Juan Montes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROKDSL Orioles 1 | 184 | .234/.339/.316 | 2 | 14 | 17 | — | .148/.246/.198 |
| 2017 | 22 | ROKBAL | 241 | .251/.404/.309 | 1 | 25 | 36 | — | .158/.288/.182 |
| 2018 | 23 | ROKGCL Orioles | 109 | .301/.393/.419 | 2 | 2 | 58 | — | .208/.290/.271 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | DSL Orioles 2 | — | 178 | 148 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 216 | 341 | 284 | 625 | 68 | 274 | 20 | 12 | 295 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 57 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 396 | 712 | 208 | 194 | 18 | 7 | 322 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 184 | 158 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 234 | 339 | 316 | 655 | 82 | 261 | 12 | 7 | 306 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK | DSL Orioles | — | 241 | 191 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 25 | 7 | 251 | 404 | 309 | 713 | 58 | 315 | 17 | 12 | 343 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK | GCL Orioles | — | 109 | 93 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 301 | 393 | 419 | 812 | 118 | 371 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 2 | — | 178 | 155 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 142 | 244 | 174 | 419 | 32 | 186 | 24 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 57 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 228 | 204 | 432 | 102 | 122 | 21 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 184 | 162 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 148 | 246 | 198 | 443 | 49 | 164 | 15 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles | — | 241 | 203 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 19 | 25 | 7 | 158 | 287 | 182 | 470 | 25 | 199 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 109 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 290 | 271 | 561 | 62 | 283 | 29 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 2 | — | 178 | 155 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 142 | 244 | 174 | 419 | 32 | 195 | 24 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 2 | — | 178 | 148 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 216 | 341 | 284 | 625 | 68 | 274 | 20 | 12 | 295 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 57 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 228 | 204 | 432 | 102 | 111 | 21 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 57 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 396 | 712 | 208 | 194 | 18 | 7 | 322 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 184 | 162 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 148 | 246 | 198 | 443 | 49 | 172 | 15 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 184 | 158 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 234 | 339 | 316 | 655 | 82 | 261 | 12 | 7 | 306 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles | — | 241 | 203 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 19 | 25 | 7 | 158 | 287 | 182 | 470 | 25 | 209 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles | — | 241 | 191 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 25 | 7 | 251 | 404 | 309 | 713 | 58 | 315 | 17 | 12 | 343 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 109 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 208 | 290 | 271 | 561 | 62 | 297 | 29 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK RAW | GCL Orioles | — | 109 | 93 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 301 | 393 | 419 | 812 | 118 | 371 | 20 | 6 | 363 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 2 | — | 178 | 155 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 43 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 142 | 244 | 174 | 419 | 32 | 186 | 24 | 8 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 57 | 49 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 102 | 228 | 204 | 432 | 102 | 122 | 21 | 5 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles 1 | — | 184 | 161 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 149 | 246 | 199 | 445 | 50 | 164 | 15 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles | — | 241 | 202 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 19 | 25 | 7 | 158 | 287 | 183 | 471 | 25 | 199 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | ROK MLE | GCL Orioles | — | 109 | 97 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 290 | 268 | 558 | 62 | 283 | 29 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 769 | 665 | 103 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 166 | 49 | 43 | 17 | 155 | 263 | 198 | 462 | 44 | 200 | 22 | 6 | 213 | 30 | -64 | +2 | +0 | -8 | +17 | -5.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 562 | 88 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 140 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 157 | 264 | 205 | 468 | 48 | 201 | 22 | 6 | 213 | 30 | -54 | +2 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -4.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 ROKGCL Orioles · 109 PAwOBA .357 → .254 (−103)K% 20.2% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.42% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.965 | 23.29% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.995 | ×0.965 | 4.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.995 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 2.12% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .357 → .254; ISO .118 → .082; BABIP .371 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 DSLDSL Orioles · 241 PAwOBA .332 → .222 (−110)K% 17.4% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 7.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.88% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.965 | 5.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.986 | ×0.965 | 16.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.986 | ×0.965 | 3.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.986 | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.965 | 0.30% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 18.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .332 → .222; ISO .058 → .033; BABIP .315 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Orioles 1 · 184 PAwOBA .300 → .194 (−107)K% 12.5% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.975 | 4.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.52% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.975 | 4.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.975 | ×0.975 | 13.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.975 | ×0.975 | 2.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.975 | ×0.975 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.975 | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 18.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .300 → .194; ISO .082 → .044; BABIP .261 → .164. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Orioles 1 · 57 PAwOBA .314 → .196 (−119)K% 17.5% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 4.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.77% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 6.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.985 | 8.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.985 | 3.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 2.44% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .314 → .196; ISO .208 → .109; BABIP .194 → .122. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Orioles 2 · 178 PAwOBA .290 → .199 (−91)K% 19.7% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.99% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 8.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.37% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.030 | ×0.995 | 15.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.030 | ×0.995 | 2.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.030 | ×0.995 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.41% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .290 → .199; ISO .068 → .040; BABIP .274 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).