406 | 444 | 851 | 148 | 304 | 9 | 16 | 384 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 34 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 231 | 286 | 231 | 516 | 273 | 15 | 6 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 100 | 243 | 167 | 36 | 5 | 114 | -51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 47 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 333 | 316 | 649 | 105 | 233 | 15 | 9 | 293 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 73 | 68 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 176 | 211 | 206 | 417 | 29 | 226 | 22 | 4 | 187 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 342 | 294 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 184 | 284 | 238 | 522 | 54 | 208 | 16 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 286 | 250 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 212 | 284 | 256 | 540 | 44 | 230 | 12 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 280 | 255 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 243 | 301 | 349 | 650 | 106 | 264 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 39 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 135 | 179 | 189 | 369 | 54 | 159 | 26 | 5 | 150 | -12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 333 | 318 | 63 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 89 | 6 | 16 | 9 | 198 | 227 | 289 | 517 | 91 | 253 | 27 | 2 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 74 | 69 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 217 | 260 | 304 | 565 | 87 | 248 | 15 | 4 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 36 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 441 | 719 | 206 | 339 | 31 | 3 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 216 | 197 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 188 | 245 | 269 | 514 | 81 | 224 | 23 | 6 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 32 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 276 | 344 | 414 | 758 | 138 | 276 | 12 | 9 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 22 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 100 | 243 | 156 | 45 | 5 | 93 | -51 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 47 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 311 | 308 | 619 | 103 | 217 | 19 | 6 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 73 | 69 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 145 | 169 | 174 | 343 | 29 | 202 | 32 | 3 | 148 | -14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 342 | 294 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 184 | 284 | 238 | 522 | 54 | 223 | 16 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 342 | 290 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 269 | 367 | 366 | 733 | 97 | 312 | 13 | 4 | 332 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 286 | 250 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 212 | 284 | 256 | 540 | 44 | 241 | 12 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 286 | 243 | 76 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 313 | 393 | 399 | 792 | 86 | 344 | 9 | 8 | 347 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 280 | 255 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 243 | 301 | 349 | 650 | 106 | 270 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 280 | 247 | 93 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 377 | 442 | 563 | 1.005 | 186 | 408 | 9 | 8 | 435 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 355 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 98 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 192 | 222 | 279 | 501 | 87 | 251 | 26 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 372 | 351 | 79 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 74 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 225 | 263 | 336 | 599 | 111 | 270 | 20 | 3 | 266 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 5 teams | — | 392 | 354 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 209 | 265 | 299 | 565 | 90 | 255 | 21 | 6 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ RAW | 5 teams | — | 392 | 343 | 82 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 59 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 239 | 315 | 353 | 668 | 114 | 267 | 15 | 8 | 296 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 142 | 129 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 155 | 204 | 202 | 406 | 47 | 218 | 30 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 142 | 126 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 175 | 241 | 222 | 463 | 48 | 221 | 22 | 6 | 211 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 2 | — | 342 | 298 | 54 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 56 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 181 | 284 | 235 | 518 | 54 | 208 | 16 | 3 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 286 | 259 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 205 | 284 | 247 | 531 | 42 | 230 | 12 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 280 | 257 | 62 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 6 | 36 | 13 | 241 | 301 | 346 | 647 | 105 | 264 | 11 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 372 | 355 | 68 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 98 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 192 | 222 | 279 | 501 | 87 | 243 | 26 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | A+ MLE | 5 teams | — | 392 | 362 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 82 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 204 | 265 | 293 | 558 | 88 | 245 | 21 | 6 | 246 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 142 | 133 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 42 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 150 | 204 | 195 | 400 | 45 | 200 | 30 | 4 | 173 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1814 | 1637 | 331 | 47 | 20 | 12 | 77 | 343 | 59 | 112 | 60 | 202 | 263 | 277 | 541 | 75 | 246 | 19 | 4 | 234 | 44 | -120 | -2 | +0 | +6 | +39 | -7.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 118 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 123 | 21 | 40 | 21 | 201 | 263 | 274 | 537 | 73 | 245 | 19 | 4 | 234 | 44 | -43 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 73 PAwOBA .185 → .148 (−37)K% 21.9% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.92% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.11% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 2.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.15% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 18.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.152 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .185 → .148; ISO .029 → .024; BABIP .226 → .202. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 47 PAwOBA .286 → .249 (−37)K% 14.9% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.38% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 5.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 18.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.960 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.208 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 80, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .249; ISO .105 → .081; BABIP .233 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAANashville Sounds · 22 PAwOBA .111 → .093 (−19)K% 36.4% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.015 | ×1.290 | — | — | 46.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.988 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 3.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.007 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.048 | 15.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.967 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.069 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 93, 3B 114, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .111 → .093; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .156. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 216 PAwOBA .283 → .225 (−58)K% 15.7% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.74% | ÷0.991 | ×1.420 | — | — | 22.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷1.042 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 18.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.87% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 3.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷0.905 | ×0.800 | ×0.986 | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.58% | ÷1.393 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 1.66% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 179, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 81, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .283 → .225; ISO .106 → .076; BABIP .247 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAARound Rock Express · 74 PAwOBA .272 → .249 (−23)K% 12.2% → 14.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.055 | ×1.290 | — | — | 14.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.050 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.64% | ÷0.962 | ×0.900 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 18.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.78% | ÷1.019 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 5.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.978 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 92, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 111, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .272 → .249; ISO .103 → .087; BABIP .259 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 36 PAwOBA .384 → .309 (−75)K% 22.2% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.922 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.021 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 2.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 19.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 10.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 3.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.088 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 98, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 84, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .384 → .309; ISO .242 → .184; BABIP .375 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AHickory Crawdads · 32 PAwOBA .374 → .305 (−69)K% 9.4% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.38% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 13.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 10.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 22.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.881 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 3.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.204 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 2.81% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 98, 2B 76, 3B 80, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .374 → .305; ISO .148 → .111; BABIP .304 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AHickory Crawdads · 333 PAwOBA .269 → .220 (−50)K% 20.1% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.12% | ÷1.010 | ×1.340 | — | — | 26.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.70% | ÷1.002 | ×0.660 | — | — | 1.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.80% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.97% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | — | 19.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.84% | ÷1.045 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | — | 3.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.141 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | — | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.019 | ×0.820 | — | — | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 109, 3B 128, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .269 → .220; ISO .117 → .089; BABIP .282 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .