Dennis Ortega
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 25 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 284 | .238/.305/.340 | 3 | 4 | 56 | — | .192/.249/.256 |
| 2023 | 26 | INTLNavegantes de… | 26 | .160/.192/.160 | 0 | 0 | -1 | — | |
| 2024 | 27 | INTLTiburones de … | 44 | .200/.364/.343 | 1 | 1 | 110 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 179 | 153 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 330 | 242 | 571 | 13 | 304 | 21 | 11 | 271 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 149 | 129 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 248 | 336 | 310 | 646 | 62 | 286 | 12 | 10 | 294 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 133 | 115 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 357 | 439 | 426 | 865 | 70 | 402 | 10 | 11 | 391 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 24 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 389 | 542 | 444 | 986 | 56 | 636 | 29 | 21 | 456 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 42 | 39 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 205 | 244 | 282 | 526 | 77 | 286 | 29 | 2 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 270 | 245 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 51 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 257 | 316 | 384 | 699 | 127 | 300 | 19 | 8 | 310 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 29 | 26 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 250 | 269 | 519 | 77 | 238 | 17 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 215 | 200 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 257 | 250 | 507 | 45 | 250 | 18 | 6 | 234 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 157 | 135 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 356 | 442 | 563 | 1.005 | 207 | 423 | 20 | 12 | 440 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 177 | 160 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 301 | 312 | 614 | 81 | 321 | 28 | 8 | 281 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 172 | 151 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 205 | 294 | 311 | 605 | 106 | 257 | 22 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 185 | 168 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 308 | 333 | 641 | 95 | 330 | 28 | 8 | 293 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 99 | 88 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 299 | 352 | 651 | 114 | 282 | 18 | 7 | 287 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 160 | 352 | 200 | 19 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 44 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 364 | 343 | 706 | 143 | 231 | 18 | 18 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 179 | 159 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 239 | 164 | 402 | 6 | 214 | 26 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 149 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 173 | 247 | 218 | 465 | 45 | 189 | 15 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 133 | 121 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 298 | 356 | 355 | 711 | 58 | 342 | 14 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 24 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 316 | 458 | 368 | 827 | 53 | 578 | 38 | 17 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 270 | 251 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 67 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 215 | 259 | 319 | 578 | 104 | 264 | 25 | 6 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 215 | 203 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 206 | 202 | 408 | 39 | 212 | 26 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 177 | 165 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 255 | 505 | 55 | 305 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 185 | 172 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 192 | 249 | 256 | 504 | 64 | 305 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 179 | 159 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 157 | 239 | 164 | 402 | 6 | 221 | 26 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 179 | 153 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 330 | 242 | 571 | 13 | 304 | 21 | 11 | 271 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 149 | 133 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 173 | 247 | 218 | 465 | 45 | 205 | 15 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 149 | 129 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 248 | 336 | 310 | 646 | 62 | 286 | 12 | 10 | 294 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 133 | 121 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 298 | 356 | 355 | 711 | 58 | 353 | 14 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 133 | 115 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 357 | 439 | 426 | 865 | 70 | 402 | 10 | 11 | 391 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 53 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 431 | 340 | 770 | 38 | 552 | 38 | 15 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 66 | 57 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 354 | 333 | 687 | 70 | 385 | 29 | 9 | 314 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 278 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 74 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 212 | 255 | 309 | 564 | 97 | 269 | 25 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 299 | 271 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 251 | 310 | 373 | 682 | 122 | 294 | 19 | 8 | 302 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 215 | 203 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 206 | 202 | 408 | 39 | 218 | 26 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 215 | 200 | 41 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 257 | 250 | 507 | 45 | 250 | 18 | 6 | 234 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 157 | 135 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 356 | 442 | 563 | 1.005 | 207 | 423 | 20 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 157 | 135 | 48 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 356 | 442 | 563 | 1.005 | 207 | 423 | 20 | 12 | 440 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 323 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 121 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 254 | 263 | 517 | 62 | 308 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 349 | 311 | 68 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 87 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 219 | 298 | 312 | 610 | 93 | 288 | 25 | 9 | 278 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 263 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 198 | 252 | 266 | 518 | 68 | 307 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 284 | 256 | 61 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 69 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 238 | 305 | 340 | 645 | 102 | 312 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL MLE | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 160 | 352 | 200 | 19 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL RAW | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 160 | 352 | 200 | 19 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 44 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 364 | 343 | 706 | 143 | 231 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 44 | 35 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 364 | 343 | 706 | 143 | 231 | 18 | 18 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 179 | 160 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 46 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 156 | 239 | 163 | 401 | 6 | 214 | 26 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 149 | 135 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 170 | 247 | 215 | 461 | 44 | 189 | 15 | 7 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 133 | 121 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 298 | 356 | 355 | 711 | 58 | 342 | 14 | 7 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 66 | 54 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 431 | 333 | 764 | 37 | 578 | 38 | 15 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 299 | 281 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 74 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 210 | 255 | 306 | 561 | 96 | 264 | 25 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 215 | 202 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 206 | 203 | 409 | 40 | 212 | 26 | 4 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 349 | 323 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 121 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 201 | 254 | 263 | 517 | 62 | 305 | 35 | 6 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 263 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 100 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 198 | 252 | 266 | 518 | 68 | 305 | 35 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1901 | 1728 | 368 | 57 | 4 | 19 | 133 | 507 | 20 | 28 | 13 | 213 | 277 | 284 | 561 | 71 | 288 | 27 | 7 | 204 | 24 | -172 | +0 | +0 | +34 | +41 | -9.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 124 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 173 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 210 | 274 | 276 | 550 | 66 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 204 | 24 | -59 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 185 PAwOBA .286 → .232 (−54)K% 27.6% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.57% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 23.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.71% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.39% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .286 → .232; ISO .095 → .074; BABIP .330 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 177 PAwOBA .274 → .228 (−46)K% 27.7% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.68% | ÷0.955 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.47% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.23% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 24.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.31% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 5.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷0.949 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 1.39% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .274 → .228; ISO .081 → .063; BABIP .321 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 215 PAwOBA .228 → .182 (−47)K% 18.1% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.14% | ÷1.014 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.58% | ÷0.991 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.12% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 17.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.73% | ÷1.047 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.912 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.61% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 110, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .228 → .182; ISO .045 → .038; BABIP .250 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 APeoria Chiefs · 270 PAwOBA .304 → .250 (−54)K% 18.9% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.89% | ÷1.030 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.78% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.68% | ÷1.041 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.70% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.09% | ÷0.981 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 90, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .304 → .250; ISO .127 → .103; BABIP .300 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 APeoria Chiefs · 24 PAwOBA .446 → .363 (−83)K% 29.2% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.046 | ×1.360 | — | — | 37.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.969 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 15.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 54.55% | ÷1.035 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 49.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.030 | 7.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 97, K 109, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .446 → .363; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .636 → .578. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKGCL Cardinals · 133 PAwOBA .381 → .307 (−75)K% 9.8% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 14.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 29.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.047 | ×1.008 | 1.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .381 → .307; ISO .070 → .054; BABIP .402 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Cardinals · 149 PAwOBA .289 → .199 (−91)K% 12.1% → 14.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 14.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 15.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 3.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .289 → .199; ISO .062 → .038; BABIP .286 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Cardinals · 179 PAwOBA .265 → .189 (−77)K% 21.2% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 8.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.68% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.019 | ×1.022 | 20.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.019 | ×1.022 | 1.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.019 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .265 → .189; ISO .013 → .008; BABIP .304 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .