Micker Adolfo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 22 | AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 214 | .209/.324/.374 | 6 | 0 | 56 | — | .165/.263/.253 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 453 | .247/.310/.508 | 27 | 5 | 66 | — | .187/.236/.372 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 390 | .231/.286/.418 | 16 | 8 | 35 | — | .173/.216/.274 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 198 | 179 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 282 | 380 | 662 | 162 | 374 | 43 | 7 | 291 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 93 | 83 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 253 | 326 | 313 | 639 | 60 | 356 | 27 | 6 | 293 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 265 | 247 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 88 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 219 | 269 | 340 | 609 | 121 | 318 | 33 | 5 | 273 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 562 | 896 | 312 | 429 | 44 | 6 | 388 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 473 | 424 | 112 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 149 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 264 | 333 | 453 | 786 | 189 | 366 | 32 | 7 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 336 | 291 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 92 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 282 | 372 | 464 | 836 | 182 | 372 | 27 | 10 | 370 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 95 | 78 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 205 | 340 | 295 | 635 | 90 | 372 | 38 | 15 | 299 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 58 | 50 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 362 | 480 | 842 | 220 | 407 | 36 | 12 | 373 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 61 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 262 | 389 | 651 | 222 | 217 | 44 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 150 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 240 | 301 | 513 | 814 | 273 | 299 | 33 | 7 | 353 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 242 | 217 | 54 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 19 | 85 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 249 | 321 | 525 | 846 | 276 | 328 | 35 | 8 | 365 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 48 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 261 | 292 | 413 | 705 | 152 | 370 | 35 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 367 | 338 | 78 | 18 | 0 | 15 | 25 | 130 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 231 | 287 | 417 | 704 | 186 | 325 | 35 | 7 | 311 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 429 | 701 | 190 | 267 | 26 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 198 | 184 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 122 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 169 | 207 | 376 | 87 | 295 | 62 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 93 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 250 | 235 | 485 | 47 | 301 | 39 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 265 | 253 | 44 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 116 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 208 | 269 | 477 | 95 | 302 | 44 | 3 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 222 | 188 | 410 | 62 | 311 | 67 | 6 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 473 | 434 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 204 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 254 | 339 | 593 | 143 | 318 | 43 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 336 | 305 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 141 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 282 | 348 | 630 | 131 | 352 | 42 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 95 | 81 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 173 | 287 | 247 | 534 | 74 | 348 | 46 | 12 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 58 | 53 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 224 | 264 | 488 | 113 | 299 | 52 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 163 | 154 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 188 | 233 | 364 | 597 | 175 | 270 | 39 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 242 | 225 | 42 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 11 | 104 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 237 | 378 | 615 | 191 | 279 | 43 | 5 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 367 | 347 | 60 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 160 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 173 | 216 | 274 | 490 | 101 | 292 | 44 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 198 | 184 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 122 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 120 | 169 | 207 | 376 | 87 | 311 | 62 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 198 | 179 | 39 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 85 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 282 | 380 | 662 | 162 | 374 | 43 | 7 | 291 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 93 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 250 | 235 | 485 | 47 | 320 | 39 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL White Sox | — | 93 | 83 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 253 | 326 | 313 | 639 | 60 | 356 | 27 | 6 | 293 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 269 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 127 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 264 | 473 | 93 | 304 | 45 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 283 | 263 | 58 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 96 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 221 | 273 | 354 | 627 | 133 | 323 | 34 | 5 | 280 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 473 | 434 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 204 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 196 | 254 | 339 | 593 | 143 | 324 | 43 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 473 | 424 | 112 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 31 | 149 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 264 | 333 | 453 | 786 | 189 | 366 | 32 | 7 | 345 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 336 | 305 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 141 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 282 | 348 | 630 | 131 | 365 | 42 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 336 | 291 | 82 | 18 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 92 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 282 | 372 | 464 | 836 | 182 | 372 | 27 | 10 | 370 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 187 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 103 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 160 | 263 | 257 | 520 | 96 | 337 | 48 | 10 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 214 | 182 | 38 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 84 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 209 | 324 | 374 | 698 | 165 | 344 | 39 | 12 | 317 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 453 | 424 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 22 | 186 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 237 | 373 | 610 | 184 | 279 | 41 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 453 | 413 | 102 | 25 | 1 | 27 | 33 | 155 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 247 | 310 | 508 | 819 | 262 | 322 | 34 | 7 | 355 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 368 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 170 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 174 | 216 | 272 | 488 | 98 | 295 | 44 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 359 | 83 | 19 | 0 | 16 | 26 | 136 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 231 | 286 | 418 | 704 | 187 | 321 | 35 | 7 | 310 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 198 | 185 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 122 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 169 | 205 | 375 | 86 | 295 | 62 | 5 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 93 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 186 | 250 | 233 | 483 | 47 | 301 | 39 | 4 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 283 | 268 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 127 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 172 | 209 | 265 | 474 | 93 | 303 | 45 | 3 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 473 | 436 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 204 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 195 | 254 | 337 | 591 | 142 | 318 | 43 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Winston-Salem Dash | — | 336 | 305 | 66 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 141 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 282 | 348 | 630 | 131 | 352 | 42 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 214 | 186 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 103 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 161 | 263 | 258 | 521 | 97 | 329 | 48 | 10 | 234 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 453 | 423 | 80 | 22 | 1 | 18 | 22 | 186 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 189 | 237 | 374 | 611 | 184 | 275 | 41 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 367 | 64 | 15 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 170 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 174 | 216 | 272 | 489 | 98 | 292 | 44 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2440 | 2256 | 409 | 99 | 6 | 56 | 124 | 1089 | 42 | 20 | 11 | 181 | 237 | 305 | 542 | 124 | 314 | 45 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -156 | -0 | +0 | -26 | +53 | -13.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 109 | 26 | 2 | 15 | 33 | 290 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 181 | 237 | 306 | 543 | 125 | 313 | 45 | 5 | 236 | 46 | -42 | -0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -3.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAACharlotte Knights · 367 PAwOBA .303 → .215 (−88)K% 35.4% → 43.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.42% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.81% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.63% | ÷1.003 | ×0.930 | ×1.028 | ×1.018 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷1.028 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.018 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.028 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.21% | ÷1.421 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 184, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 95, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .303 → .215; ISO .186 → .101; BABIP .325 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AABirmingham Barons · 242 PAwOBA .356 → .266 (−91)K% 35.1% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.44% | ÷1.119 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.075 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 15.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.36% | ÷0.928 | ×0.870 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 10.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.36% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 8.13% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 115, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 100, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .356 → .266; ISO .276 → .199; BABIP .328 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAACharlotte Knights · 163 PAwOBA .343 → .252 (−91)K% 32.5% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.52% | ÷1.011 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.49% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 16.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷1.128 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.31% | ÷1.190 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 126, 3B 104, K 102, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .343 → .252; ISO .273 → .171; BABIP .299 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AABirmingham Barons · 95 PAwOBA .295 → .245 (−50)K% 37.9% → 45.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.89% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.74% | ÷0.929 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 11.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.11% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.009 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 15.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 101, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .295 → .245; ISO .090 → .077; BABIP .372 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKACL White Sox · 58 PAwOBA .363 → .215 (−148)K% 36.2% → 52.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 52.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 11.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.19% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .363 → .215; ISO .220 → .126; BABIP .407 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Winston-Salem Dash · 336 PAwOBA .363 → .275 (−88)K% 27.4% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.38% | ÷0.928 | ×1.420 | — | — | 41.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷1.049 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.012 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.13% | ÷0.984 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 25.52% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.05% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 8.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×1.010 | ×1.012 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.53% | ÷1.014 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.012 | 4.96% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 86, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .363 → .275; ISO .182 → .137; BABIP .372 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AKannapolis Intimidators · 473 PAwOBA .338 → .258 (−80)K% 31.5% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.50% | ÷0.979 | ×1.340 | — | — | 43.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.55% | ÷0.975 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 21.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.18% | ÷1.070 | ×0.820 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 7.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×1.015 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.82% | ÷0.824 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 5.88% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .338 → .258; ISO .189 → .149; BABIP .366 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AKannapolis Intimidators · 265 PAwOBA .266 → .208 (−58)K% 33.2% → 43.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.21% | ÷1.020 | ×1.340 | — | — | 43.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.28% | ÷1.148 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 3.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.90% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.01% | ÷1.019 | ×0.920 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 21.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.18% | ÷0.959 | ×0.820 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 7.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.991 | ×0.940 | ×1.038 | ×1.030 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.14% | ÷0.994 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.67% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 98, K 104, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .266 → .208; ISO .121 → .094; BABIP .318 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .