Alex Guerrero

PosLF
B/TR/R
Born1986-11-20
Age (2027)40
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AALAST SEASON 2016
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201427AAA/A+/ROK3 orgs308.333/.377/.621174101—.259/.296/.464
201528MLBLAD230.233/.263/.43411192-0.1
201629AA/A+2 orgs60.138/.167/.20711-25—.121/.150/.190
201730No MLB games played
201831No MLB games played
201932No MLB games played
202033No MLB games played
202134No MLB games played
202235No MLB games played
202336No MLB games played
202437No MLB games played
202538No MLB games played
202639No MLB games played
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1
Contract
No contract data on file.
Skills · percentileStatcast 2015
Barrel%48
Speed47
xwOBA32
Avg EV21

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201326 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 4038 11301 270 00 289325447772 158333 185 342 117 — — — — — —
201427 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes — 258243 8014515 10444 40 329366613979 284351 174 422 97 — — — — — —
201427 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 2119 7410 220 00 3684296841.113 316412 1010 474 126 — — — — — —
201427 ROKAZL Dodgers — 2923 8102 351 00 3484446521.097 304333 1710 441 122 — — — — — —
201528 MLBLos Angeles Dodgers — 230219 519111 7572 10 233263434697 201261 253 302 92 -2 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.1
201629 AATulsa Drillers — 3332 1000 150 00 31613192 37 153 49 -88 — — — — — —
201629 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 2726 7101 130 10 269296423719 154273 114 318 51 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 230219 519111 7572 10 233263434697 201261 253 302 91 -3 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201427 AAA MLEAlbuquerque Isotopes — 258246 6211310 7594 40 252284443727 191294 233 312 97 — — — — — —
201427 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 2120 6310 130 00 300333550883 250324 145 354 126 — — — — — —
201427 ROK MLEAZL Dodgers — 2924 7102 271 00 292370583954 292246 247 349 122 — — — — — —
201528 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 230219 5210111 7572 10 237268443710 205261 253 305 92 -2 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.1
201629 AA MLETulsa Drillers — 3332 1000 160 00 31613192 33 183 38 -88 — — — — — —
201629 A+ MLERancho Cucamonga Quakes — 2726 6101 140 10 231259385644 154222 154 244 51 — — — — — —
201326 INTL MLEGigantes del Cibao — 4038 11301 270 00 289325447772 158333 185 — — — — — — — —
201326 INTL RAWGigantes del Cibao — 4038 11301 270 00 289325447772 158333 185 342 117 — — — — — —
201427 AAA MLE3 teams — 308290 7515412 10695 40 259295462757 203297 223 318 102 — — — — — —
201427 AAA RAW3 teams — 308285 9519617 15515 40 333377621998 288355 175 427 102 — — — — — —
201528 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 230219 5210111 7572 10 237268443710 205268 253 305 92 -2 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.1
201528 MLB RAWLos Angeles Dodgers — 230219 519111 7572 10 233263434697 201261 253 302 92 -2 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.1
201629 AA MLE2 teams — 6059 7101 1100 10 119133186320 68125 172 131 -25 — — — — — —
201629 AA RAW2 teams — 6058 8101 280 10 138167207374 69143 133 170 -25 — — — — — —
201427 AAA MLE3 teams — 308290 7515412 10695 40 259295462757 203292 223 318 102 — — — — — —
201528 MLB MLELos Angeles Dodgers — 230219 5210111 7572 10 237268443710 205261 253 305 92 — — — — — —
201629 AA MLE2 teams — 6059 7101 1100 10 119133186320 68118 172 131 -25 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 230219 519111 7572 10 233263434697 201261 253 302 73 -3 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650619 14425331 201616 30 233264433697 200261 253 302 73 -7 +1 -5 -7 +14 -0.5
Career— MLE — 638606 14529525 201437 60 239272427699 188271 223 276 73 -3 +0 -2 -2 +5 -0.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650617 14830525 201467 60 240271426698 186273 223 276 73 -7 +1 -5 -7 +14 -0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AATulsa Drillers · 33 PAwOBA .048 → .038 (−10)K% 15.2% → 18.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.15%÷0.996×1.220——18.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.03%÷0.935×0.700—×0.9482.15%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.870—×0.9480.00%
Singles /BIP3.70%÷0.990×0.920—×0.9483.26%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.926×0.840—×0.9480.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.940—×0.9480.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.800—×0.9480.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 99, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .048 → .038; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .037 → .033. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 27 PAwOBA .309 → .244 (−65)K% 11.1% → 15.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.11%÷0.979×1.340——15.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.70%÷1.046×0.710—×0.9402.36%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9400.00%
Singles /BIP21.74%÷1.043×0.910—×0.94017.83%
Doubles /BIP4.35%÷0.938×0.820—×0.9403.57%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.142×0.760—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP4.35%÷1.003×0.920—×0.9403.75%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 109, 2B 88, 3B 128, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .309 → .244; ISO .154 → .127; BABIP .273 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 258 PAwOBA .411 → .312 (−98)K% 17.1% → 23.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.05%÷0.955×1.290——23.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.88%÷1.049×0.710—×0.9922.60%
HBP% /PA1.55%—×0.980—×0.9921.51%
Singles /BIP23.12%÷1.008×0.900×0.999×0.99220.46%
Doubles /BIP7.04%÷0.982×0.810×0.999×0.9925.75%
Triples /BIP2.51%÷1.150×0.810×0.999×0.9921.75%
Home runs /BIP7.54%÷1.078×0.780—×0.9925.41%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 102, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 91, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .411 → .312; ISO .284 → .197; BABIP .351 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 ROKAZL Dodgers · 29 PAwOBA .461 → .349 (−112)K% 17.2% → 24.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.24%÷1.000×1.440——24.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.34%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9406.03%
HBP% /PA3.45%—×0.720—×0.9402.33%
Singles /BIP27.78%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94021.41%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9403.76%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9400.00%
Home runs /BIP11.11%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9408.15%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .461 → .349; ISO .304 → .238; BABIP .333 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 21 PAwOBA .461 → .354 (−107)K% 9.5% → 12.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.52%÷1.036×1.340——12.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.52%÷0.979×0.710—×0.9486.55%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×0.9480.00%
Singles /BIP11.76%÷1.034×0.910—×0.9489.81%
Doubles /BIP23.53%÷1.000×0.820—×0.94818.30%
Triples /BIP5.88%÷0.998×0.760—×0.9484.24%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.934×0.920—×0.9480.00%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 100, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .461 → .354; ISO .316 → .240; BABIP .412 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .