Dariel Gomez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 25 | A+/A2 orgs | 416 | .266/.373/.496 | 15 | 0 | 64 | — | .185/.264/.332 |
| 2022 | 26 | A+SEA | 470 | .222/.322/.472 | 26 | 0 | 36 | — | .145/.220/.290 |
| 2023 | 27 | AA/ROKNYM | 120 | .208/.333/.327 | 2 | 0 | 35 | — | .168/.258/.271 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 185 | 149 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 382 | 369 | 751 | 107 | 348 | 22 | 14 | 332 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | — | 168 | 141 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 353 | 348 | 701 | 113 | 282 | 15 | 15 | 322 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK | GCL Cardinals | — | 126 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 363 | 337 | 699 | 96 | 311 | 24 | 13 | 322 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 185 | 152 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 393 | 454 | 847 | 184 | 333 | 23 | 15 | 376 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 215 | 186 | 49 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 357 | 575 | 932 | 312 | 381 | 37 | 11 | 398 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 201 | 167 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 72 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 390 | 407 | 797 | 138 | 452 | 36 | 14 | 362 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 470 | 409 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 163 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 322 | 472 | 794 | 249 | 294 | 35 | 12 | 349 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 101 | 85 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 337 | 318 | 654 | 106 | 370 | 38 | 16 | 306 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | ROK | FCL Mets | — | 19 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 316 | 375 | 691 | 188 | 250 | 37 | 16 | 315 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 185 | 157 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 178 | 275 | 248 | 524 | 70 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 168 | 149 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 246 | 228 | 474 | 74 | 186 | 18 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 126 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 250 | 216 | 466 | 54 | 234 | 34 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 185 | 163 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 123 | 270 | 33 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 215 | 196 | 34 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 108 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 173 | 239 | 367 | 607 | 194 | 316 | 50 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 201 | 177 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 96 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 290 | 294 | 584 | 96 | 403 | 48 | 9 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 470 | 428 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 219 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 145 | 220 | 290 | 509 | 145 | 235 | 47 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 101 | 90 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 267 | 267 | 534 | 89 | 333 | 46 | 11 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | ROK MLE | FCL Mets | — | 19 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 211 | 294 | 505 | 176 | 178 | 58 | 11 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 185 | 157 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 178 | 275 | 248 | 524 | 70 | 252 | 27 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 185 | 149 | 39 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 382 | 369 | 751 | 107 | 348 | 22 | 14 | 332 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 168 | 149 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 246 | 228 | 474 | 74 | 193 | 18 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | DSL Cardinals | — | 168 | 141 | 33 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 353 | 348 | 701 | 113 | 282 | 15 | 15 | 322 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 126 | 111 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 162 | 250 | 216 | 466 | 54 | 246 | 34 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK RAW | GCL Cardinals | — | 126 | 104 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 363 | 337 | 699 | 96 | 311 | 24 | 13 | 322 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 185 | 163 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 123 | 280 | 33 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK RAW | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 185 | 152 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 393 | 454 | 847 | 184 | 333 | 23 | 15 | 376 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 373 | 69 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 204 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 264 | 332 | 596 | 147 | 364 | 49 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 416 | 353 | 94 | 28 | 4 | 15 | 53 | 151 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 373 | 496 | 869 | 229 | 416 | 36 | 13 | 380 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 470 | 428 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 219 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 145 | 220 | 290 | 509 | 145 | 241 | 47 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ RAW | Everett AquaSox | — | 470 | 409 | 91 | 20 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 163 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 322 | 472 | 794 | 249 | 294 | 35 | 12 | 349 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 107 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | 250 | 234 | 484 | 75 | 327 | 48 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 120 | 101 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 333 | 327 | 660 | 119 | 352 | 38 | 16 | 307 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 185 | 162 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 275 | 241 | 516 | 68 | 236 | 27 | 10 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | DSL Cardinals | — | 168 | 148 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 155 | 246 | 230 | 475 | 74 | 186 | 18 | 10 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 21 | ROK MLE | GCL Cardinals | — | 126 | 112 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 250 | 214 | 464 | 54 | 234 | 34 | 8 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK MLE | Johnson City Cardinals | — | 185 | 163 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 284 | 319 | 603 | 123 | 270 | 33 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 416 | 373 | 69 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 33 | 204 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 185 | 264 | 332 | 596 | 147 | 358 | 49 | 8 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 470 | 426 | 62 | 13 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 219 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 146 | 220 | 291 | 511 | 146 | 235 | 47 | 8 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 120 | 106 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 250 | 236 | 486 | 75 | 308 | 48 | 11 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1670 | 1488 | 249 | 60 | 10 | 31 | 144 | 665 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 167 | 251 | 284 | 535 | 116 | 271 | 40 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -106 | -1 | +0 | -30 | +36 | -10.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 97 | 23 | 4 | 12 | 56 | 259 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 168 | 252 | 283 | 535 | 116 | 272 | 40 | 9 | 237 | 47 | -41 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 101 PAwOBA .299 → .231 (−68)K% 37.6% → 45.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.62% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.84% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 10.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.978 | 22.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.77% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 10.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .231; ISO .106 → .081; BABIP .370 → .333. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Mets · 19 PAwOBA .307 → .168 (−139)K% 36.8% → 55.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.84% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 55.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.004 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 9.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.046 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 16.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 7.83% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 91, 3B 96, K 90, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .168; ISO .188 → .097; BABIP .250 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Everett AquaSox · 470 PAwOBA .340 → .221 (−119)K% 34.7% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.68% | ÷1.007 | ×1.350 | — | — | 46.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.70% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.48% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 15.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.13% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.968 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.57% | ÷1.237 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 6.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .340 → .221; ISO .249 → .146; BABIP .294 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Everett AquaSox · 215 PAwOBA .389 → .262 (−127)K% 36.7% → 50.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.74% | ÷0.985 | ×1.350 | — | — | 50.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.70% | ÷1.125 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.40% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.82% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 15.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.95% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 11.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.80% | ÷0.929 | ×0.820 | ×1.021 | ×0.978 | 2.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.21% | ÷1.078 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 8.44% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 96, 2B 115, 3B 86, K 97, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .389 → .262; ISO .312 → .203; BABIP .381 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AModesto Nuts · 201 PAwOBA .355 → .264 (−91)K% 35.8% → 47.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.82% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 47.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.43% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 9.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.53% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.049 | ×0.970 | 28.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.049 | ×0.970 | 10.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷0.903 | ×0.910 | ×1.049 | ×0.970 | 1.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.16% | ÷0.861 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 2.85% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 81, K 104, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.049.
Result: wOBA .355 → .264; ISO .138 → .105; BABIP .452 → .403. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKJohnson City Cardinals · 185 PAwOBA .371 → .270 (−101)K% 23.2% → 33.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 33.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.975 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.975 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 20.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.034 | ×0.975 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.975 | 4.29% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .371 → .270; ISO .184 → .135; BABIP .333 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKGCL Cardinals · 126 PAwOBA .319 → .219 (−100)K% 23.8% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 8.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | ×0.985 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×0.985 | 3.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.960 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.08% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .319 → .219; ISO .096 → .067; BABIP .311 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 DSLDSL Cardinals · 168 PAwOBA .316 → .214 (−102)K% 14.9% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 10.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.985 | 0.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.037 | ×0.985 | 10.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.037 | ×0.985 | 7.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.037 | ×0.985 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 18.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .316 → .214; ISO .113 → .072; BABIP .282 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).