Jhonathan Díaz
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+1.1
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'0" / 170 lbs
AAA
peak 1.2 · 2026
ERA4.20
FIP4.20
xFIP3.95
SIERA3.74
K%19.3%
BB%7.1%
K-BB%12.2%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL7070
CMD5050
K†3030
FB Velo
p1091.4
Whiff%
p2521.8%
K%
p1216.7%
xwOBA vs
p230.344
SL+0.7 (46%)
CH (19%)
SI (12%)
CU (12%)
FB-0.5 (23%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | GCL Red Sox | 13 | 12 | 60 | 247 | 57 | 18 | 2 | 15.7% | 9.1% | 1.1% | 2.85 | 3.55 | +1.0 |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Greenville Drive | 18 | 18 | 89 | 389 | 80 | 28 | 4 | 15.2% | 8.5% | 0.9% | 4.57 | 3.36 | +1.8 |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 27 | 27 | 157 | 640 | 151 | 41 | 7 | 17.6% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 3.09 | 3.30 | +3.6 |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Salem Red Sox | 27 | 27 | 128 | 562 | 118 | 54 | 6 | 16.2% | 11.0% | 1.2% | 3.86 | 3.80 | +2.2 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 19 | 14 | 89 | 382 | 101 | 27 | 6 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 1.5% | 4.03 | 2.99 | +2.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 14 | 13 | 62 | 273 | 57 | 30 | 5 | 18.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 4.48 | 4.03 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 42 | 9 | 94 | 417 | 83 | 50 | 10 | 18.5% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.67 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 28 | 23 | 127 | 571 | 128 | 55 | 11 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 1.6% | 4.38 | 3.61 | +2.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 28 | 26 | 140 | 591 | 117 | 24 | 18 | 17.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 3.69 | +2.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 4 | 4 | 11 | 58 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 18.2% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 11.12 | 5.25 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 507 | 77 | 31 | 14 | 15.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 4.32 | 4.46 | +1.1 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 131 | 565 | 89 | 38 | 16 | 15.7% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 4.91 | 4.53 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 116 | 491 | 75 | 32 | 14 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.53 | +1.0 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 112 | 474 | 72 | 32 | 14 | 15.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.62 | +0.9 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 108 | 455 | 68 | 31 | 13 | 14.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 4.64 | 4.71 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 19 | 103 | 434 | 63 | 31 | 13 | 14.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.83 | +0.5 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 98 | 413 | 57 | 30 | 13 | 13.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 4.88 | 4.97 | +0.3 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 92 | 389 | 51 | 29 | 13 | 13.0% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 5.02 | 5.12 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 16 | 86 | 364 | 44 | 28 | 12 | 12.2% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 5.18 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 220 | 173 | 959 | 4130 | 744 | 367 | 73 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 4.09 | 3.67 | +17.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 36 | 200 | 862 | 155 | 77 | 15 | 18.0% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 4.09 | 3.67 | +3.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhonathan Díaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.46 | 15.2% | 6.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.62 | 15.2% | 8.5% | 336 | +0.16 | — | — | — |
| Travis Blackley L 2029 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.89 | 15.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | .324 | 4.45 | 10.5% | 0.0% | 137 | -0.44 | 3.85 | 225 | 65 |
| Andrew Albers L 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.14 | 12.4% | 7.2% | 2.1% | .354 | 3.50 | 17.9% | 12.6% | 303 | -0.64 | 2.95 | 508 | 64 |
| Alejandro Soto L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.38 | 12.8% | 7.0% | 2.7% | .367 | 4.09 | 14.6% | 9.1% | 128 | -0.29 | 3.98 | 280 | 63 |
| Aaron Laffey L 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.11 | 13.5% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .318 | 4.39 | 12.5% | 5.2% | 192 | +0.28 | 3.52 | 282 | 61 |
| Orlando Lara L 2027 · 4.15 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.15 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .348 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 7.2% | 230 | -0.08 | 3.83 | 426 | 61 |
| Brett Anderson L 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.17 | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .357 | 4.07 | 14.2% | 8.8% | 336 | -0.10 | 3.53 | 706 | 60 |
| Everett Teaford L 2028 · 4.43 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.43 | 13.9% | 7.6% | 2.8% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.43 | 103 | 60 |
| Kelvin Marte L 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.76 | 16.1% | 11.4% | 2.9% | .300 | 5.25 | 12.0% | 1.2% | 71 | +0.49 | 3.44 | 360 | 60 |
| Edgar Osuna L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.04 | 10.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% | .345 | 5.08 | 10.0% | 2.8% | 83 | +0.04 | 5.04 | 175 | 60 |
| Franklin Morales L 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.33 | 15.9% | 5.4% | 1.6% | .271 | 4.03 | 15.0% | 7.0% | 39 | +0.70 | 3.33 | 101 | 60 |
| Matt Whitehouse L 2025 · 4.06 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.06 | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.37 | 353 | 59 |
| Clayton Richard L 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.51 | 10.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | .264 | 4.12 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 424 | +0.61 | 3.51 | 574 | 59 |
| Tomas Solis L 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | .264 | 5.13 | 12.0% | 3.7% | 159 | +0.96 | 4.17 | 327 | 58 |
| Chris O'Grady L 2024 · 4.31 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.31 | 21.4% | 9.0% | 3.4% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 232 | 58 |
| Edgar Olmos L 2024 · 3.66 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.66 | 18.9% | 9.7% | 1.7% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 203 | 58 |
| Jordan Carr L 2024 · 4.47 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.1% | 8.8% | 2.5% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.48 | 223 | 57 |
| Alejandro Astorga L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 29 | SP- | 3.73 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 1.4% | .290 | 4.01 | 14.4% | 6.2% | 116 | +0.28 | 3.73 | 311 | 57 |
| Arturo Lopez L 2029 · 4.79 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | .301 | 4.73 | 10.9% | 4.2% | 217 | -0.06 | 4.33 | 445 | 57 |
| Carlos Teller L 2026 · 4.85 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.85 | 14.3% | 10.7% | 2.9% | .297 | 4.72 | 12.6% | 1.1% | 148 | -0.13 | 3.74 | 333 | 57 |
| Ryan Bollinger L 2024 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.57 | 17.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | .290 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57 | 112 | 56 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.